Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
open
Total volume
$10,571
$603 in 24h
Trades
768
Unique wallets
100
Liquidity
$19,945
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-09-16
First seen
2026-04-30
last 05-11 15:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-11.2¢
(top1%: 13% YES on $382
vs crowd: 24% YES on $7.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $1.4K | $2.4K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $133 | $576 | $442 |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $74 | $2.7K | $2.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $268 | $199 | +$69 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $48 | $334 | $286 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $55 | $432 | $378 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $119 | $42 | +$77 |
| Median | 17 | $78 | $119 | $41 |
| Below median | 26 | $65 | $303 | $238 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $65 | $183 | $117 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $15 | $2.7K | $2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $1.3K | $1.6K | $332 |
| unranked | 16 | $106 | $172 | $66 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +2,171 | $1,120 | $1,120 | 3 | 05-09 10:53 |
| Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | +1,462 | $1,279 | $3,640 | 212 | 05-11 08:37 |
| Lasting-Dessert 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | +1,214 | $996 | $996 | 1 | 05-06 05:16 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | +763 | $572 | $572 | 2 | 05-09 17:30 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +521 | $75 | $75 | 9 | 05-10 15:05 |
| Queasy-Cougar 0xa4b3…87b8 | No | +407 | $330 | $330 | 2 | 05-11 15:17 |
| Black-And-White-Almond 0x021f…120d | Yes | +311 | $44 | $44 | 18 | 05-08 19:00 |
| Untimely-Charge 0x391d…def1 | Yes | +299 | $-56 | $279 | 20 | 05-09 11:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x554f…89b4 | Yes | +215 | $21 | $21 | 15 | 05-03 22:15 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +181 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 05-09 23:47 |
| Unwitting-Differential 0x82e6…b32f | Yes | +179 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-09 00:15 |
| Frosty-Lack 0x46ce…352c | Yes | +168 | $18 | $18 | 17 | 05-07 15:38 |
| Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | Yes | +163 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-11 14:16 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +150 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-09 10:53 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +114 | $17 | $17 | 9 | 05-03 21:47 |
| Assured-Porter 0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | +101 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-07 15:39 |
| Caring-Boundary 0xdb5d…333f | No | +100 | $82 | $82 | 4 | 05-05 13:39 |
| Oval-Essential 0xeb03…5d15 | Yes | +100 | $13 | $13 | 6 | 05-06 17:51 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +91 | $88 | $580 | 34 | 05-11 15:19 |
| Evil-Bronchitis 0x32e5…931a | No | +91 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 05-07 15:39 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +83 | $11 | $11 | 8 | 05-04 00:24 |
| Noxious-Eclipse 0x3d65…c7ed | Yes | +79 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-09 22:18 |
| Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | No | +77 | $59 | $205 | 12 | 05-10 15:06 |
| Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | +65 | $16 | $16 | 9 | 05-10 11:06 |
| Glossy-Fashion 0x3c01…d612 | No | +63 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-09 22:18 |
| Sunny-Suppression 0x86c5…8448 | Yes | +61 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 07:13 |
| Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | No | +61 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-03 15:40 |
| Aged-Midline 0x7bfc…1a00 | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 19:04 |
| Repentant-Shackle 0xaa9f…0df3 | No | +50 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-09 17:21 |
| Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | +50 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 05-11 14:16 |
| Silly-Men 0x695c…10a1 | No | +48 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-09 10:53 |
| Improbable-Feature 0x1c33…ab72 | Yes | +48 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 13:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +45 | $35 | $35 | 11 | 05-10 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5ce…7dad | Yes | +43 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-09 05:17 |
| Lost-Estate 0x6aaf…1b96 | Yes | +42 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 03:44 |
| Energetic-Elevation 0x4dd9…51fb | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-01 06:58 |
| Sane-Pan 0x8092…b8a2 | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-11 15:17 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +33 | $7 | $12 | 14 | 05-10 21:55 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 6 | 05-07 15:38 |
| Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 6 | 05-11 06:49 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +27 | $21 | $38 | 15 | 05-10 12:09 |
| Mellow-Emphasis 0xf477…7a3e | Yes | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 21:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +23 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 05-05 13:39 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +23 | $0 | $77 | 34 | 05-11 15:18 |
