Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
7,520
lifetime
Volume
$11.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$104
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 06-30 19:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
71% 100% +$8
Other
25% 100% +$1
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +52 $24 44¢ $23 $-1 06-30 19:13
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +22 $17 84¢ $19 +$2 06-19 15:40
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +21 $16 85¢ $18 +$2 06-02 10:47
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +259 $16 $15 $-1 06-26 10:39
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +30 $10 36¢ $11 +$1 06-24 17:52
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +43 $10 17¢ $7 $-3 06-22 20:41
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -6 $-6 99¢ $-6 +$0 06-22 22:12
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-5 100¢ $-6 $-1 06-14 00:21
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -4 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-06 18:04
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes -0 $-0 15¢ $-0 +$0 06-06 18:04