Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,416

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-10 00:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$1

Politics

29% 100% +$7

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		+70	$50	74¢	$52	+$2	06-11 02:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint bgd pak 2026 03 13	348	$1.2K	3,536	2,138	+1,399	open	—	03-13 18:28
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	177	$586	529	441	+88	open	—	03-08 17:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$445	837	553	+284	open	—	01-31 05:34
crint bgd pak 2026 03 11	98	$413	250	250	+0	open	—	03-11 11:49
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	6	$289	151	151	+0	open	—	01-27 03:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$210	212	215	-2	open	—	04-07 22:10
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	4	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	01-24 06:02
andrew tate posts february 17 february 24 0 99	3	$199	267	0	+267	open	—	02-24 06:39
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	4	$194	118	118	+0	open	—	01-31 06:03
nfl sf sea 2026 01 17	3	$189	97	97	+0	open	—	01-18 04:02
epl liv bur 2026 01 17 bur	3	$189	97	97	+0	open	—	01-17 17:03
nba lal por 2026 01 17	3	$188	96	96	+0	open	—	01-18 05:33
lal rea lev 2026 01 17 lev	3	$187	96	96	+0	open	—	01-17 14:47
sea bol fio 2026 01 18 draw	3	$186	96	96	+0	open	—	01-18 16:07
sea tor rom 2026 01 18 tor	3	$184	98	98	+0	open	—	01-18 18:59
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	5	$180	101	100	+2	open	—	04-01 02:50
cbb loych day 2026 01 16	3	$174	99	99	+0	open	—	01-17 03:49
mex caz pue 2026 01 17 caz	2	$169	96	96	+0	open	—	01-18 05:05
epl ast eve 2026 01 18 ast	3	$167	86	86	+0	open	—	01-18 18:28
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	5	$166	97	97	+0	open	—	02-01 05:18
will henrique gouveia e melo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$166	83	83	+0	open	—	01-19 08:03
ucl ata ath1 2026 01 21 ath1	2	$162	92	92	+0	open	—	01-21 21:15
bitcoin above 96k on january 17	3	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	01-17 17:03
sea bol fio 2026 01 18 fio	3	$159	82	82	+0	open	—	01-18 16:07
nba orl mem 2026 01 18	3	$159	83	83	+0	open	—	01-18 19:30
lol al wb 2026 01 20 game2	3	$148	76	76	+0	open	—	01-20 11:02
lal cel ray 2026 01 18 cel	3	$147	75	75	+0	open	—	01-18 19:33
will andr ventura win between 24 and 26 of votes in the first round	3	$145	75	75	+0	open	—	01-19 16:08
sea mil lec 2026 01 18 lec	2	$143	76	76	+0	open	—	01-18 18:48
btc updown 15m 1774443600	3	$142	197	64	+132	open	—	03-25 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 00:52:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x41ec72…
07-08 21:59:37	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x68f904…
07-01 03:20:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1dfa84…
06-30 01:40:37	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x578a6a…
06-27 16:37:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x00fe76…
06-27 06:26:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xa18e49…
06-14 04:24:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	65	76¢	$50	0x7d2bc2…
06-13 19:46:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x662434…
06-13 19:25:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x709221…
06-13 19:22:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xabcdd7…
06-11 02:25:31	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x2a47e7…
05-26 17:28:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x446659…
05-16 03:18:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xfaaa41…
05-15 17:12:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xcdf091…
05-12 21:10:27	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x069a1e…
05-06 20:53:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x33d293…
05-01 03:39:14	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x9d57df…
05-01 01:18:10	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5cda39…
04-30 22:07:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$40	0xdb8db2…
04-27 17:26:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0xfc5ef6…
04-27 17:25:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x4132d4…
04-25 19:25:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x88ecf7…
04-24 18:19:00	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x4e16e3…
04-24 18:16:44	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x44c21c…
04-24 18:08:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x76e5f1…
04-24 01:04:28	will caleb downs be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x46ddc8…
04-24 01:04:24	will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x481de7…
04-23 22:32:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,475	0¢	$5	0xaea252…
04-23 22:29:48	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	39	75¢	$30	0x1266e3…
04-23 22:28:56	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$31	0x2fb64a…
04-23 22:26:38	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xb49742…
04-22 21:56:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xfe8352…
04-22 21:47:44	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0x61a37b…
04-22 21:47:18	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x176ae5…
04-22 21:46:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x6a15d9…
04-21 18:11:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x04d721…
04-18 23:38:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	99	20¢	$20	0xc6186a…
04-18 18:00:28	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0xc8c6dc…
