Spherical-Number 0x29dc1a…3f7081
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Realized P&L
-$29
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
40.1%
Resolved
46
Trades
1,467
lifetime
Volume
$5.38K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$57
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-03 04:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
56% 50% $-8
Politics
32% 20% $-13
Sports
9% 14% $-8
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-9 60¢ $-9 $-0 06-06 12:38
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-2 38¢ $-7 $-6 06-07 12:57
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes -6 $-4 94¢ $-6 $-2 06-07 14:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +7 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 06-15 14:59
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +21 $8 25¢ $5 $-3 06-22 20:38
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 $-0 06-28 15:26
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 06-01 18:40
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-13 17:28
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -13 $-4 29¢ $-4 +$0 06-23 18:28
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 07-02 14:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 18¢ $2 +$0 06-23 16:28
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 44¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 13:54
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -17 $-1 6¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 14:49
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No +10 $2 8¢ $1 $-1 06-29 21:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +14 $0 0¢ $0 $-0 06-21 19:56
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes -13 $-1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-07 13:56