Charming-Cabinet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

6.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$112

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-14 00:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

78% 15% -$63

Tech

16% 0% -$16

Politics

6% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	+421	$6	0¢	$1	-$5	04-30 07:53
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	+118	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	04-30 07:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	+45	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	04-30 07:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	+25	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	04-30 07:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?	3	$18	194	194	+0	No	-$16	06-01 08:12
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	5	$15	15,000	0	+15,000	Yes	-$15	04-24 03:20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$11	181	0	+181	Down	-$11	04-30 18:27
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	154	0	+154	Yes	-$10	04-21 21:43
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	3	$6	190	190	+0	No	-$6	04-30 18:25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	1	$6	421	0	+421	open	—	04-30 07:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$6	235	0	+235	No	-$6	05-04 09:17
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	2	$6	45	24	+21	No	-$4	04-29 00:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	05-01 03:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$4	0	132	-132	No	+$4	05-04 09:16
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	8	8	+0	No	-$2	06-14 00:56
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	2	$2	71	71	+0	No	+$0	05-31 10:04
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 21:44
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$1	33	17	+16	No	-$1	04-29 00:14
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	04-30 07:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1	125	0	+125	No	-$1	06-01 08:15
Will Trump say "NASA" 5+ times during astronaut greeting?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	04-30 07:23
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?	1	$1	27	0	+27	No	-$1	04-23 08:24
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	285	0	+285	No	-$1	04-22 07:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	1	$1	118	0	+118	open	—	04-30 07:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1	29	0	+29	No	-$1	06-01 08:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	-$1	04-29 06:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	05-04 09:17
OPEC dissolves in 2026?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-01 04:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	1	$1	11	0	+11	No	-$1	04-30 08:00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	04-29 06:24
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	04-29 21:43
Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April?	1	$1	29	0	+29	No	-$1	04-23 08:26
Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?	1	$1	48	0	+48	No	-$1	04-23 08:24
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	48	0	+48	No	-$1	04-22 07:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 00:56:04	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xcbcd46…
06-01 08:15:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x227fec…
06-01 08:15:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x2e58d4…
06-01 08:12:31	Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?	Yes	SELL	194	0¢	$1	0xcb410a…
05-31 10:04:13	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xdd3d4a…
05-24 09:38:30	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x95f572…
05-24 08:36:03	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x1f3797…
05-04 09:17:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x994e84…
05-04 09:17:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2bd996…
05-04 09:16:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0x2497cd…
05-01 04:50:40	Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?	Yes	BUY	136	9¢	$12	0x36bf95…
05-01 04:48:54	Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?	Yes	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0x3fed2f…
05-01 04:34:30	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2c19ad…
05-01 03:37:50	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x889d98…
04-30 21:44:16	Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb2f7fc…
04-30 18:27:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	169	3¢	$5	0xd61511…
04-30 18:25:34	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	SELL	190	0¢	$0	0xb9db4f…
04-30 08:01:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x93174a…
04-30 08:00:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x08fffc…
04-30 07:54:28	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xaac6fe…
04-30 07:54:10	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xe32879…
04-30 07:54:00	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0x5de41b…
04-30 07:53:40	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	421	1¢	$6	0x3bd4ea…
04-30 07:44:56	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf65230…
04-30 07:42:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x21e2e5…
04-30 07:23:56	Will Trump say "NASA" 5+ times during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaf53d4…
04-29 21:43:12	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbbcbbe…
04-29 06:24:36	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf0d46b…
04-29 06:22:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb44792…
04-29 00:14:42	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x4b49b8…
04-29 00:14:16	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x6d4727…
04-29 00:12:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0x9554f6…
04-24 03:20:12	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x326263…
04-24 00:26:22	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x7c2a25…
04-24 00:15:42	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xcc402a…
04-23 18:31:38	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xdafae6…
04-23 18:31:20	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x531fbf…
04-23 08:57:52	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xdd9331…
04-23 08:55:22	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9ff13e…
04-23 08:26:28	Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xbba85c…
04-23 08:24:16	Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xd65d77…
04-23 08:24:12	Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xea968a…
04-22 21:44:04	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xf87f31…
04-22 07:31:46	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x4cc21f…
04-22 07:27:14	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	285	0¢	$1	0x348525…
04-21 21:43:28	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x38e79b…
04-21 21:41:50	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa672cc…
04-21 09:50:40	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc74915…