Realized P&L
+$2.25K
Unrealized P&L
+$158
Hit rate
97.6%
Resolved
1,357
Trades
4,348
lifetime
Volume
$491.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$113
Open exposure
$7.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 10-26 20:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 99% +$2,056
Politics
6% 82% -$128
Other
3% 71% +$295
Sports
0% 36% +$24
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +813 $749 92¢ $752 +$3 10-10 06:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +790 $712 92¢ $723 +$11 10-18 06:08
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +646 $609 97¢ $629 +$20 09-02 06:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +752 $532 74¢ $553 +$21 10-25 07:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +563 $454 82¢ $459 +$5 10-02 09:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +500 $445 92¢ $457 +$12 09-22 07:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +682 $402 66¢ $454 +$52 10-25 23:18
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +750 $401 54¢ $407 +$7 10-15 10:23
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +440 $384 72¢ $315 -$70 10-10 06:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $231 88¢ $266 +$34 09-23 05:39
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +254 $242 97¢ $246 +$4 10-25 10:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +220 $205 94¢ $206 +$0 10-02 09:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +290 $137 66¢ $190 +$53 08-23 05:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +193 $164 86¢ $165 +$1 09-20 03:45
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +157 $145 100¢ $156 +$11 10-15 05:40
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +170 $139 90¢ $154 +$14 05-15 13:18
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +221 $129 68¢ $151 +$23 09-29 16:04
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +200 $148 74¢ $149 +$1 10-15 05:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +180 $135 81¢ $145 +$10 10-04 06:52
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +140 $119 78¢ $109 -$10 10-15 05:42
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +150 $106 72¢ $109 +$2 10-25 07:23
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +127 $113 86¢ $109 -$4 10-23 06:18
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +147 $83 69¢ $101 +$18 10-01 09:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +879 $147 12¢ $101 -$46 05-10 06:21
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$2 10-07 10:57
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +100 $92 86¢ $86 -$6 09-23 06:28
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +879 $82 9¢ $82 +$0 07-31 05:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +290 $116 26¢ $77 -$39 08-23 05:06
Trump out as President before 2027? No +78 $68 96¢ $75 +$6 09-15 17:22
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +84 $48 82¢ $69 +$21 09-22 00:52