Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,613
Trades
77
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$6,151
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-01 05:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.7K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $2.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $1 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $55 | $66 | $10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $4 | $194 | $190 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $34 | $32 |
| Median | 6 | $0 | $43 | $43 |
| Below median | 6 | $3 | $3 | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $42 | $42 |
| unranked | 12 | $52 | $22 | +$30 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +1,788 | $1,726 | $1,726 | 4 | 06-26 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f79…01b9 | Yes | +1,250 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-18 03:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x950d…dac5 | Yes | +203 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-27 19:01 |
| Remorseful-Island 0x4d14…2366 | No | +192 | $192 | $192 | 2 | 07-01 05:11 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 07-01 05:11 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +144 | $3 | $6 | 3 | 06-26 14:26 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-30 08:25 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-26 17:19 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-18 03:53 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 19:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xae3c…73e0 | No | +34 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 06-26 13:46 |
| Tart-Stepaunt 0x4475…7e95 | Yes | +32 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-30 05:28 |
| Incredible-Publishing 0xc7ba…2b58 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-11 04:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1381…48da | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-07 06:55 |
| Raw-Shawl-Macrofauna 0x8672…62bc | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-18 03:53 |
| Serious-Motivation-Discrepancy 0x1d4b…50c5 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-25 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x89c4…abf3 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 05:11 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-14 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 08:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d00…24ce | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 11:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-20 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d69…1452 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-26 07:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-30 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xedbc…6824 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 03:53 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-20 22:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 05:11:20 | Remorseful-Island 0x4d14…2366 | No | BUY | 136 | 100¢ | $136 | 0x9785f9… |
| 07-01 05:11:20 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9785f9… |
| 07-01 05:11:20 | (anonymous) 0x89c4…abf3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9785f9… |
| 06-30 08:40:34 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a2fd4… |
| 06-30 08:40:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a2fd4… |
| 06-30 08:25:25 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x42fa82… |
| 06-30 08:25:25 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x42fa82… |
| 06-30 08:25:25 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x42fa82… |
| 06-30 08:25:25 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x42fa82… |
| 06-28 19:07:17 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d3a79… |
| 06-28 19:07:17 | (anonymous) 0x0515…a166 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d3a79… |
| 06-28 19:07:17 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d3a79… |
| 06-27 19:01:35 | (anonymous) 0x950d…dac5 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe59f88… |
| 06-27 19:01:35 | Remorseful-Island 0x4d14…2366 | No | BUY | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0xe59f88… |
| 06-27 11:14:08 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 203 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf64394… |
| 06-27 11:14:08 | (anonymous) 0x0515…a166 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf64394… |
| 06-27 11:14:08 | (anonymous) 0x950d…dac5 | Yes | BUY | 146 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf64394… |
| 06-26 17:19:34 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1caf89… |
| 06-26 17:19:34 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 95 | 100¢ | $95 | 0x1caf89… |
| 06-26 14:26:17 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda8612… |
| 06-26 14:26:17 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | SELL | 219 | 100¢ | $219 | 0xda8612… |
| 06-26 14:26:17 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 203 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda8612… |
| 06-26 14:26:17 | Deafening-Psychologist 0xb521…18f6 | Yes | SELL | 522 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xda8612… |
| 06-26 13:46:18 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 34 | 99¢ | $33 | 0xb0db21… |
| 06-26 13:46:18 | (anonymous) 0xae3c…73e0 | No | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $33 | 0xb0db21… |
| 06-26 07:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x8d69…1452 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xaa49e0… |
| 06-26 07:54:13 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xaa49e0… |
| 06-25 12:55:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9529e1… |
| 06-25 12:55:52 | Serious-Motivation-Discrepancy 0x1d4b…50c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9529e1… |
| 06-24 16:44:50 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x81def9… |
| 06-24 16:44:50 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x81def9… |
| 06-20 22:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x525f97… |
| 06-20 22:12:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x525f97… |
| 06-20 22:12:10 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x04b5e7… |
| 06-20 22:12:10 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 33 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x04b5e7… |
| 06-20 22:12:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 133 | 99¢ | $131 | 0x04b5e7… |
| 06-20 18:18:32 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x13eabd… |
| 06-20 18:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x13eabd… |
| 06-20 18:18:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x243630… |
| 06-20 18:18:29 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 110 | 98¢ | $108 | 0x243630… |
| 06-20 18:18:29 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x243630… |
| 06-20 18:18:29 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 67 | 98¢ | $66 | 0x243630… |
| 06-20 18:18:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x243630… |
| 06-20 11:21:38 | (anonymous) 0x8e75…a4db | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x497a52… |
| 06-20 11:21:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x497a52… |
| 06-20 10:19:11 | (anonymous) 0x84cb…22b2 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x40ba52… |
| 06-20 10:19:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x40ba52… |
| 06-20 02:46:47 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x297ca1… |
| 06-20 02:46:47 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 66 | 97¢ | $64 | 0x297ca1… |
| 06-20 02:46:47 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 56 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x297ca1… |
| 06-18 03:53:16 | (anonymous) 0xedbc…6824 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3b39d4… |
| 06-18 03:53:16 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1fec65… |
| 06-18 03:53:16 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3b39d4… |
| 06-18 03:53:16 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1fec65… |
| 06-18 03:53:14 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x9ef203… |
| 06-18 03:53:14 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x618061… |
| 06-18 03:53:14 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1,450 | 96¢ | $1,392 | 0x9ef203… |
| 06-18 03:53:14 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x9ef203… |
| 06-18 03:53:14 | Raw-Shawl-Macrofauna 0x8672…62bc | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x618061… |
| 06-18 03:53:14 | (anonymous) 0x0f79…01b9 | Yes | BUY | 1,250 | 4¢ | $50 | 0x9ef203… |
| 06-14 00:56:04 | Charming-Cabinet 0xc5d0…02c2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcbcd46… |
| 06-14 00:56:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcbcd46… |
| 06-11 10:19:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x87f466… |
| 06-11 10:19:58 | (anonymous) 0x8e75…a4db | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x87f466… |
| 06-11 04:23:42 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 44 | 95¢ | $42 | 0xb5a9ce… |
| 06-11 04:23:42 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb5a9ce… |
| 06-11 04:23:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0xb5a9ce… |
| 06-11 04:23:42 | Incredible-Publishing 0xc7ba…2b58 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb5a9ce… |
| 06-07 18:05:03 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x51af7c… |
| 06-07 18:05:03 | Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x51af7c… |
| 06-07 11:38:27 | Incredible-Publishing 0xc7ba…2b58 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd0efd6… |
| 06-07 11:38:27 | (anonymous) 0x7d00…24ce | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd0efd6… |
| 06-07 06:55:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xa21ea4… |
| 06-07 06:55:45 | (anonymous) 0x1381…48da | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xa21ea4… |
| 05-30 05:28:20 | Tart-Stepaunt 0x4475…7e95 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xbcb226… |
| 05-30 05:28:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xbcb226… |
| 05-30 05:28:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xbcb226… |