Well-Off-Aim 0xd24530…d52318 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$1.47K
Unrealized P&L
-$104
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved
581
Trades
18,863
lifetime
Volume
$24.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$562
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 11-06 05:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Politics
56% 72% +$622
Other
42% 64% +$946
Crypto
1% 14% -$85
Tech
1% 67% -$14
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +68 $56 97¢ $66 +$9 09-28 13:47
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +46 $39 95¢ $44 +$5 10-02 12:33
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -737 -$19 5¢ $-37 -$18 08-29 17:03
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +33 $21 96¢ $32 +$11 10-04 08:29
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes — +18,251 $70 0¢ $27 -$43 07-19 17:05
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +40 $25 68¢ $27 +$2 10-09 14:44
Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? No +25 $18 99¢ $25 +$7 08-20 16:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +163 $49 15¢ $24 -$25 09-28 13:50
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +33 $25 68¢ $23 -$2 09-27 11:34
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$1 09-27 10:21
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +140 $57 15¢ $21 -$36 09-28 14:41
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +22 $17 94¢ $21 +$4 06-19 15:40
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? Yes +71 $13 26¢ $18 +$5 10-03 16:45
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +19 $16 95¢ $18 +$2 09-28 14:42
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +51 $19 32¢ $16 -$3 10-01 21:25
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +20 $16 80¢ $16 $0 09-16 22:31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +16 -$11 98¢ $16 +$26 10-05 15:22
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 $8 60¢ $12 +$4 06-24 21:06
Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election? No +11 $8 99¢ $11 +$3 08-19 13:29
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +104 $29 10¢ $11 -$18 10-01 01:06
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? No +14 $9 70¢ $10 +$1 09-25 09:58
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,936 $45 0¢ $9 -$36 09-30 23:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$1 09-04 10:23
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government? No +12 $9 74¢ $9 $0 10-02 14:48
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 07-19 22:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +8 $8 88¢ $7 -$1 09-16 20:17
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +61 $6 11¢ $7 +$1 10-05 18:06
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +20 $9 32¢ $7 -$2 09-26 16:32
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +10 $7 64¢ $6 -$1 10-01 22:17
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +19 $6 29¢ $6 $0 10-04 08:33