Fuzzy-Tog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

127

Trades

63,884

lifetime

Volume

$73.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-24 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

87% 35% +$2

Politics

10% 31% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 464 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 navi vg 2026 03 09	29	$222	425	405	+20	open	—	03-09 14:39
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	60	$172	445	445	+0	open	—	03-08 23:05
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	97	$142	415	415	+0	open	—	03-09 02:51
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	70	$135	349	349	+0	open	—	03-26 20:25
dota2 vg flc 2026 03 10	40	$129	273	273	+0	open	—	03-10 13:10
nba den uta 2026 04 01 total 249pt5	22	$122	152	152	+0	open	—	04-02 03:20
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	42	$117	322	322	+0	open	—	03-09 01:51
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	44	$112	288	288	+0	open	—	03-28 06:15
will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	53	$111	153	153	+0	open	—	02-27 18:39
dota2 mouz 1win 2026 04 02 game2	28	$104	204	189	+15	open	—	04-02 13:48
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	62	$94	227	227	+0	open	—	03-18 16:54
dota2 pari ty 2026 03 10	32	$90	188	188	+0	open	—	03-10 11:38
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	70	$89	335	335	+0	open	—	04-09 19:40
highest temperature in atlanta on april 19 2026 74forhigher	36	$89	150	147	+3	open	—	04-18 14:22
will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	37	$85	205	205	+0	open	—	03-18 16:07
highest temperature in chicago on april 4 2026 57forbelow	24	$84	143	140	+3	open	—	04-03 13:13
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners total 9pt5	32	$83	115	115	+0	open	—	06-21 17:48
highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 15c	25	$83	135	135	+0	open	—	04-11 14:01
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 19c	42	$81	173	173	+0	open	—	04-08 15:40
will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 46m and 50m	34	$81	238	238	+0	open	—	03-09 07:36
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	46	$80	281	281	+0	open	—	04-08 22:54
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	63	$79	261	261	+0	open	—	03-07 01:01
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	57	$79	300	300	+0	open	—	04-08 15:42
nba gsw uta 2026 03 09 total 223pt5	11	$77	90	75	+15	open	—	03-10 03:07
dota2 heroic navi 2026 03 10	15	$75	105	105	+0	open	—	03-10 18:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 833	20	$73	195	195	+0	open	—	03-08 11:14
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	19	$72	216	216	+0	open	—	03-07 19:03
highest temperature in seattle on april 4 2026 60 61f	22	$72	94	94	+0	open	—	04-03 23:19
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 16c	32	$70	100	100	+1	open	—	04-13 15:28
highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 16c	23	$70	114	114	+0	open	—	04-05 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 20:57:19	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 corners total 12pt5	Over	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x3d96cc…
06-24 16:48:08	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x192d69…
06-24 16:48:05	State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xc1997a…
06-24 16:47:55	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb44101…
06-24 16:47:47	Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd2322e…
06-24 16:47:41	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xed82bb…
06-24 16:47:26	Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xe62357…
06-24 16:47:19	Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa3e122…
06-24 16:47:14	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x5bb75e…
06-24 16:47:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xb44d68…
06-24 16:46:56	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x1180b9…
06-24 16:46:53	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7b69a7…
06-24 16:46:49	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x407094…
06-24 16:46:28	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xdf4372…
06-24 16:46:23	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9e4b37…
06-24 16:46:19	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x4d4e84…
06-24 16:46:13	Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x3b3f1a…
06-24 16:45:35	Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xb71eb0…
06-24 16:45:28	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x937e27…
06-24 16:45:25	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x4f3064…
06-24 16:45:20	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x14d592…
06-24 16:45:16	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xad27c6…
06-24 16:44:50	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x81def9…
06-24 16:44:41	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x10f8de…
06-24 16:44:23	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbf262e…
06-24 16:44:08	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x58e300…
06-24 16:44:05	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x905917…
06-24 16:43:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x581c90…
06-24 16:43:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6126c3…
06-24 16:43:47	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x36e27a…
06-24 16:43:38	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xa6966f…
06-24 16:43:02	US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xc982c5…
06-24 16:42:55	Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xab5d3c…
06-24 16:42:41	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x86f8d4…
06-24 16:42:28	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x7568b3…
06-24 16:42:11	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x2d2211…
06-24 16:42:07	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x50c712…
06-24 16:42:01	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xa1380d…
06-24 16:40:52	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xd6bdb6…
06-24 16:40:44	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x43e155…
06-24 16:40:38	Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xaa90d8…
06-24 16:40:31	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x5cb4f9…
06-24 16:40:26	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x022cc2…
06-24 16:40:04	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xe9c0d8…
06-24 16:40:01	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xdb8090…
06-24 16:39:46	Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x4ed8d7…
06-24 16:39:43	Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xc16ac6…
06-24 16:39:37	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xb724e8…
06-24 16:39:29	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xbe257d…
06-24 16:39:26	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x96a038…
06-24 16:39:23	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xeb01ab…
06-24 16:39:19	Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x86c84f…
06-24 16:38:14	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x144edf…
06-24 16:38:05	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xc279a2…
06-24 16:38:01	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x6fcbcc…
06-24 16:37:38	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xd545fd…
06-24 16:37:32	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x72f2b7…
06-24 16:37:28	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x291eee…
06-24 16:37:23	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x42de17…
06-24 16:37:19	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x75f931…
06-24 16:36:52	Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xae42e3…
06-24 16:36:47	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x0da964…
06-24 16:36:35	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xe912fb…
06-24 16:36:26	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xd31caf…
06-24 16:36:19	Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xde7291…
06-24 16:31:44	Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?	Down	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x09a460…
06-24 16:31:40	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	No	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x36b7ea…
06-24 16:31:22	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xbdfb6e…
06-24 16:31:16	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xb64a24…
06-24 16:29:38	Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x97d9fd…
06-24 16:29:28	Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x4393a4…
06-24 16:29:17	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 corners team home 2pt5	Over	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x77adb7…
06-24 16:29:13	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x7a8068…
06-24 16:29:07	Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x305886…
06-24 16:28:13	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x28d1cd…
06-24 16:28:07	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x8b5c57…
06-24 16:27:50	Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x9545e7…
06-24 16:27:35	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xcd3082…
06-24 16:27:32	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x7a087d…
06-24 16:27:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x6f7232…
06-24 16:26:35	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xa7b51b…
06-24 16:26:23	Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xf5ec0b…
06-24 16:26:02	Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd7d238…
06-24 16:25:55	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x2a67ce…
06-24 16:25:10	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x952464…
06-24 16:24:35	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x8847d7…
06-24 16:24:20	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x6c8a7a…
06-24 16:24:04	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xa1fc79…
06-24 16:23:19	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 goals neymar jr gte1	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$2	0x4763fc…
06-24 16:23:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xafc3d7…
06-24 16:22:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe3ac32…
06-24 16:22:52	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xd09083…
06-24 13:10:43	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 goals neymar jr gte1	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xd53915…
06-24 12:12:28	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 goals neymar jr gte1	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xcc2703…
06-24 12:08:10	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb36320…
06-24 11:40:04	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 goals neymar jr gte1	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x1d023b…
06-24 11:01:23	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 goals neymar jr gte1	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8890ad…
06-24 10:23:31	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 corners team home 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xfac8e5…
06-24 08:55:14	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 corners team home 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd0ca5f…
06-24 08:54:56	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 corners team home 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x74fe05…