Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
127
Trades
63,884
lifetime
Volume
$73.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$29
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-24 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
87% 35% +$2
Politics
10% 31% +$1
Sports
1%
Tech
1% 0% $-0
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 1527 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 100¢ $-5 $-5 06-24 16:43
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-24 16:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 $-0 06-24 16:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-24 16:23
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -2 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:24
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-1 36¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 16:24
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes -4 $-1 32¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:24
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -4 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 16:25
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 24¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:26
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 22¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:25
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:26
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -3 $-1 23¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:26
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -5 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:27
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -1 $-1 55¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:27
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:27
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes -4 $-0 16¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:27
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? Yes -4 $-0 10¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:29
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? No -2 $-0 20¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:31
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-0 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 16:28
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 12¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-0 19¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:36
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-24 16:31
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-24 16:36
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-24 16:29
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes -3 $-0 12¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:37
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 16¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 16:31
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? No -3 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-24 16:39
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes -2 $-0 16¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:36
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes -2 $-0 11¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 16:37
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-24 16:36