Realized P&L
+$560
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
188
Trades
1,236
lifetime
Volume
$46.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$1.43K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-25 14:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
44% 96% +$870
Politics
43% 86% -$118
Sports
8% 77% -$203
Crypto
5% 50% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +453 $436 100¢ $452 +$16 10-02 09:15
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +370 $343 94¢ $346 +$4 10-25 14:50
Trump out as President before 2027? No -250 -$229 96¢ $-240 -$11 07-20 16:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +206 $204 100¢ $206 +$2 10-10 07:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +150 $129 85¢ $128 -$2 09-20 03:46
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +28 $27 97¢ $28 +$0 10-24 03:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +39 $29 68¢ $26 -$2 08-06 16:59
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +7 $6 92¢ $7 +$0 09-30 18:18