Realized P&L
-$124.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
44.3%
Resolved
137,469
Trades
6,282,156
lifetime
Volume
$33.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$515
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 09-07 23:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Crypto
98% 42% -$117,277
Other
2% 33% -$5,946
Sports
0% 40% -$871
Tech
0% 17% -$9
Politics
0% 50% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 33549 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +261 $73 96¢ $251 +$178 05-20 17:23
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +115 $56 69¢ $80 +$24 05-22 10:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +68 $36 90¢ $61 +$25 05-22 02:21
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +49 $40 96¢ $47 +$7 05-21 08:07
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +117 $63 31¢ $36 -$27 05-21 19:56
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +21 $16 95¢ $20 +$3 05-22 10:35
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +261 $177 4¢ $10 -$167 05-20 17:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +68 $32 11¢ $7 -$25 05-21 21:11
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $8 4¢ $2 -$6 05-21 10:17
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +21 $4 5¢ $1 -$3 05-22 10:35