Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
224
lifetime
Volume
$450
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$14
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 06-08 13:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
72%
Other
23%
Politics
4%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +9 $5 90¢ $8 +$3 05-29 16:26
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -6 $-2 29¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 18:39
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -7 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 20:20
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +21 $1 $1 $-0 06-08 13:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-02 15:06
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-03 06:54
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $1 $-0 06-05 07:27
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +5 $1 $0 $-1 05-29 16:13
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +20 $1 $0 $-1 06-02 15:07