| Fluffy-Eye 0xdc3d…498a | No | +22 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 05-10 12:09 |
| Feisty-Orientation 0xe9c1…e713 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 04-30 07:36 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +20 | $3 | $16 | 8 | 05-11 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-11 15:18 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-11 15:19 |
| Weepy-Email 0xae3c…f3a0 | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-30 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | Yes | +18 | $0 | $6 | 5 | 05-08 07:13 |
| Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-03 22:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-03 04:36 |
| Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 05-04 00:10 |
| Steep-Treat 0xe694…7e7c | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 15:21 |
| Far-Truth-Clover 0x4851…a6da | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-03 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-11 15:18 |
| Well-Off-Aim 0xd245…2318 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 15:17 |
| Late-Tool-Appeal 0x3dbd…1939 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 15:17 |
| Anguished-Grove 0x417e…6fc9 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 04:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 15:19:41 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x5aa716… |
| 05-11 15:19:41 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x5aa716… |
| 05-11 15:18:41 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x483cd9… |
| 05-11 15:18:41 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x483cd9… |
| 05-11 15:18:36 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xcd7ab6… |
| 05-11 15:18:36 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xcd7ab6… |
| 05-11 15:18:01 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x8ac1d2… |
| 05-11 15:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x149b…d435 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x8ac1d2… |
| 05-11 15:18:01 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xc642d7… |
| 05-11 15:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x957a…624d | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xc642d7… |
| 05-11 15:17:59 | Well-Off-Aim 0xd245…2318 | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x287a14… |
| 05-11 15:17:59 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x2532e3… |
| 05-11 15:17:59 | Crooked-Archives 0xb275…7a5c | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xd8cc71… |
| 05-11 15:17:59 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x287a14… |
| 05-11 15:17:59 | Late-Tool-Appeal 0x3dbd…1939 | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x57a2fc… |
| 05-11 15:17:59 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xd8cc71… |
| 05-11 15:17:59 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x57a2fc… |
| 05-11 15:17:59 | Vacant-Jute 0x6880…e53c | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x2532e3… |
| 05-11 15:17:58 | (anonymous) 0x0676…2156 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x07e682… |
| 05-11 15:17:58 | Queasy-Cougar 0xa4b3…87b8 | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x5d4ff5… |
| 05-11 15:17:58 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 13 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x5d4ff5… |
| 05-11 15:17:58 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x0845ae… |
| 05-11 15:17:58 | Sane-Pan 0x8092…b8a2 | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x0845ae… |
| 05-11 15:17:58 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x07e682… |
| 05-11 15:17:58 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 87 | 80¢ | $70 | 0x5d4ff5… |
| 05-11 14:19:55 | Healthy-Roadway 0x0862…8403 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x069392… |
| 05-11 14:19:55 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x069392… |
| 05-11 14:19:45 | Bountiful-Diner 0x7a10…9977 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xc2cc43… |
| 05-11 14:19:45 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xc2cc43… |
| 05-11 14:19:38 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 2 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xafd24e… |
| 05-11 14:19:38 | Decisive-Picnic 0x409e…a1e0 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xafd24e… |
| 05-11 14:16:53 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 23 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x0d96d4… |
| 05-11 14:16:53 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0x0d96d4… |
| 05-11 14:16:53 | Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | Yes | BUY | 163 | 21¢ | $34 | 0x0d96d4… |
| 05-11 14:16:53 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 40 | 79¢ | $32 | 0x0d96d4… |
| 05-11 14:11:15 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x6716c8… |
| 05-11 14:11:15 | Alarmed-Oyster 0x22bf…8642 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x6716c8… |
| 05-11 14:10:11 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x13543b… |
| 05-11 14:10:11 | Dreary-Vice 0x6b88…1fd0 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x13543b… |
| 05-11 14:10:07 | Healthy-Roadway 0x0862…8403 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x00f760… |
| 05-11 14:10:07 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x00f760… |
| 05-11 14:09:15 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x7e54fe… |
