Deafening-Psychologist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$278

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$6.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$82

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% — —

Other

36% 0% $-278

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	+2,391	$73	3¢	$68	$-4	06-09 22:08
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	+78	$8	8¢	$7	$-1	06-07 11:07
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	+2,000	$10	0¢	$5	$-5	06-01 23:38
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	+122	$3	2¢	$2	$-1	06-02 17:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	28	$2.2K	197,049	2,370	+194,679	open	—	03-04 19:14
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	8	$720	8,367	8,367	+0	open	—	04-19 19:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$503	508	508	+0	open	—	01-22 17:51
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	40	$354	204,180	4,700	+199,480	No	$-241	04-28 06:52
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	7	$313	4,285	4,285	+0	open	—	01-24 18:32
cs2 vit fal2 2026 01 24	2	$300	213	213	+0	open	—	01-24 17:15
will turkey strike iran by march 31	6	$268	4,226	4,226	+0	open	—	03-31 10:31
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$228	354	354	+0	open	—	03-14 00:37
will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	3	$205	157	157	+0	open	—	03-08 23:30
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$186	286	286	+0	open	—	01-20 15:26
will jordan strike iran by march 31	3	$167	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	03-09 21:03
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	6	$156	1,265	1,265	+0	open	—	06-05 17:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$114	422	422	+0	open	—	03-31 10:31
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$112	103	103	+0	open	—	03-12 00:11
Netanyahu out by June 30?	4	$98	2,310	2,310	+0	open	—	06-07 23:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	4	$73	2,391	0	+2,391	open	—	06-09 22:08
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$70	658	658	+0	open	—	03-14 00:37
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	3	$70	1,683	0	+1,683	open	—	04-19 19:16
nfl car tb 2026 01 04	4	$63	124	29	+95	open	—	01-04 00:10
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$54	206	206	+0	open	—	01-16 07:18
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	4	$37	11,746	0	+11,746	Yes	$-37	05-13 18:21
will trump say make iran great again during wef address on january 21	2	$34	258	0	+258	open	—	01-21 06:45
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	4	$32	1,138	1,138	+0	open	—	01-20 15:27
epl bou liv 2026 01 24 bou	2	$21	22	22	+0	open	—	01-24 18:51
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$19	122	122	+0	open	—	03-13 00:34
wta raducan osorio 2026 01 11	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	01-13 16:43
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	1	$10	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-01 23:38
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	3	$10	88	10	+78	open	—	06-07 11:07
Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-29 14:04
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	3	$9	544	544	+0	open	—	05-24 12:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:08:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x4854a7…
06-07 23:10:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	436	4¢	$17	0x71d8f2…
06-07 23:10:22	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,174	2¢	$41	0xd260b4…
06-07 11:07:19	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x575a0a…
06-05 18:41:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,734	3¢	$49	0xc125df…
06-05 18:35:58	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,174	2¢	$50	0x4c3998…
06-05 18:00:49	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0x8a15dd…
06-05 17:58:09	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,245	8¢	$105	0xaa5afd…
06-04 21:40:48	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0x25ad30…
06-04 21:35:42	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x74f149…
06-03 23:07:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$4	0xa16b82…
06-03 23:06:48	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	136	3¢	$4	0x436bee…
06-02 21:52:14	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	Yes	BUY	437	4¢	$17	0x1104d9…
06-02 17:37:00	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0x6e75fe…
06-02 17:34:07	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	122	2¢	$3	0x1f112b…
06-02 17:17:54	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	Yes	BUY	197	4¢	$7	0xbf02bf…
06-01 23:38:21	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xfba297…
06-01 23:34:18	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$22	0xd96e31…
06-01 23:33:29	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x6fa101…
05-24 12:42:15	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	544	1¢	$4	0x9bf7b3…
05-21 13:01:25	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x589935…
05-19 10:18:59	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	344	1¢	$3	0x2393ce…
05-13 18:21:13	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	3,680	0¢	$4	0xf2daca…
05-13 18:16:03	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	4,850	0¢	$5	0xc07dbd…
05-13 00:56:54	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	1,990	1¢	$19	0x061a32…
05-13 00:53:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	1,226	1¢	$10	0x8a2039…
04-29 14:04:06	Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe99259…
04-28 06:52:30	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	320	0¢	$0	0x7a16a9…
04-28 06:52:08	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	138	0¢	$0	0x27de02…
04-28 06:51:54	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	262	0¢	$0	0xc9cf6d…
04-28 06:51:40	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	380	0¢	$0	0x04aadf…
