Limp-Signal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

2,724

Trades

4,813

lifetime

Volume

$613.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 68% -$7,008

Other

25% 51% +$1,403

Politics

6% 71% +$709

Sports

1% 58% -$108

Tech

0% 0% -$216

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$23.5K	11,892	11,892	+0	Yes	-$10	03-06 07:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	9	$14.8K	8,500	8,500	+0	Yes	+$80	02-26 23:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$14.7K	8,487	8,487	+0	No	-$6	03-07 12:18
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	31	$11.9K	11,005	11,005	+0	Yes	+$15	01-31 09:17
bitcoin above 90k on january 20	17	$8.6K	5,767	5,467	+300	Yes	-$407	01-20 16:52
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	8	$8.1K	4,201	4,201	+0	No	+$343	01-20 21:27
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	2	$7.3K	3,703	3,703	+0	No	+$114	01-31 04:27
crint ind nzl 2026 01 23	8	$5.8K	3,421	3,421	+0	India	+$746	01-23 16:20
lal esp bar 2026 01 03 bar	7	$5.7K	4,560	4,560	+0	Yes	-$256	01-03 21:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 09:30 UTC	2	$5.4K	5,519	0	+5,519	Down	+$69	01-13 09:42
crint ind nzl 2026 01 25	11	$4.8K	2,529	2,529	+0	India	+$200	01-25 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 09:45 UTC	2	$4.7K	2,842	2,811	+31	Down	+$718	03-09 09:48
epl ast not 2026 01 03 ast	2	$4.4K	2,235	2,235	+0	Yes	+$47	01-03 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 12:00 UTC	4	$4.1K	2,359	2,355	+4	Up	-$58	02-18 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:25 UTC	3	$4.1K	6,647	0	+6,647	Down	+$2,532	03-06 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 09:35 UTC	2	$3.9K	4,123	0	+4,123	Down	-$140	03-11 09:39
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	23	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$2	02-26 14:35
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	6	$3.8K	6,255	0	+6,255	No	+$2,428	02-06 12:13
epl wol wes 2026 01 03 wol	5	$3.7K	1,939	1,939	-0	Yes	+$31	01-03 16:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 22:30 UTC	1	$3.5K	3,519	0	+3,519	Down	+$23	01-20 22:41
bitcoin above 88k on january 21	3	$3.4K	3,677	276	+3,401	No	+$25	01-21 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:15 UTC	1	$3.3K	3,364	0	+3,364	Down	+$34	02-04 17:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:30 UTC	1	$3.0K	3,030	0	+3,030	Up	+$30	01-19 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:00 UTC	3	$2.9K	2,083	1,950	+133	Up	+$530	03-09 12:03
spx up or down on march 6 2026	2	$2.9K	1,580	1,580	+0	Down	+$36	03-06 17:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:15 UTC	2	$2.8K	1,961	1,930	+31	Up	+$863	02-09 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:45 UTC	2	$2.8K	3,092	0	+3,092	Up	-$185	03-11 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 09:20 UTC	2	$2.7K	1,803	1,775	+28	Down	+$759	03-06 09:23
bitcoin up or down january 30 1am et	2	$2.7K	2,749	0	+2,749	Down	+$27	01-30 06:44
Iran leadership change by March 13?	4	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$0	03-09 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xdf0906…
11-04 15:07:13	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	55	27¢	$15	0xc7c11b…
11-04 15:03:13	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x5414ab…
11-03 17:45:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x6b1541…
11-03 17:44:12	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	51	40¢	$20	0x7eaa22…
11-03 17:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xaa39e0…
11-03 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xd34343…
11-03 17:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xa07652…
11-03 17:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xdfb3e6…
11-03 17:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x532719…
11-03 17:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	64	35¢	$22	0xbfcc28…
11-03 17:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xfcbf73…
11-03 17:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x4987d0…
11-03 15:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0xa57a4b…
11-03 15:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x883be7…
11-03 15:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xacf728…
11-03 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xc6b970…
11-03 15:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xe11556…
11-03 04:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x19f58c…
11-03 04:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xc86e1d…
11-03 04:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x415422…
11-03 04:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	45	56¢	$25	0x4382be…
11-03 04:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x7baf0f…
11-03 04:19:49	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	172	71¢	$122	0x8d0b86…
11-03 04:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x0d9644…
11-03 04:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xf89ee0…
11-03 04:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0xa343ed…
11-03 04:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x6c1a0b…
11-03 04:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x50b72f…
11-03 04:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x49cc38…
11-03 03:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	93¢	$47	0x7cae48…
11-03 03:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	48	16¢	$8	0xb8fc74…
11-03 03:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xc59b61…
11-03 03:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x46c348…
11-03 03:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x213211…
11-03 03:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0x9af33a…
11-03 03:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x4a8cb0…
11-03 02:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe2b5e6…
11-02 14:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x6a3b77…
11-02 14:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x4b152c…
11-02 14:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe4ef09…
11-02 13:37:21	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	107	80¢	$86	0x313566…
11-02 11:17:52	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	64	80¢	$51	0xbb34dd…
11-02 06:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x83e595…
11-02 04:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xfdf6bb…
11-02 02:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb73550…
11-01 16:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x19e015…
11-01 16:11:22	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x6ea750…
11-01 15:54:22	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	176	96¢	$169	0x65f82c…
11-01 14:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x6a45a4…
11-01 14:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd8c229…
11-01 14:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0xa4db41…
11-01 14:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x00554c…
11-01 13:23:30	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6793ea…
11-01 13:23:09	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0xc0acf6…
11-01 13:19:33	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x34f049…
11-01 08:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x37e1a0…
11-01 08:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x525585…
11-01 08:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xae9390…
11-01 06:59:00	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	36	65¢	$23	0xc940f0…
11-01 06:58:58	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	34	65¢	$22	0x96a46c…
11-01 06:58:57	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x451f53…
11-01 06:58:57	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	29	65¢	$19	0x3ebb7e…
11-01 06:58:57	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x0235f2…
11-01 04:27:22	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	116	68¢	$79	0xbaab13…
10-31 12:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xd9f3ae…
10-31 04:15:30	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Emerson Jones vs Heather Watson	Emerson Jones	BUY	138	96¢	$132	0x51af1c…
10-30 15:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	80	58¢	$46	0xf4cff1…
10-30 13:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	102	89¢	$90	0xd2ac2d…
10-30 11:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xee1c64…
10-30 11:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x95b112…
10-30 11:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xac42d1…
10-30 11:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xa63646…
10-30 11:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	31	17¢	$5	0xf2199b…
10-30 11:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x0762e2…
10-30 11:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x22aece…
10-30 11:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xc0c882…
10-30 10:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc0b68a…
10-30 10:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0x1e682b…
10-30 10:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x4428aa…
10-30 10:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0x618c08…
10-30 10:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xdce782…
10-30 09:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x78d901…
10-30 09:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	31	74¢	$23	0xdbdfd3…
10-30 09:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x39bddb…
10-30 09:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x379f52…
10-30 09:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xc7a3cf…
10-30 09:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x08c355…
10-30 09:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xa5eb1e…
10-30 09:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x931496…
10-30 09:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xf648a6…
10-30 09:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x173adc…
10-30 09:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xa18313…
10-30 09:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x7e746d…
10-30 09:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xb8528e…
10-30 09:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x6c77b4…
10-30 09:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x1df5b9…
10-30 09:02:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x899710…
10-29 17:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x016508…
10-29 17:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0d733a…