| 05-11 14:09:15 | Bountiful-Diner 0x7a10…9977 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x7e54fe… |
| 05-11 14:08:36 | Spanish-Consulting 0xd43a…1c11 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xfbf53b… |
| 05-11 14:08:36 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xfbf53b… |
| 05-11 14:08:29 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x3331c2… |
| 05-11 14:08:29 | Chilly-Test 0x0369…2a12 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x3331c2… |
| 05-11 14:08:27 | Spherical-Number 0x29dc…7081 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x87579b… |
| 05-11 14:08:27 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x87579b… |
| 05-11 14:01:24 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xeb71e4… |
| 05-11 14:01:24 | Regal-Softening 0xfc50…877e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xeb71e4… |
| 05-11 13:57:57 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 21¢ | $9 | 0x08c51f… |
| 05-11 13:57:57 | Improbable-Feature 0x1c33…ab72 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x08c51f… |
| 05-11 13:57:57 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x08c51f… |
| 05-11 08:37:48 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xad9bdf… |
| 05-11 08:37:48 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0xad9bdf… |
| 05-11 08:28:45 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xbd1b21… |
| 05-11 08:28:45 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 8 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xbd1b21… |
| 05-11 08:28:01 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 17 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x92f711… |
| 05-11 08:28:01 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | BUY | 17 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x92f711… |
| 05-11 06:49:33 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xbacf45… |
| 05-11 06:49:33 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xbacf45… |
| 05-11 06:19:27 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xd2fbc7… |
| 05-11 06:19:27 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xd2fbc7… |
| 05-11 05:49:23 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x630fc9… |
| 05-11 05:49:23 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x630fc9… |
| 05-11 05:45:46 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0xf0e911… |
| 05-11 05:45:46 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf0e911… |
| 05-11 05:19:19 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xdf7caf… |
| 05-11 05:19:19 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xdf7caf… |
| 05-11 04:49:15 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xddb531… |
| 05-11 04:49:15 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xddb531… |
| 05-11 04:40:28 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x34d5bd… |
| 05-11 04:40:28 | Anguished-Grove 0x417e…6fc9 | No | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x34d5bd… |
| 05-11 04:19:10 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x88895a… |
| 05-11 04:19:10 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x88895a… |
| 05-11 02:49:13 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 39 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x57f928… |
| 05-11 02:49:13 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 39 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x57f928… |
| 05-10 21:55:45 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 4 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x73239e… |
| 05-10 21:55:45 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x73239e… |
| 05-10 15:35:27 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xb04864… |
| 05-10 15:35:27 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 78¢ | $0 | 0xb04864… |
| 05-10 15:34:13 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $0 | 0xe4e08e… |
| 05-10 15:34:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xe4e08e… |
| 05-10 15:21:41 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x55f87c… |
| 05-10 15:21:41 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 15 | 81¢ | $12 | 0x55f87c… |
| 05-10 15:21:41 | Steep-Treat 0xe694…7e7c | No | BUY | 13 | 81¢ | $11 | 0x55f87c… |
| 05-10 15:15:54 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0xe2ce1b… |
| 05-10 15:15:54 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0xe2ce1b… |
| 05-10 15:06:53 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | No | SELL | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x27b235… |
| 05-10 15:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x27b235… |
| 05-10 15:06:46 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0xe7ba7b… |
| 05-10 15:06:46 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xe7ba7b… |
| 05-10 15:06:46 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | No | SELL | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xe7ba7b… |
| 05-10 15:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x149b…d435 | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xc4642e… |
| 05-10 15:05:33 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xc4642e… |
| 05-10 15:05:31 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x58c789… |
| 05-10 15:05:31 | Sane-Pan 0x8092…b8a2 | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $25 | 0x58c789… |
| 05-10 15:05:31 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x58c789… |
| 05-10 15:05:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 19¢ | $9 | 0x7b6a4b… |