Full-Capability 0x5d14a0…19f8bd
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Realized P&L
-$261
Unrealized P&L
+$76
Hit rate
13.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,109
lifetime
Volume
$38.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$2.07K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-29 10:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
47% 71% $-261
Other
38% — —
Sports
9% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,242 $1,184 100¢ $1.2K +$57 06-29 03:59
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -215 $-214 100¢ $-215 $-1 06-13 16:39
Trump out as President before 2027? No +218 $197 92¢ $200 +$3 06-01 14:58
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +130 $121 100¢ $129 +$8 06-10 01:58
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +107 $106 100¢ $107 +$2 06-09 06:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +81 $75 100¢ $81 +$6 06-10 15:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +53 $39 74¢ $39 +$0 06-03 02:50
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +31 $30 100¢ $31 +$0 06-09 06:04
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No +23 $22 100¢ $23 +$1 06-04 04:04