04-28 06:44:28	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1e1dce…
04-28 06:18:02	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xf70988…
04-28 06:17:44	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	152	0¢	$0	0xc81b9c…
04-28 06:15:30	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	235	0¢	$0	0x506969…
04-28 06:15:14	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xc9c0bd…
04-28 06:14:58	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xf06142…
04-28 06:14:42	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xfec4f3…
04-28 06:14:30	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x1328a6…
04-28 06:14:26	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	156	0¢	$0	0x3f123d…
04-28 06:14:16	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	131	0¢	$0	0xaa9cfc…
04-28 06:01:24	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	884	0¢	$1	0xaeafbd…
04-28 05:23:32	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x497097…
04-28 05:05:16	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x48ff26…
04-28 04:32:00	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,071	0¢	$1	0xd7c6b1…
04-28 04:01:14	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	276	0¢	$0	0x5be1f9…
04-28 02:42:26	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2964bc…
04-28 00:49:02	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,558	0¢	$2	0x6817dc…
04-27 23:26:44	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xde3a68…
04-27 22:56:44	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x57e325…
04-27 22:33:54	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,490	0¢	$2	0x511213…
04-27 22:33:52	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	229	0¢	$0	0xc0351d…
04-27 22:33:36	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x592c7f…
04-27 22:33:24	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	367	0¢	$0	0xd4623e…
04-27 22:33:24	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x2d0ece…
04-27 22:28:48	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$2	0xc8685b…
04-24 22:42:10	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x838fe2…
04-24 22:41:40	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x15c2d5…
04-24 22:41:06	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x46d744…
04-24 22:19:26	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x77a45c…
04-24 18:39:52	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3,500	0¢	$7	0x712bda…
04-24 15:38:34	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	14,000	0¢	$28	0x45ec53…
04-19 19:16:04	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	784	2¢	$15	0x344076…
04-19 19:15:22	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	510	3¢	$15	0x346a0a…
04-15 23:00:32	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	6,602	1¢	$56	0x16fda6…
04-15 22:59:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	510	2¢	$10	0x1407f6…
04-15 22:56:44	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,780	1¢	$17	0x8f7072…
03-31 10:32:15	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	220	6¢	$13	0x8386c7…
03-31 10:31:53	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	4,226	0¢	$5	0x59b6d7…
03-31 10:31:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	422	2¢	$8	0x1a99e8…
03-30 21:13:59	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	679	6¢	$42	0x59f5f9…
03-30 21:13:45	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,180	1¢	$42	0x77875e…
03-28 17:28:17	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,180	2¢	$94	0x6e87ef…
03-26 19:48:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	422	25¢	$106	0x469555…
03-15 09:16:07	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	215	4¢	$9	0x96d903…
03-14 00:48:31	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,219	5¢	$119	0xda89f0…
03-14 00:46:03	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	625	5¢	$30	0x10f686…
03-14 00:37:51	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	658	4¢	$24	0x53c485…
03-14 00:37:41	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	SELL	354	35¢	$125	0xd333f3…
03-13 00:34:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	122	7¢	$9	0x143e82…
03-12 00:21:23	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	658	7¢	$46	0xc92418…
03-12 00:19:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0xd35be7…
03-12 00:11:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	103	54¢	$56	0x6c1365…
03-12 00:02:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	103	54¢	$56	0x7e55a0…
03-11 23:25:41	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	4,700	1¢	$56	0x5eb961…
03-11 15:36:43	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	354	29¢	$102	0x97b93b…
03-09 21:03:57	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	518	12¢	$61	0x96624c…
03-09 21:03:41	will jordan strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,054	6¢	$61	0xd1ff7f…
03-09 10:52:41	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	650	7¢	$44	0x70bc00…
03-09 10:47:33	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$3	0x614d7d…
03-09 10:46:45	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$15	0xe657e2…
03-08 23:44:33	will jordan strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	949	10¢	$95	0x8ef1af…
03-08 23:42:51	will jordan strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$11	0x876d35…
03-08 23:30:23	will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xe708a0…
03-08 23:30:21	will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	No	SELL	157	67¢	$105	0x8fdd14…
03-08 23:22:35	will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	No	BUY	157	63¢	$99	0x9f2d68…
03-04 19:14:25	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	68,610	0¢	$69	0x4d25dc…
02-11 14:23:33	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	48,533	0¢	$98	0x12556c…
01-30 15:27:26	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	12,143	0¢	$51	0x5abcf0…
01-30 12:42:16	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0xfe00fe…