Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
55.7%
Resolved
51
Trades
2,371
lifetime
Volume
$5.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$77
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 07-01 12:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-8
Other
37% 50% $-21
Sports
10% 22% $-14
Tech
2%
Crypto
1% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-9 58¢ $-9 $-0 06-06 12:38
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -10 $-7 84¢ $-8 $-2 06-07 13:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 78¢ $-8 $-1 06-07 12:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +19 $8 40¢ $8 $-0 07-01 13:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +10 $7 75¢ $8 +$1 06-15 15:00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +23 $8 26¢ $6 $-2 06-17 13:19
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-29 17:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-29 17:42
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-13 17:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 $-0 06-29 17:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5 $4 70¢ $4 $-0 06-29 17:42
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +4 $4 85¢ $3 $-0 06-08 07:46
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 $-0 06-29 17:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 20¢ $2 +$1 06-23 16:28
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 10¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 13:55
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes -15 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-07 13:55
Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026? No +29 $9 $0 $-9 06-23 03:17
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -2 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-15 14:47