Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
127
Trades
63,884
lifetime
Volume
$73.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$12
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-24 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
87% 35% +$2
Politics
10% 31% +$1
Sports
1%
Tech
1% 0% $-0
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 464 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -2 $-1 67¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 16:24
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 22¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:25
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -4 $-1 22¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 16:25
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -1 $-1 62¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:27
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes -4 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 16:24
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:27
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 14¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 16:26
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-1 12¢ $-0 +$1 06-24 16:24
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? No -3 $-0 13¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:39
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes -4 $-0 12¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 16:27
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-24 16:27
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 12¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:29
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-24 16:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-0 18¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:36
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-24 16:31
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-24 16:28
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-24 16:36
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes -3 $-0 12¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:37
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes -2 $-0 11¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:37
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-24 16:29
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-0 12¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:38
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes -2 $-0 14¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 16:36
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? Down -1 $-0 20¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:31
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-24 16:36
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-24 16:37
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 16:31
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-24 16:29
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-24 16:29
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? No -2 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-24 16:31
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 15¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 16:37