Tidy-Set — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$18.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$699

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved (90d)

19,151

Trades (90d)

74,471

172,504 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$854.4K

$2.21M lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$11.4K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 297 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 48% +$47,427

Other

2% 52% -$2,016

Politics

1% 60% +$2,583

Sports

1% 49% -$1,668

Pop-Culture

0% 38% +$346

Tech

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1916 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-9,939	-$9,144	96¢	$-9556	-$412	06-28 08:47
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No		-1,121	-$961	97¢	$-1084	-$122	07-01 23:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No		-812	-$674	93¢	$-758	-$84	06-15 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	—	+213	$100	10¢	$20	-$80	10-28 05:44
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No		-5	-$4	92¢	$-5	$0	06-15 15:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	16	$19.8K	21,795	0	+21,795	No	+$1,955	04-20 21:55
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	51	$14.8K	10,998	5,000	+5,998	No	+$1,050	02-18 11:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$9.1K	0	9,939	-9,939	open	—	06-28 08:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:45 UTC	72	$6.3K	6,840	0	+6,840	Down	+$518	02-01 19:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	9	$5.3K	5,987	0	+5,987	No	+$720	04-15 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	84	$4.9K	8,234	3,389	+4,845	Up	+$479	08-13 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 00:00 UTC	15	$4.5K	7,610	0	+7,610	Up	-$4,451	01-09 00:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 08:30 UTC	96	$4.0K	7,537	2,000	+5,537	Down	-$2,120	06-10 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	304	$3.4K	8,106	0	+8,106	Up	-$2,621	04-28 20:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 00:15 UTC	40	$3.3K	6,189	0	+6,189	Down	+$2,854	01-09 00:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 14:45 UTC	56	$3.2K	6,990	0	+6,990	Up	-$610	09-28 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	174	$3.1K	6,809	0	+6,809	Down	+$1,115	10-28 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:45 UTC	47	$3.0K	4,007	0	+4,007	Up	+$988	01-06 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	164	$3.0K	7,451	0	+7,451	Down	+$4,283	04-28 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	123	$2.9K	4,689	4,664	+25	Up	+$139	05-23 07:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 13:00 UTC	47	$2.9K	6,279	0	+6,279	Down	+$3,356	04-09 12:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 16:30 UTC	37	$2.7K	3,625	0	+3,625	Up	+$885	04-23 16:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 01:00 UTC	13	$2.7K	2,734	2,495	+239	Down	-$68	01-09 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	48	$2.7K	6,078	0	+6,078	Up	+$3,316	10-01 18:29
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	19	$2.6K	2,500	1,574	+926	Yes	+$676	02-06 18:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:15 UTC	39	$2.6K	4,159	0	+4,159	Up	+$1,576	01-06 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	65	$2.5K	3,639	327	+3,312	Up	-$2,478	05-17 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	79	$2.4K	3,246	4,689	-1,443	Down	-$796	05-23 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	39	$2.4K	3,009	4,689	-1,680	Down	+$697	05-25 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	79	$2.4K	3,642	0	+3,642	Up	+$1,112	05-17 10:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:30 UTC	64	$2.4K	4,978	0	+4,978	Down	-$2,390	01-06 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	46	$2.3K	4,916	0	+4,916	Down	+$1,894	10-02 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	146	$2.3K	2,863	4,689	-1,826	Down	+$747	05-24 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:30 UTC	39	$2.3K	5,147	0	+5,147	Up	-$1,976	09-24 15:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	74	$2.3K	4,923	0	+4,923	Up	+$2,609	01-06 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xae3cf3…
10-28 05:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x3ce738…
10-28 05:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x964cb7…
10-28 05:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb5cbf9…
10-28 05:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x92cbb2…
10-28 05:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2ae010…
10-28 05:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x088ea8…
10-28 05:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xeca1d0…
10-28 05:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x12a3a8…
10-28 04:49:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x71bd73…
10-28 04:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x494c01…
10-28 04:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x612706…
10-28 04:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x45efb2…
10-28 04:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xdbf2e2…
10-28 04:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x83dfbc…
10-28 04:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x75dc71…
10-28 04:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x626831…
10-28 04:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x5f3081…
10-28 04:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x4387e2…
10-28 04:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xdbd6d4…
10-28 04:24:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x9cad32…
10-28 04:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x8d5e0d…
10-28 04:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xc60ee8…
10-28 04:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xb99b81…
10-28 04:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb3ce93…
10-28 04:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x719d07…
10-28 04:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x5c8944…
10-28 04:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x14759f…
10-28 03:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xdca14e…
10-28 03:54:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2122f7…
10-28 03:54:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe7255b…
10-28 03:34:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x791c1d…
10-28 03:34:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x05bdd9…
10-28 03:34:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x299fa6…
10-28 03:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x0a446c…
10-28 03:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x5c35b0…
10-28 03:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd0e9be…
10-28 03:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7c8626…
10-28 03:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7162f8…
10-28 03:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x6be025…
10-28 03:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x57d975…
10-28 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xf1afdc…
10-28 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xddeca0…
10-28 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xb4cf97…
10-28 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x94ebbf…
10-28 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0x7752e7…
10-28 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x5ad600…
10-28 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x35583e…
10-28 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x23db2f…
10-28 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1d52b8…
10-28 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x135b06…
10-28 03:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0xcb9954…
10-28 03:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0xcc9d55…
10-28 03:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xfe0e9b…
10-28 03:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0xcc06f8…
10-28 03:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xbae07b…
10-28 03:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xacc1c4…
10-28 03:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x8c76f5…
10-28 03:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x0d66eb…
10-28 03:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x0a18ff…
10-28 03:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x076f84…
10-28 03:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x51877a…
10-28 03:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x49722f…
10-28 03:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x9318bf…
10-28 03:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xf0daca…
10-28 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x54bf74…
10-28 02:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x547770…
10-28 02:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x3b2d65…
10-28 02:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x4579e9…
10-28 02:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x95aa2d…
10-28 02:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x95e6c3…
10-28 02:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x559c68…
10-28 02:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xffbc21…
10-28 02:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x50428f…
10-28 02:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x1028a3…
10-28 02:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x63e18f…
10-28 02:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xa36b20…
10-28 02:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x87d091…
10-28 02:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x0cceaa…
10-28 02:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x1706d6…
10-28 02:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x2b9d2a…
10-28 02:19:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x67c550…
10-28 02:14:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa03a2d…
10-28 02:14:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe7a5d8…
10-28 02:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x68e910…
10-28 02:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0xc3875b…
10-28 02:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x90bd14…
10-28 02:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x0530ad…
10-28 02:14:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x113e4c…
10-28 02:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xa9a0cb…
10-28 02:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2458c5…
10-28 01:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf6b9e4…
10-28 01:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xe9e60f…
10-28 01:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x981f4a…
10-28 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0xcdbb80…
10-28 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x6b7cfe…
10-28 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x56ceba…
10-28 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x362335…
10-28 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x337dce…
10-28 01:44:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa508ac…