Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
55.7%
Resolved
51
Trades
2,390
lifetime
Volume
$5.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$92
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 07-04 21:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-8
Other
37% 50% $-21
Sports
10% 22% $-14
Tech
2%
Crypto
1% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +17 $9 62¢ $11 +$2 07-04 00:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-9 66¢ $-10 $-1 06-06 12:38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 88¢ $-9 $-2 06-07 12:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$2 06-15 15:00
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +19 $8 40¢ $8 $-0 07-01 13:01
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -10 $-7 66¢ $-7 +$0 06-07 13:56
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +23 $8 23¢ $5 $-3 06-17 13:19
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-29 17:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 46¢ $5 +$3 06-23 16:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 +$0 06-29 17:42
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-13 17:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-29 17:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-29 17:42
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +4 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 06-08 07:46
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-29 17:42
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-07 13:55
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -2 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-15 14:47