Powerless-Pig — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,758

lifetime

Volume

$455.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-16 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 100% +$2

Other

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	11	$3.1K	3,111	0	+3,111	open	—	04-22 18:12
sol updown 15m 1768912200	2	$2.7K	1,381	1,381	+0	open	—	01-20 12:54
btc updown 15m 1769013000	2	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-21 16:46
btc updown 15m 1769158800	2	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-23 09:15
xrp updown 15m 1769338800	5	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-25 11:15
btc updown 15m 1769074200	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-22 09:44
btc updown 15m 1769346900	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-25 13:30
btc updown 15m 1769015700	4	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-21 17:31
btc updown 15m 1769166900	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-23 11:30
btc updown 15m 1769282100	17	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-24 19:30
btc updown 15m 1769085000	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-22 12:45
btc updown 15m 1769067000	25	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-22 07:45
btc updown 15m 1769271300	13	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-24 16:30
btc updown 15m 1769009400	18	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-21 15:45
xrp updown 15m 1769153400	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-23 07:45
xrp updown 15m 1769168700	6	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-23 12:01
eth updown 15m 1769096700	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-22 16:00
btc updown 15m 1769164200	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-23 10:44
eth updown 15m 1769098500	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-22 16:30
btc updown 15m 1769238000	18	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-24 07:15
btc updown 15m 1769260500	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-24 13:30
btc updown 15m 1769236200	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-24 06:45
xrp updown 15m 1769173200	6	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-23 13:15
btc updown 15m 1769077800	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-22 10:45
eth updown 15m 1769019300	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-21 18:30
eth updown 15m 1769257800	2	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-24 12:45
btc updown 15m 1769085900	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-22 12:59
btc updown 15m 1769068800	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-22 08:15
btc updown 15m 1769092200	16	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-22 14:47
xrp updown 15m 1769097600	7	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-22 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 06:45:12	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x80a38d…
08-16 06:44:40	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0x67fc42…
08-15 06:36:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x0a1c9c…
08-14 09:18:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd68cc3…
08-14 09:17:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	86	94¢	$81	0xbadb5f…
08-12 19:29:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x377a5b…
08-12 16:58:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	131	97¢	$127	0x1eac93…
08-12 10:19:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x73ede4…
08-12 10:06:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	41	68¢	$28	0x313db2…
08-12 09:53:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xb133cb…
08-12 08:35:36	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	101	92¢	$93	0x3bf551…
08-12 07:20:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0xd7ba1e…
08-12 06:58:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0xe56064…
08-12 06:09:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	76	70¢	$53	0xc5b765…
08-12 06:07:34	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xdfc7c7…
08-11 21:20:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	34	75¢	$26	0x3a2184…
08-11 18:16:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0xb964b0…
08-11 14:08:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x1a78a2…
08-11 14:06:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	76	84¢	$64	0xc196d2…
08-11 14:03:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x028fd1…
08-11 14:03:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x934410…
08-11 12:49:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xb60000…
08-11 12:48:37	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2f46bf…
08-11 12:48:33	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdf6e90…
08-11 12:48:01	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x97e2cf…
08-11 12:47:25	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x4b433f…
08-11 12:45:18	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0xbd1996…
08-11 12:44:55	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe64830…
08-11 08:11:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x3e30cb…
08-11 08:11:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x607c35…
08-11 08:10:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0x83e9df…
08-11 08:04:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6345e4…
08-11 08:04:21	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0x5a5491…
08-11 07:58:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x5dfff8…
08-11 07:21:21	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xb2b0fa…
08-11 07:20:36	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x565d74…
08-11 07:06:19	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x653af5…
08-11 07:03:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x3d4888…
08-11 06:06:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x735b53…
08-11 06:05:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x3b6a93…
08-11 06:02:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6cd13e…
08-10 16:59:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xbc7eac…
08-10 16:55:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0x78db74…
08-10 10:16:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	67	88¢	$59	0x714369…
08-10 10:15:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x70bccc…
08-10 09:56:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x4d30d3…
08-10 09:50:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xb63d8b…
08-10 09:45:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x015fbc…
08-10 09:24:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc18e86…
08-10 09:13:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfaf1fb…
08-10 09:12:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x803974…
08-10 09:11:51	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x619ae5…
08-10 09:09:04	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xd04347…
08-10 09:08:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0xf0c16a…
08-10 09:07:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x421949…
08-10 09:07:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xc6401c…
08-10 09:06:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xb24871…
08-10 09:06:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x200384…
08-10 08:44:51	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9c463f…
08-10 08:42:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	179	84¢	$150	0xed3838…
08-10 08:41:39	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	246	93¢	$229	0x0821a2…
08-10 08:38:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xab618f…
08-10 08:37:42	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	53	79¢	$42	0x2b4a4c…
08-10 08:34:12	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	92¢	$61	0xfb707e…
08-10 08:01:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x7d748c…
08-10 07:43:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	520	85¢	$442	0x9b9974…
08-10 07:41:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x51caa6…
08-10 07:39:43	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x36e1af…
08-10 07:39:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x220662…
08-10 07:33:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x2b99c3…
08-10 07:31:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x8d002c…
08-10 07:29:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x06b62e…
08-10 07:27:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x5748d7…
08-10 07:27:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	113	99¢	$111	0x5ff026…
08-10 07:24:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x7b7a91…
08-10 07:24:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xd6cb68…
08-10 07:20:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x48c29e…
08-10 07:20:21	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xf2e344…
08-10 07:19:58	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xcfe562…
08-10 07:19:39	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x66dad8…
08-10 07:12:25	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0xe9764f…
08-09 07:22:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x0648b9…
08-09 05:57:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0xac1eed…
08-09 05:50:28	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xc54e36…
08-08 17:13:43	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	78	88¢	$69	0x5e2cbf…
08-08 17:13:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	91¢	$86	0x410d0f…
08-08 16:47:12	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x84a7c4…
08-04 05:53:42	will russia enter ternuvate again by august 31	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x1a7d3f…
08-04 05:53:33	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x47a5b2…
08-04 05:52:36	will russia capture kindrativka by september 30	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x98b457…
08-04 05:52:15	will russia capture stavky by september 30	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x9ddca2…
08-04 05:52:08	will russia capture toretske by september 30 2026	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x3438df…
08-04 05:50:35	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by september 30	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x3969f4…
08-04 05:50:26	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x89af86…
08-04 05:50:15	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5ad26f…
08-04 05:49:44	Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x259515…
08-04 05:49:32	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x8496d5…
08-04 05:49:20	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x780db3…
08-04 05:48:50	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x10aefe…
08-04 05:48:36	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4a9acb…