Tidy-Set — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$20.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$402

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved (90d)

19,291

Trades (90d)

75,114

174,022 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$854.0K

$2.23M lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$12.0K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 298 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 48% +$48,055

Other

2% 52% -$2,016

Politics

1% 60% +$2,583

Sports

1% 49% -$1,668

Pop-Culture

0% 38% +$346

Tech

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1916 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-9,939	-$9,144	96¢	$-9551	-$407	06-28 08:47
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No		-1,121	-$961	97¢	$-1085	-$124	07-01 23:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No		-812	-$674	96¢	$-778	-$105	06-15 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	—	+560	$280	98¢	$552	+$272	10-29 20:59
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No		-5	-$4	92¢	$-5	$0	06-15 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	—	+87	$39	2¢	$1	-$37	10-29 20:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	16	$19.8K	21,795	0	+21,795	No	+$1,955	04-20 21:55
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	51	$14.8K	10,998	5,000	+5,998	No	+$1,050	02-18 11:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$9.1K	0	9,939	-9,939	open	—	06-28 08:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:45 UTC	72	$6.3K	6,840	0	+6,840	Down	+$518	02-01 19:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	9	$5.3K	5,987	0	+5,987	No	+$720	04-15 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	84	$4.9K	8,234	3,389	+4,845	Up	+$479	08-13 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 00:00 UTC	15	$4.5K	7,610	0	+7,610	Up	-$4,451	01-09 00:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 08:30 UTC	96	$4.0K	7,537	2,000	+5,537	Down	-$2,120	06-10 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	304	$3.4K	8,106	0	+8,106	Up	-$2,621	04-28 20:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 00:15 UTC	40	$3.3K	6,189	0	+6,189	Down	+$2,854	01-09 00:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 14:45 UTC	56	$3.2K	6,990	0	+6,990	Up	-$610	09-28 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	174	$3.1K	6,809	0	+6,809	Down	+$1,115	10-28 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:45 UTC	47	$3.0K	4,007	0	+4,007	Up	+$988	01-06 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	164	$3.0K	7,451	0	+7,451	Down	+$4,283	04-28 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	123	$2.9K	4,689	4,664	+25	Up	+$139	05-23 07:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 13:00 UTC	47	$2.9K	6,279	0	+6,279	Down	+$3,356	04-09 12:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 16:30 UTC	37	$2.7K	3,625	0	+3,625	Up	+$885	04-23 16:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 01:00 UTC	13	$2.7K	2,734	2,495	+239	Down	-$68	01-09 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	48	$2.7K	6,078	0	+6,078	Up	+$3,316	10-01 18:29
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	19	$2.6K	2,500	1,574	+926	Yes	+$676	02-06 18:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:15 UTC	39	$2.6K	4,159	0	+4,159	Up	+$1,576	01-06 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	65	$2.5K	3,639	327	+3,312	Up	-$2,478	05-17 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	79	$2.4K	3,246	4,689	-1,443	Down	-$796	05-23 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	39	$2.4K	3,009	4,689	-1,680	Down	+$697	05-25 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	79	$2.4K	3,642	0	+3,642	Up	+$1,112	05-17 10:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:30 UTC	64	$2.4K	4,978	0	+4,978	Down	-$2,390	01-06 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	46	$2.3K	4,916	0	+4,916	Down	+$1,894	10-02 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	146	$2.3K	2,863	4,689	-1,826	Down	+$747	05-24 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:30 UTC	39	$2.3K	5,147	0	+5,147	Up	-$1,976	09-24 15:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	74	$2.3K	4,923	0	+4,923	Up	+$2,609	01-06 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x35f9d3…
10-29 20:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xaf2529…
10-29 20:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xd5b7b6…
10-29 20:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0x727a17…
10-29 20:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x440add…
10-29 20:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1426e0…
10-29 20:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6f304d…
10-29 20:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x016e5b…
10-29 20:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xfd2bd6…
10-29 20:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x2547e4…
10-29 20:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xca7569…
10-29 20:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x7e73c2…
10-29 20:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x92f842…
10-29 20:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x3e610e…
10-29 20:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x32a0ca…
10-29 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xec190b…
10-29 20:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf6b98d…
10-29 20:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xd00cca…
10-29 20:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xa931b3…
10-29 20:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x7fc3ff…
10-29 20:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x76d2b9…
10-29 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8e00e6…
10-29 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8183c5…
10-29 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x398ee0…
10-29 20:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x899c7c…
10-29 20:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x87e039…
10-29 20:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x3e147b…
10-29 20:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x8e0f34…
10-29 20:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x9bf9d0…
10-29 20:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe55c77…
10-29 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0xd1bf73…
10-29 19:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x1f4462…
10-29 19:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	48¢	$15	0x6dbe47…
10-29 19:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x770257…
10-29 19:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x69dfa7…
10-29 19:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$19	0x16309c…
10-29 19:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x7b0d08…
10-29 19:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2cafa2…
10-29 19:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x224b4d…
10-29 19:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x00df3b…
10-29 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0xd3bfb2…
10-29 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x99faf4…
10-29 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x99bff4…
10-29 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x7b3a85…
10-29 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x3a91de…
10-29 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x0c121b…
10-29 19:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xff481d…
10-29 19:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2fe78c…
10-29 19:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x94c35e…
10-29 19:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x8480b7…
10-29 19:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xf71d49…
10-29 19:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x212e68…
10-29 19:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x18a048…
10-29 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0xbb6662…
10-29 19:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0x635d91…
10-29 19:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xf6f322…
10-29 19:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x2826ba…
10-29 19:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x5efaf1…
10-29 17:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x710496…
10-29 17:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x2f49d7…
10-29 17:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0xe11273…
10-29 17:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x648d45…
10-29 17:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x92e8ff…
10-29 17:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd224c4…
10-29 17:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xfda0f2…
10-29 17:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xc66c22…
10-29 17:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x2260ca…
10-29 17:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x0446da…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xfc026a…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xee01e3…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xebe425…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xc67f3f…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xb13ad6…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x998017…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8ab23f…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0x751a34…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x676d57…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	49¢	$18	0x66b7b3…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5dd90e…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0x4377f2…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x4252de…
10-29 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2ff09d…
10-29 17:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x3aaf4c…
10-29 17:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x71799f…
10-29 17:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8f919e…
10-29 17:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x9f6622…
10-29 17:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdd59fc…
10-29 17:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x8b0893…
10-29 16:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb8e4b6…
10-29 16:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xfeffcd…
10-29 16:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xebcef6…
10-29 16:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xd91d21…
10-29 16:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x75f36d…
10-29 16:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xff21e6…
10-29 16:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4aad1f…
10-29 16:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xe90a70…
10-29 16:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8d8469…
10-29 16:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x7a8791…
10-29 16:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xc6ece2…
10-29 16:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x85a31f…