Serene-Elicit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

3,987

Trades

24,900

lifetime

Volume

$3.20M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-17 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$86,607

Sports

0% 0% -$676

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 04:30 UTC	2	$7.5K	5,033	4,954	+78	Down	+$2,383	01-19 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:40 UTC	3	$6.9K	4,563	4,493	+70	Down	+$2,018	03-14 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:25 UTC	3	$6.8K	4,419	4,352	+67	Down	+$1,875	03-15 07:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 16:45 UTC	2	$6.1K	4,000	3,939	+61	Up	+$1,796	02-04 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:35 UTC	3	$6.1K	4,176	4,111	+65	Up	+$2,135	03-14 09:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 13:00 UTC	2	$6.0K	4,071	4,007	+64	Down	+$2,032	01-19 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:10 UTC	3	$5.6K	3,734	3,677	+58	Up	+$1,701	03-15 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:25 UTC	3	$5.6K	3,672	3,615	+56	Up	+$1,635	03-14 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	225	$5.5K	3,595	3,588	+7	Up	+$1,654	04-25 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 02:15 UTC	4	$5.4K	3,683	3,626	+57	Up	+$1,847	03-15 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:05 UTC	3	$5.4K	3,553	3,498	+55	Up	+$1,618	03-14 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:40 UTC	3	$5.0K	3,340	3,288	+52	Down	+$1,607	03-15 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 12:00 UTC	99	$4.8K	3,200	3,200	+0	Down	+$1,568	04-03 12:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 11:00 UTC	2	$4.5K	3,012	2,966	+47	Down	+$1,391	01-22 11:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:55 UTC	102	$4.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	Up	+$1,440	04-24 17:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 03:30 UTC	80	$4.5K	3,000	2,981	+19	Up	+$1,497	02-04 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	113	$4.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	Up	+$1,470	04-25 18:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:15 UTC	2	$4.4K	3,015	2,968	+47	Up	+$1,485	01-19 05:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 15:45 UTC	2	$4.4K	2,944	2,898	+46	Down	+$1,442	02-04 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:00 UTC	3	$4.4K	2,952	2,906	+46	Up	+$1,423	03-13 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 07:00 UTC	72	$4.4K	3,000	2,986	+13	Up	+$1,560	04-03 07:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:40 UTC	2	$4.4K	2,930	2,885	+46	Up	+$1,402	03-14 16:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:10 UTC	2	$4.3K	2,843	2,798	+44	Up	+$1,315	03-13 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:50 UTC	2	$4.3K	2,832	2,788	+44	Down	+$1,304	03-15 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:00 UTC	3	$4.3K	2,826	2,782	+44	Up	+$1,293	03-15 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 08:45 UTC	3	$4.2K	2,783	2,740	+43	Up	+$1,255	03-15 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:05 UTC	4	$4.2K	3,753	3,695	+58	Up	+$268	03-14 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	111	$4.2K	2,800	2,800	-0	Up	+$1,372	04-25 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:20 UTC	3	$4.2K	2,723	2,682	+42	Up	+$1,196	03-14 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 08:20 UTC	3	$4.1K	2,701	2,659	+41	Down	+$1,174	03-15 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 05:01:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x52bb74…
10-17 05:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6fab51…
10-17 04:52:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x863e42…
10-17 04:48:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x169e81…
10-17 04:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe52912…
10-17 04:41:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:40 UTC	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x71d88c…
10-17 04:32:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x829644…
10-17 04:31:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa70397…
10-17 03:58:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe93cee…
10-17 03:57:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x8fb638…
10-17 03:56:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Down	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x20f209…
10-17 03:53:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x75366a…
10-17 03:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xe4e867…
10-17 03:47:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0x9d49ff…
10-17 03:44:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa0330d…
10-17 03:43:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xb04e0a…
10-17 03:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x89bb54…
10-17 03:35:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x0d1866…
10-17 03:33:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x7b3444…
09-15 10:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x71bc2b…
09-15 10:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x3a92a6…
09-15 10:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x64e7b1…
09-15 10:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7da316…
09-15 10:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x55abf7…
09-15 10:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0xf78fad…
09-15 10:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x666232…
09-15 10:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x0b521a…
09-15 10:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0xe75c15…
09-15 10:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x847a38…
09-15 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xc98b80…
09-15 10:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd87c7b…
09-15 10:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x3fd55b…
09-15 10:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x84761e…
09-15 10:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0xf1657b…
09-15 10:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x1e9a43…
09-15 10:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x6e6884…
09-15 09:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc5b747…
09-15 06:07:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	49	83¢	$41	0xc29cd8…
09-15 06:02:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5dba04…
09-15 06:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	23	28¢	$6	0xe30325…
09-15 05:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xd22f9f…
09-15 05:57:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x9a6b00…
09-15 05:52:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4a76e0…
09-15 05:49:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	29	40¢	$12	0xd7e941…
09-15 05:47:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xce7edb…
09-15 05:40:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0x14217b…
09-15 05:37:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x80fd5a…
09-15 05:35:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x321003…
09-15 05:31:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x572878…
09-15 05:27:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Up	SELL	31	89¢	$28	0x4c2bab…
09-15 05:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xcc062f…
09-15 04:42:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:40 UTC	Up	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0x64d2ed…
09-15 04:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xcabfb3…
09-15 04:36:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:35 UTC	Up	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xa42198…
09-15 04:32:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xf3a49e…
09-15 04:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	28	38¢	$11	0xdadd62…
09-15 04:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x368d1e…
09-15 04:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:25 UTC	Down	SELL	24	81¢	$19	0xc53e1b…
09-15 04:22:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xd96ac9…
09-15 04:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:20 UTC	Up	SELL	33	69¢	$23	0x27327c…
09-15 04:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xc504e5…
09-15 04:17:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0x684860…
09-15 04:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xf53d2c…
09-15 04:12:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:10 UTC	Up	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x03a73d…
09-15 04:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x94b43e…
09-15 04:07:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	27	70¢	$19	0x50e811…
09-15 04:02:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0xbe1b3e…
09-12 04:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x85165e…
09-12 04:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x1cad63…
09-12 04:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xe7e725…
09-12 04:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3e7018…
09-12 04:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x33e7ca…
09-10 07:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x02f52f…
09-10 07:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	58	22¢	$13	0x971cdb…
09-10 07:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0xea28fc…
09-10 07:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x3fceb1…
09-10 07:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	46	70¢	$32	0xf94e04…
09-10 07:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xf73c3f…
09-10 06:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	62	89¢	$56	0x43f8ae…
09-10 06:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	62	51¢	$32	0x21a29e…
09-10 06:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	64	53¢	$34	0x87dda6…
09-10 06:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	64	51¢	$33	0x5a8b51…
09-10 06:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	59	59¢	$35	0x7a0000…
09-10 06:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0xf09974…
09-10 06:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	39	80¢	$31	0x865df1…
09-10 06:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x160eb0…
09-10 06:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	74	52¢	$38	0x63c7f5…
09-10 06:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xdf0da7…
09-10 06:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x7c5426…
09-10 05:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xbd1964…
09-10 05:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	58	47¢	$27	0xf5bea0…
09-10 05:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0x984390…
09-10 05:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xa5a322…
09-10 05:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0x8f07f8…
09-10 05:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0x00bfc0…
09-10 05:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	116	50¢	$58	0x735c2f…
09-10 05:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x255411…
09-10 04:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	208	50¢	$105	0xc89950…
09-10 04:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	94	26¢	$24	0xe7ccf7…
09-10 04:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xcdda1d…