04-17 12:59:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xddfdf5…
04-15 17:16:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xf4c1aa…
04-11 02:05:29	nba 2025 26 atlantic division winner boston celtics	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfe591e…
04-08 19:18:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xa63a35…
04-08 18:50:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x97fc09…
04-08 01:43:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0xcaeda1…
04-08 01:42:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	55	71¢	$40	0xe08e38…
04-07 22:10:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	215	70¢	$150	0xd69880…
04-07 22:09:39	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	90	75¢	$68	0x90a78e…
04-06 03:04:09	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xf9d939…
04-06 03:03:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	142	28¢	$40	0xc4ab94…
04-06 03:01:21	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	90	44¢	$40	0xe50f4c…
04-06 03:00:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x202863…
04-05 15:03:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x729fb3…
04-04 06:32:03	will iran strike cyprus in march	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc7d6c5…
04-01 20:39:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0x1246f2…
04-01 20:17:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	2,475	0¢	$5	0x046cfb…
04-01 15:21:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xdf54fd…
04-01 15:20:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	98	62¢	$61	0x4fdc12…
04-01 04:38:29	us confirms havana syndromecausing device by march 31	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xadf84b…
04-01 04:17:57	us confirms havana syndromecausing device by march 31	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x783de9…
04-01 02:50:35	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x86ca61…
04-01 02:50:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf7c6a8…
04-01 02:28:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7e4dc7…
04-01 02:28:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x67b2c9…
04-01 02:28:01	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	100	100¢	$99	0xedb16a…
04-01 02:11:09	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x24f807…
03-31 03:01:35	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc4b0f4…
03-27 21:48:59	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xd0f1bb…
03-27 21:48:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xabd731…
03-25 20:11:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x7b9d12…
03-25 13:13:53	btc updown 15m 1774443600	Up	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x1bff1c…
03-25 13:02:31	btc updown 15m 1774443600	Up	SELL	63	63¢	$40	0x516c43…
03-25 12:56:19	btc updown 15m 1774443600	Up	BUY	197	52¢	$102	0x109c5a…
03-25 12:50:59	btc updown 15m 1774442700	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x023fe4…
03-25 12:48:29	btc updown 15m 1774442700	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x44005e…
03-25 11:38:03	btc updown 15m 1774438200	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa91c96…
03-25 11:33:29	btc updown 15m 1774438200	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xa6c7e8…
03-25 11:31:39	btc updown 15m 1774438200	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x082cb6…
03-25 11:31:13	btc updown 15m 1774438200	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xfbd5e7…
03-25 11:16:57	btc updown 15m 1774437300	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xf90a54…
03-25 11:16:07	btc updown 15m 1774437300	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x864614…
03-25 11:15:53	btc updown 15m 1774437300	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x5599d9…
03-25 11:02:53	btc updown 15m 1774436400	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x49afa2…
03-25 10:59:05	btc updown 15m 1774436400	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xca8ef8…
03-25 10:25:03	btc updown 15m 1774433700	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x745014…
03-25 10:24:03	btc updown 15m 1774433700	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x448fa4…
03-24 20:59:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	85¢	$45	0x340c11…
03-24 12:26:39	btc updown 15m 1774354500	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x17e00a…
03-24 12:13:27	btc updown 15m 1774354500	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x62010f…
03-24 11:52:19	btc updown 15m 1774352700	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x9ec68a…
03-24 11:45:23	btc updown 15m 1774352700	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x9ef1d4…
03-23 15:36:49	btc updown 15m 1774279800	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xceeeaa…
03-23 13:10:11	btc updown 15m 1774270800	Up	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x52ba2b…
03-23 13:00:59	btc updown 15m 1774270800	Up	SELL	63	64¢	$40	0xbb3b10…
03-23 12:53:07	btc updown 15m 1774270800	Up	BUY	132	50¢	$66	0x62b8a5…
03-23 10:46:31	btc updown 15m 1774262700	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x3d32f0…
03-23 07:51:39	btc updown 15m 1774251900	Down	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x4345ed…
03-23 07:47:45	btc updown 15m 1774251900	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xaa2ac3…
03-23 02:00:51	Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xaa505e…
03-22 15:41:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x28db04…
03-19 21:21:21	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	312	18¢	$56	0x06f11f…