Deafening-Psychologist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$278

Unrealized P&L

-$89

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$8.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-16 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-278

Politics

48% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes		+1,112	$103	1¢	$14	$-89	06-15 23:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	28	$2.2K	197,049	2,370	+194,679	open	—	03-04 19:14
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	8	$720	8,367	8,367	+0	open	—	04-19 19:15
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	6	$527	548	548	+0	open	—	07-05 21:45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$503	508	508	+0	open	—	01-22 17:51
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	40	$354	204,180	4,700	+199,480	No	$-241	04-28 06:52
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	2	$345	223	223	+0	open	—	07-03 00:54
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	7	$313	4,285	4,285	+0	open	—	01-24 18:32
cs2 vit fal2 2026 01 24	2	$300	213	213	+0	open	—	01-24 17:15
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$300	269	269	+0	open	—	06-29 23:23
will turkey strike iran by march 31	6	$268	4,226	4,226	+0	open	—	03-31 10:31
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	4	$233	359	114	+245	open	—	07-06 00:29
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$228	354	354	+0	open	—	03-14 00:37
will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	3	$205	157	157	+0	open	—	03-08 23:30
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$186	286	286	+0	open	—	01-20 15:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$179	2,462	2,972	-511	open	—	06-11 20:54
will jordan strike iran by march 31	3	$167	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	03-09 21:03
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	6	$156	1,265	1,265	+0	open	—	06-05 17:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$114	422	422	+0	open	—	03-31 10:31
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$112	103	103	+0	open	—	03-12 00:11
Netanyahu out by June 30?	5	$110	4,310	2,310	+2,000	open	—	06-19 01:17
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	8	$105	1,122	10	+1,112	open	—	06-15 23:03
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$81	3,160	3,160	+0	open	—	07-16 09:38
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$70	658	658	+0	open	—	03-14 00:37
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	3	$70	1,683	0	+1,683	open	—	04-19 19:16
nfl car tb 2026 01 04	4	$63	124	29	+95	open	—	01-04 00:10
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$63	2,385	0	+2,385	open	—	07-07 13:56
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$54	206	206	+0	open	—	01-16 07:18
will trump try to fire powell as fed board member by july 31 2026 20260626181928589	2	$41	1,553	0	+1,553	open	—	07-16 09:39
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$38	109	0	+109	open	—	07-06 19:33
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	4	$37	11,746	0	+11,746	Yes	$-37	05-13 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 09:39:34	will trump try to fire powell as fed board member by july 31 2026 20260626181928589	Yes	BUY	1,152	2¢	$25	0x796da4…
07-16 09:38:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	1,160	2¢	$26	0xd47a28…
07-12 00:11:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,160	2¢	$29	0xb51557…
07-11 23:41:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x6fb91e…
07-11 23:17:25	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0x77eca4…
07-07 13:56:58	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,369	1¢	$12	0x0fbf42…
07-07 13:56:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$12	0x740749…
07-06 19:33:19	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x98dc85…
07-06 00:30:52	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	53	34¢	$18	0x853745…
07-06 00:29:28	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	143	49¢	$70	0x78a863…
07-06 00:26:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$14	0xe8eea3…
07-05 23:39:40	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x9720c0…
07-05 22:46:17	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	SELL	114	49¢	$56	0x7e0a39…
07-05 22:22:04	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	114	50¢	$57	0x4521f2…
07-05 21:45:49	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	SELL	216	73¢	$158	0x6a79bd…
07-05 21:44:22	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	216	74¢	$160	0x78cc4f…
07-05 21:26:53	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	SELL	332	32¢	$106	0x9b0570…
07-05 21:02:58	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	149	32¢	$48	0x2fac04…
07-05 18:52:14	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8a82e4…
07-05 18:25:07	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x32790b…
07-03 01:28:40	will trump try to fire powell as fed board member by july 31 2026 20260626181928589	Yes	BUY	401	4¢	$16	0x3a7191…
07-03 00:54:37	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	SELL	223	95¢	$211	0x689742…
07-03 00:44:55	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	223	60¢	$134	0x5bf6b5…
06-29 23:23:02	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	269	75¢	$202	0x133508…
06-29 23:07:34	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	122	39¢	$48	0x5bf371…
06-29 23:02:47	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x8fd678…
06-26 14:26:43	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	BUY	620	0¢	$1	0xf92c4d…
06-26 14:26:17	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	522	0¢	$1	0xda8612…
06-19 01:17:40	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,016	5¢	$51	0x38fca9…
06-19 01:17:11	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$12	0xb266db…
06-15 23:03:00	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	BUY	209	7¢	$15	0x387747…
