(anonymous) 0x06767f…ff2156 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$148
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
48.7%
Resolved
375
Trades
1,195
lifetime
Volume
$2.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$15
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 11-04 19:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Sports
64% 52% +$12
Other
33% 57% -$150
Politics
3% 60% -$11
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +2 $1 70¢ $2 +$1 10-27 20:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 09-04 10:23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 3% or more? Yes +2 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 11-04 18:43
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-29 14:04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 6% or more? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 11-04 19:52
Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 10-31 16:53
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 11-01 15:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-29 09:50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1 -$2 98¢ $1 +$3 11-02 20:09
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 $0 09-16 20:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4 $1 24¢ $1 $0 09-16 20:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%? Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 11-04 12:27
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +2 $1 31¢ $1 $0 10-29 15:44
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +3 $1 22¢ $1 $0 09-17 14:56
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +6 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-01 09:20