Tidy-Set — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$992

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

47,812

Trades

194,038

lifetime

Volume

$2.63M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$11.7K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 299 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 48% +$50,527

Other

2% 52% -$2,016

Politics

1% 60% +$2,583

Sports

1% 49% -$1,668

Pop-Culture

0% 38% +$346

Tech

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1916 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-9,939	-$9,144	97¢	$-9616	-$472	06-28 08:47
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No		-1,121	-$961	97¢	$-1085	-$124	07-01 23:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No		-812	-$674	95¢	$-775	-$101	06-15 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	—	+1,070	$524	22¢	$230	-$294	10-30 14:15
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No		-5	-$4	92¢	$-5	$0	06-15 15:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	16	$19.8K	21,795	0	+21,795	No	+$1,955	04-20 21:55
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	51	$14.8K	10,998	5,000	+5,998	No	+$1,050	02-18 11:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$9.1K	0	9,939	-9,939	open	—	06-28 08:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:45 UTC	72	$6.3K	6,840	0	+6,840	Down	+$518	02-01 19:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	9	$5.3K	5,987	0	+5,987	No	+$720	04-15 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	84	$4.9K	8,234	3,389	+4,845	Up	+$479	08-13 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 00:00 UTC	15	$4.5K	7,610	0	+7,610	Up	-$4,451	01-09 00:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 08:30 UTC	96	$4.0K	7,537	2,000	+5,537	Down	-$2,120	06-10 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	304	$3.4K	8,106	0	+8,106	Up	-$2,621	04-28 20:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 00:15 UTC	40	$3.3K	6,189	0	+6,189	Down	+$2,854	01-09 00:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 14:45 UTC	56	$3.2K	6,990	0	+6,990	Up	-$610	09-28 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	174	$3.1K	6,809	0	+6,809	Down	+$1,115	10-28 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:45 UTC	47	$3.0K	4,007	0	+4,007	Up	+$988	01-06 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	164	$3.0K	7,451	0	+7,451	Down	+$4,283	04-28 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	123	$2.9K	4,689	4,664	+25	Up	+$139	05-23 07:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 13:00 UTC	47	$2.9K	6,279	0	+6,279	Down	+$3,356	04-09 12:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 16:30 UTC	37	$2.7K	3,625	0	+3,625	Up	+$885	04-23 16:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 01:00 UTC	13	$2.7K	2,734	2,495	+239	Down	-$68	01-09 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	48	$2.7K	6,078	0	+6,078	Up	+$3,316	10-01 18:29
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	19	$2.6K	2,500	1,574	+926	Yes	+$676	02-06 18:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:15 UTC	39	$2.6K	4,159	0	+4,159	Up	+$1,576	01-06 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	65	$2.5K	3,639	327	+3,312	Up	-$2,478	05-17 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	79	$2.4K	3,246	4,689	-1,443	Down	-$796	05-23 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	39	$2.4K	3,009	4,689	-1,680	Down	+$697	05-25 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	79	$2.4K	3,642	0	+3,642	Up	+$1,112	05-17 10:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:30 UTC	64	$2.4K	4,978	0	+4,978	Down	-$2,390	01-06 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	46	$2.3K	4,916	0	+4,916	Down	+$1,894	10-02 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	146	$2.3K	2,863	4,689	-1,826	Down	+$747	05-24 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:30 UTC	39	$2.3K	5,147	0	+5,147	Up	-$1,976	09-24 15:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	74	$2.3K	4,923	0	+4,923	Up	+$2,609	01-06 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf8beb5…
10-30 14:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcf765c…
10-30 14:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe646ea…
10-30 14:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xe08904…
10-30 14:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xcf56b6…
10-30 14:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x053ddc…
10-30 14:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	282	49¢	$138	0xdbe149…
10-30 14:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	310	49¢	$152	0x0e0e8d…
10-30 14:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xd98035…
10-30 14:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xc3e9a1…
10-30 14:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xb317ab…
10-30 14:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x570b6c…
10-30 14:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0xfbedb0…
10-30 14:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbc9f79…
10-30 14:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x99425b…
10-30 14:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x82662d…
10-30 14:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x475a32…
10-30 14:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xab36de…
10-30 14:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x09e1fa…
10-30 14:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf5bc3d…
10-30 14:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfd933d…
10-30 13:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb417fe…
10-30 13:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x17c246…
10-30 13:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x68224e…
10-30 13:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5ced57…
10-30 13:59:33	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4fe3ff…
10-30 13:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf92846…
10-30 13:54:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbb8ffc…
10-30 13:49:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x03cf50…
10-30 13:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf3e7a6…
10-30 13:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2827b4…
10-30 13:49:46	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc4180d…
10-30 13:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x37c0fe…
10-30 13:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x58017b…
10-30 13:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x4087b7…
10-30 13:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x52aaf1…
10-30 13:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xdf0b95…
10-30 13:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe4bc8d…
10-30 13:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x4e3ddf…
10-30 13:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x756766…
10-30 13:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xc38c7b…
10-30 13:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x0af562…
10-30 13:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x680148…
10-30 13:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	338	48¢	$162	0xa98792…
10-30 13:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x423dbc…
10-30 13:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	304	49¢	$149	0x075332…
10-30 12:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x7cf4a8…
10-30 12:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2cbf6e…
10-30 12:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc1a575…
10-30 12:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xd966fb…
10-30 12:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd1810a…
10-30 12:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0xe3afec…
10-30 12:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x848d71…
10-30 12:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7bc127…
10-30 12:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcbdd3b…
10-30 12:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4ba4fe…
10-30 12:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x1d2782…
10-30 12:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0xacc054…
10-30 12:04:42	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcaa023…
10-30 11:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xad1d84…
10-30 11:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x87fec0…
10-30 11:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x71f237…
10-30 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x729d28…
10-30 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x265c95…
10-30 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x00ceae…
10-30 11:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0x748da3…
10-30 11:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6765eb…
10-30 11:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x112836…
10-30 11:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0x3c1a55…
10-30 11:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0x0e73a6…
10-30 11:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x8b980b…
10-30 11:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x5ea2f0…
10-30 11:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd6651e…
10-30 11:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x730c8b…
10-30 11:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0xf77ebe…
10-30 11:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd9f8a3…
10-30 11:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc1b602…
10-30 11:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3aeaf7…
10-30 11:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x763862…
10-30 11:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xcf2154…
10-30 11:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x1f45b7…
10-30 11:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x8a9925…
10-30 11:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x154c90…
10-30 11:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x10a1b9…
10-30 11:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xb9a1a4…
10-30 11:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9aa9b2…
10-30 11:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x7b24b2…
10-30 11:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xd16fd6…
10-30 11:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6d76dc…
10-30 11:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x2eb362…
10-30 11:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x2392c4…
10-30 11:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xd7b68d…
10-30 11:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x6f0417…
10-30 11:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xac60b5…
10-30 11:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3a3f38…
10-30 11:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x48b038…
10-30 11:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xe001e0…
10-30 11:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xa53e52…
10-30 10:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9e462a…
10-30 10:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x73dc0b…