06-15 22:53:30	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0xb4ef30…
06-13 08:03:43	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$9	0xc1bc57…
06-13 08:03:25	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	SELL	3,746	0¢	$10	0x656675…
06-11 23:21:57	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	BUY	551	11¢	$60	0x2132f6…
06-11 21:23:36	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xa22025…
06-11 20:58:00	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0x828111…
06-11 20:56:03	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x2adf32…
06-11 20:54:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,972	4¢	$104	0x016ac1…
06-10 17:56:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x0553a2…
06-10 17:56:09	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	122	2¢	$2	0x8000bd…
06-09 22:08:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x4854a7…
06-07 23:10:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	436	4¢	$17	0x71d8f2…
06-07 23:10:22	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,174	2¢	$41	0xd260b4…
06-07 11:07:19	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x575a0a…
06-05 18:41:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,734	3¢	$49	0xc125df…
06-05 18:35:58	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,174	2¢	$50	0x4c3998…
06-05 18:00:49	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0x8a15dd…
06-05 17:58:09	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,245	8¢	$105	0xaa5afd…
06-04 21:40:48	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	Yes	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0x25ad30…
06-04 21:35:42	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x74f149…
06-03 23:07:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$4	0xa16b82…
06-03 23:06:48	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	136	3¢	$4	0x436bee…
06-02 21:52:14	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	Yes	BUY	437	4¢	$17	0x1104d9…
06-02 17:37:00	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0x6e75fe…
06-02 17:34:07	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	122	2¢	$3	0x1f112b…
06-02 17:17:54	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	Yes	BUY	197	4¢	$7	0xbf02bf…
06-01 23:38:21	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xfba297…
06-01 23:34:18	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$22	0xd96e31…
06-01 23:33:29	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x6fa101…
05-24 12:42:15	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	544	1¢	$4	0x9bf7b3…
05-21 13:01:25	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x589935…
05-19 10:18:59	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	344	1¢	$3	0x2393ce…
05-13 18:21:13	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	3,680	0¢	$4	0xf2daca…
05-13 18:16:03	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	4,850	0¢	$5	0xc07dbd…
05-13 00:56:54	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	1,990	1¢	$19	0x061a32…
05-13 00:53:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	1,226	1¢	$10	0x8a2039…
04-29 14:04:06	Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe99259…
04-28 06:52:30	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	320	0¢	$0	0x7a16a9…
04-28 06:52:08	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	138	0¢	$0	0x27de02…
04-28 06:51:54	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	262	0¢	$0	0xc9cf6d…
04-28 06:51:40	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	380	0¢	$0	0x04aadf…
04-28 06:44:28	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1e1dce…
04-28 06:18:02	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xf70988…
04-28 06:17:44	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	152	0¢	$0	0xc81b9c…
04-28 06:15:30	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	235	0¢	$0	0x506969…
04-28 06:15:14	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xc9c0bd…
04-28 06:14:58	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xf06142…
04-28 06:14:42	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xfec4f3…
04-28 06:14:30	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x1328a6…
04-28 06:14:26	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	156	0¢	$0	0x3f123d…
04-28 06:14:16	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	131	0¢	$0	0xaa9cfc…
04-28 06:01:24	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	884	0¢	$1	0xaeafbd…
04-28 05:23:32	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x497097…
04-28 05:05:16	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x48ff26…
04-28 04:32:00	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,071	0¢	$1	0xd7c6b1…
04-28 04:01:14	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	276	0¢	$0	0x5be1f9…
04-28 02:42:26	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2964bc…
04-28 00:49:02	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,558	0¢	$2	0x6817dc…
04-27 23:26:44	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xde3a68…
04-27 22:56:44	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x57e325…
04-27 22:33:54	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,490	0¢	$2	0x511213…
04-27 22:33:52	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	229	0¢	$0	0xc0351d…
04-27 22:33:36	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x592c7f…
04-27 22:33:24	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	367	0¢	$0	0xd4623e…
04-27 22:33:24	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x2d0ece…
04-27 22:28:48	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$2	0xc8685b…
04-24 22:42:10	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x838fe2…
04-24 22:41:40	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x15c2d5…
04-24 22:41:06	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x46d744…