Friendly-Heartbeat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$711

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-25 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

59% — —

Other

26% 100% +$1

Politics

11% 100% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on march 31	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	03-30 20:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 6	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	04-06 08:01
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	04-11 09:39
bitcoin above 70k on april 17	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-17 09:50
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$45	45	+45	open	—	04-17 09:50
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 14c	1	$45	45	+45	open	—	04-22 19:17
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$35	35	+35	open	—	05-03 20:36
bitcoin above 70k on april 11	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	04-11 09:39
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	04-06 08:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	04-28 10:41
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 31corhigher	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	04-22 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 29?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-28 10:42
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$19	54	+54	open	—	05-25 06:37
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-28 10:39
spx up or down on april 22 2026	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-22 19:20
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 14corbelow	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-11 09:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	open	—	05-19 09:24
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-28 10:39
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 23corhigher	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-22 20:06
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-28 10:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-28 10:32
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	04-28 10:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$8	8	+8	No	+$0	05-03 20:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-17 09:45
highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 18corhigher	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-11 09:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-28 10:40
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	1	$5	5	+5	Jannik Sinner	+$0	05-11 09:31
val ts3 ge1 2026 04 11	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-11 09:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-19 10:04
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-17 09:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 06:37:04	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x0d418f…
05-22 14:28:53	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x5b16b0…
05-19 10:04:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xafbd50…
05-19 09:24:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xc49a31…
05-11 09:31:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x504c69…
05-11 09:15:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x2738fa…
05-03 20:36:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xf0c8b0…
05-03 20:36:14	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe85791…
04-28 10:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8aed1b…
04-28 10:41:46	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1794cf…
04-28 10:41:26	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x46c951…
04-28 10:40:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a27c2…
04-28 10:40:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x780dae…
04-28 10:39:42	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x44d172…
04-28 10:39:20	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9fe5d9…
04-28 10:38:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x519621…
04-28 10:32:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x754b78…
04-28 10:31:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x07c9e1…
04-22 20:06:40	highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xcf46d8…
04-22 19:20:12	spx up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7f5d09…
04-22 19:17:04	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x5862b5…
04-22 19:16:20	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 31corhigher	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7f88d8…
04-17 09:51:30	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfc0a30…
04-17 09:51:00	spy up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x45b947…
04-17 09:50:18	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdff868…
04-17 09:50:08	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x0b9732…
04-17 09:45:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbed030…
04-11 09:39:35	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x4fac1e…
04-11 09:39:21	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa00048…
04-11 09:38:37	val ts3 ge1 2026 04 11	Global Esports	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x412d29…
04-11 09:37:43	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 12 551 973	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xce4305…
04-11 09:35:45	highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03c001…
04-11 09:35:05	highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xf1260f…
04-06 08:03:01	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9b6cf7…
04-06 08:01:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 6	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xda6dd3…
03-30 20:30:29	bitcoin above 60k on march 31	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2f3231…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	26	$214.5K	2,990	05-25 02:59
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	20	$1.89K	173	05-26 15:53
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	17	$2.92K	1,179	04-16 23:32
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	15	$20.1K	197	05-24 15:27
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	14	$3.62M	5,063	05-26 11:41
Colossal-Contract 0xe1b5…20ac	14	$75.5K	1,398	05-21 17:40
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	14	$60.7K	631	05-26 12:05
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	14	$41.5K	2,989	05-04 10:45