Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
7,631
lifetime
Volume
$12.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$154
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 07-21 17:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
69% 100% +$8
Other
26% 100% +$1
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +64 $36 48¢ $31 $-5 07-17 15:21
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +715 $36 $25 $-11 07-13 20:30
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +47 $14 52¢ $24 +$11 07-15 14:22
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +21 $16 91¢ $19 +$3 06-02 10:47
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +22 $17 85¢ $19 +$2 06-19 15:40
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes +175 $24 $16 $-9 07-20 13:59
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -12 $-12 100¢ $-12 $-0 07-06 14:48
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? Yes +10 $8 83¢ $8 +$0 07-19 16:32
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -4 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-06 18:04