Tidy-Set — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$616

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

47,161

Trades

190,659

lifetime

Volume

$2.59M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$11.4K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 296 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 48% +$46,655

Other

2% 52% -$2,016

Politics

1% 60% +$2,583

Sports

1% 49% -$1,668

Pop-Culture

0% 38% +$346

Tech

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1916 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-9,939	-$9,144	96¢	$-9546	-$403	06-28 08:47
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No		-1,121	-$961	96¢	$-1082	-$120	07-01 23:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No		-812	-$674	94¢	$-767	-$93	06-15 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	—	+38	$19	50¢	$19	+$0	10-27 09:04
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No		-5	-$4	92¢	$-5	$0	06-15 15:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	16	$19.8K	21,795	0	+21,795	No	+$1,955	04-20 21:55
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	51	$14.8K	10,998	5,000	+5,998	No	+$1,050	02-18 11:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$9.1K	0	9,939	-9,939	open	—	06-28 08:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:45 UTC	72	$6.3K	6,840	0	+6,840	Down	+$518	02-01 19:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	9	$5.3K	5,987	0	+5,987	No	+$720	04-15 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	84	$4.9K	8,234	3,389	+4,845	Up	+$479	08-13 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 00:00 UTC	15	$4.5K	7,610	0	+7,610	Up	-$4,451	01-09 00:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 08:30 UTC	96	$4.0K	7,537	2,000	+5,537	Down	-$2,120	06-10 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	304	$3.4K	8,106	0	+8,106	Up	-$2,621	04-28 20:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 00:15 UTC	40	$3.3K	6,189	0	+6,189	Down	+$2,854	01-09 00:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 14:45 UTC	56	$3.2K	6,990	0	+6,990	Up	-$610	09-28 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:45 UTC	47	$3.0K	4,007	0	+4,007	Up	+$988	01-06 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	164	$3.0K	7,451	0	+7,451	Down	+$4,283	04-28 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	123	$2.9K	4,689	4,664	+25	Up	+$139	05-23 07:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 13:00 UTC	47	$2.9K	6,279	0	+6,279	Down	+$3,356	04-09 12:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 16:30 UTC	37	$2.7K	3,625	0	+3,625	Up	+$885	04-23 16:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 01:00 UTC	13	$2.7K	2,734	2,495	+239	Down	-$68	01-09 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	48	$2.7K	6,078	0	+6,078	Up	+$3,316	10-01 18:29
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	19	$2.6K	2,500	1,574	+926	Yes	+$676	02-06 18:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:15 UTC	39	$2.6K	4,159	0	+4,159	Up	+$1,576	01-06 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	65	$2.5K	3,639	327	+3,312	Up	-$2,478	05-17 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	79	$2.4K	3,246	4,689	-1,443	Down	-$796	05-23 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	39	$2.4K	3,009	4,689	-1,680	Down	+$697	05-25 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	79	$2.4K	3,642	0	+3,642	Up	+$1,112	05-17 10:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:30 UTC	64	$2.4K	4,978	0	+4,978	Down	-$2,390	01-06 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	46	$2.3K	4,916	0	+4,916	Down	+$1,894	10-02 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	146	$2.3K	2,863	4,689	-1,826	Down	+$747	05-24 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:30 UTC	39	$2.3K	5,147	0	+5,147	Up	-$1,976	09-24 15:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	74	$2.3K	4,923	0	+4,923	Up	+$2,609	01-06 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	36	$2.3K	4,961	0	+4,961	Up	-$2,280	10-02 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:14:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa5d5be…
10-27 09:14:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9b8f27…
10-27 09:14:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x0c7c0a…
10-27 09:14:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xcbf5bd…
10-27 09:14:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xee0884…
10-27 09:14:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf6c441…
10-27 09:14:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0xe3f076…
10-27 09:14:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x6e3e18…
10-27 09:10:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x35d797…
10-27 09:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x2326cc…
10-27 09:04:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xb92a2d…
10-27 09:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x0eca31…
10-27 09:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x3b1dda…
10-27 08:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x98ef86…
10-27 08:56:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb2325e…
10-27 08:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xdefcf1…
10-27 08:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x15d4e1…
10-27 08:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc7bdd8…
10-27 08:35:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x24c538…
10-27 08:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xbd7354…
10-27 08:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	49	48¢	$24	0x41847f…
10-27 08:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfb3568…
10-27 08:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd7c459…
10-27 08:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x231d4d…
10-27 08:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x107b28…
10-27 07:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x762c26…
10-27 07:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xc44fe6…
10-27 07:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x59d15b…
10-27 07:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0x35e0ab…
10-27 07:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xc1e561…
10-27 07:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x35d9ff…
10-27 07:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd40a2e…
10-27 07:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x23eb70…
10-27 07:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1601ef…
10-27 07:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x5efd55…
10-27 07:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x7d3a78…
10-27 07:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x63b162…
10-27 07:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x22cf5b…
10-27 07:14:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xeda909…
10-27 07:14:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa4c97e…
10-27 07:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x289b96…
10-27 07:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0xc8fc33…
10-27 07:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$10	0xa3291d…
10-27 07:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x219741…
10-27 06:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xa4eac3…
10-27 06:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xedf43b…
10-27 06:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xa786fd…
10-27 06:56:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd6620e…
10-27 06:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x59fd80…
10-27 06:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xb2c31c…
10-27 06:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xc3bb19…
10-27 06:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8470d5…
10-27 06:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf4a987…
10-27 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xbec1e4…
10-27 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x4aec13…
10-27 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x404430…
10-27 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0x3a4cad…
10-27 05:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	44¢	$9	0x498def…
10-27 05:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0x23a50a…
10-27 05:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x3ea30b…
10-27 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xae4ec2…
10-27 05:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x8f9482…
10-27 05:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x728d4e…
10-27 05:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x5e6b92…
10-27 05:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x3cc5a8…
10-27 05:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2680e2…
10-27 05:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x1ae162…
10-27 05:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf09dad…
10-27 05:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xa7294a…
10-27 05:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x475821…
10-27 05:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x445006…
10-27 05:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x032b65…
10-27 05:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x95a2a2…
10-27 05:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x329b42…
10-27 05:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x497e9a…
10-27 05:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x0f4270…
10-27 05:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x4432c6…
10-27 05:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x062f63…
10-27 04:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdf8720…
10-27 04:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc113e3…
10-27 04:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x3b1456…
10-27 04:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x2daced…
10-27 04:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xcd0ae0…
10-27 04:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xe5ea40…
10-27 04:44:27	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xb3715f…
10-27 04:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xc3e03c…
10-27 04:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x0a542a…
10-27 04:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xb79a00…
10-27 04:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x318520…
10-27 04:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x602409…
10-27 04:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xc6d6d2…
10-27 04:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x8b1dab…
10-27 04:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x999a5a…
10-27 04:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x91621a…
10-27 04:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8d2259…
10-27 04:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x785568…
10-27 04:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6d8a26…
10-27 04:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x6a5d5f…
10-27 04:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x4db55f…
10-27 04:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x5e1bfc…