Realized P&L
-$29
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
40.1%
Resolved
46
Trades
1,468
lifetime
Volume
$5.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$54
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-03 21:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
56% 50% $-8
Politics
32% 20% $-13
Sports
9% 14% $-8
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-9 66¢ $-10 $-1 06-06 12:38
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-2 46¢ $-9 $-7 06-07 12:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +7 $5 77¢ $6 +$1 06-15 14:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 48¢ $5 +$3 06-23 16:28
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +21 $8 22¢ $5 $-3 06-22 20:38
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 06-28 15:26
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-13 17:28
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-01 18:40
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 $-0 07-02 14:05
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -13 $-4 14¢ $-2 +$2 06-23 18:28
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -17 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-15 14:49
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 36¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 13:54
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No +10 $2 $1 $-1 06-29 21:44