Full-Capability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$261

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

13.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,137

lifetime

Volume

$40.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$42

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-20 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% 71% $-261

Other

41% — —

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No		+53	$39	78¢	$42	+$3	06-03 02:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	163	$3.0K	2,411	1,140	+1,272	open	—	03-31 09:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	67	$2.5K	2,527	1,989	+539	Yes	$-279	02-05 13:24
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	29	$2.1K	1,168	985	+183	open	—	02-06 11:48
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	15	$2.0K	1,563	439	+1,124	open	—	07-20 17:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	23	$1.9K	1,592	350	+1,242	open	—	06-29 03:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	20	$1.7K	1,547	391	+1,155	open	—	04-27 11:18
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	26	$1.7K	1,350	678	+672	open	—	02-04 22:46
will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	40	$1.5K	760	760	+0	open	—	02-10 16:12
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	36	$1.4K	1,484	0	+1,484	open	—	04-08 04:10
will jd vance attend super bowl lx	13	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	02-07 14:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$984	500	500	+0	open	—	06-12 00:56
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	19	$719	731	0	+731	open	—	03-01 08:45
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	3	$706	355	355	+0	open	—	02-28 06:27
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$700	419	419	+0	open	—	04-03 11:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$674	607	82	+525	open	—	05-25 14:49
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$666	609	79	+531	open	—	02-28 07:02
will donald trump attend super bowl lx	15	$636	643	0	+643	open	—	02-08 19:04
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	12	$592	602	0	+602	open	—	03-01 01:27
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	5	$508	524	0	+524	open	—	07-12 04:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	11	$491	561	0	+561	open	—	04-22 02:06
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	20	$476	419	419	+0	open	—	02-09 02:05
Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	7	$471	450	450	+0	open	—	02-06 11:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	5	$462	233	233	+0	open	—	02-28 07:43
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	5	$452	465	0	+465	open	—	06-12 02:44
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	4	$451	471	0	+471	open	—	02-18 13:47
Trump out as President by April 30?	8	$444	450	0	+450	open	—	04-08 01:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$436	492	0	+492	open	—	05-19 12:18
will dua lipa perform during the super bowl lx halftime show 523	5	$433	289	171	+119	open	—	02-08 15:03
Trump out as President before 2027?	3	$400	218	218	+0	open	—	07-20 16:23
will lady gaga perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	27	$355	1,912	545	+1,366	open	—	02-09 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 17:29:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x25b1fd…
07-20 16:23:03	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xabf218…
07-20 16:23:03	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	218	93¢	$203	0x895856…
07-20 16:22:39	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xc9b72e…
07-19 06:51:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	73	95¢	$70	0xe2a91e…
07-19 06:46:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	108	96¢	$103	0x58ae6b…
07-19 06:44:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xd624fd…
07-19 06:44:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9feb4b…
07-19 06:43:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xaa389e…
07-17 11:29:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	168	98¢	$164	0x573fa1…
07-12 04:31:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	67	96¢	$65	0x03ef34…
07-11 22:41:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	128	97¢	$124	0xd4bd9a…
07-11 22:41:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x6ab3a2…
07-11 22:40:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	125	97¢	$121	0x88200b…
07-11 02:53:22	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x4dd304…
07-11 02:52:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xf40d15…
07-11 02:51:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x2e81e9…
07-08 03:05:22	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x55de72…
07-08 02:49:11	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	52	93¢	$49	0x1aeab4…
07-07 17:31:16	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x451315…
07-07 17:31:16	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x282815…
07-07 06:54:25	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0x5f5346…
07-05 00:02:19	will trump speak to masoud pezeshkian in july 20260626154217438	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6635e1…
07-03 07:47:14	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	492	99¢	$487	0x38c6bb…
07-03 07:35:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x28f938…
07-03 06:35:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x039bbf…
07-03 06:33:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x466b04…
07-02 16:10:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	188	97¢	$183	0x51b023…
06-29 10:17:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0x88268a…
06-29 10:16:14	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	250	98¢	$246	0x52b9e5…
06-29 10:12:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x9e6826…
06-29 03:59:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xf21d53…
06-29 03:59:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd1f298…
06-29 03:59:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	312	100¢	$311	0x6648fb…
06-29 03:37:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	540	98¢	$530	0x3fe745…
06-29 03:23:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x17a8e9…
06-29 03:16:41	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x51fd20…
06-29 03:12:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0xea25ff…
06-29 03:10:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x541b6f…
06-22 15:42:22	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x4bcb84…
06-13 16:39:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xcbc736…
06-13 16:37:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x3a9f48…
06-13 11:15:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x0d212f…
06-13 08:20:39	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xddc107…
06-13 06:38:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xb633cc…
06-13 06:37:48	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x7e4662…
06-13 06:36:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x7680e1…
06-13 06:36:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x26af1d…
06-12 12:40:13	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xca943e…
06-12 02:44:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x1dd899…
06-12 02:41:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x5182c5…
06-12 02:37:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	191	97¢	$185	0xb42abb…
06-12 01:41:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x440f06…
06-12 00:56:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	250	98¢	$246	0x1b9db6…
06-12 00:56:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	181	97¢	$175	0xe0d945…
06-12 00:55:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	250	98¢	$246	0x4f08e7…
06-11 14:06:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	275	92¢	$253	0x2e6742…
06-11 13:52:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9cb01f…
06-10 15:59:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x717e76…
06-10 15:52:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x6cb205…
06-10 15:50:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x84371b…
06-10 15:48:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x484a97…
06-10 15:31:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x6ce785…
06-10 15:30:49	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x61441c…
06-10 15:29:33	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xbbbe1b…
06-10 15:29:10	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x928b9a…
06-10 15:28:33	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x97c456…
06-10 15:27:43	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x0dc4a3…
06-10 15:21:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xd20691…
06-10 15:16:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0x24d55b…
06-10 02:05:12	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0xe6a069…
06-10 02:01:06	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3eb05a…
06-10 01:58:13	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xfb408d…
06-10 01:55:48	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x34a80f…
06-10 01:55:25	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0x63b0a9…
06-10 01:54:28	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xfb5e6a…
06-09 17:52:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0xb20ad6…
06-09 13:50:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x5eb537…
06-09 12:44:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x088aac…
06-09 11:26:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xfc1ee2…
06-09 11:26:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x1a40db…
06-09 06:16:09	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x75e4fe…
06-09 06:05:15	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x4ecb96…
06-09 06:04:46	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf10a39…
06-09 06:04:46	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x2bacbb…
06-08 03:07:27	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0xf1b30f…
06-08 02:16:07	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x62e53f…
06-07 19:21:00	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xcfa514…
06-07 09:17:46	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x70c161…
06-04 05:26:54	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xce50dc…
06-04 05:26:54	will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in june 2026	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x63dde7…
06-04 05:25:48	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xca6a6d…
06-04 05:25:48	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb9b514…
06-04 04:04:52	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x13ce69…
06-04 04:04:31	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xf5e236…
06-03 02:50:37	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x7591d6…
06-02 23:26:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	148	97¢	$144	0xbda64a…
06-02 18:58:05	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xbfc2db…
06-02 18:12:00	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x201f39…
06-02 15:48:18	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1fa58d…