Spherical-Number 0x29dc1a…3f7081
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Realized P&L
-$29
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
40.1%
Resolved
46
Trades
1,349
lifetime
Volume
$4.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$98
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 20:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
53% 50% $-8
Politics
35% 20% $-13
Sports
10% 14% $-8
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-9 62¢ $-9 $-1 06-06 12:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 05-31 15:40
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 06-08 07:45
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes -8 $-8 100¢ $-8 $-0 06-07 13:56
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -9 $-8 92¢ $-8 $-0 06-07 13:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-7 96¢ $-7 $-0 05-31 09:44
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? No +12 $6 56¢ $7 +$0 06-10 20:27
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-31 12:01
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes -6 $-4 78¢ $-5 $-1 06-07 14:00
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? Yes -5 $-5 93¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 13:59
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-01 18:40
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-6 18¢ $-4 +$2 06-02 08:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 06-05 06:30
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-2 16¢ $-3 $-1 06-07 12:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 $-0 06-10 00:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 06-07 13:54
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes -13 $-1 11¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 13:56
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 36¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 13:54
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 +$0 06-08 07:45
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 13:55
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 13:54
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes -17 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$1 06-05 04:44
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? No -25 $-1 1¢ $-0 +$1 06-07 13:54