Crooked-Archives — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,474

lifetime

Volume

$7.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-10 22:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 18% $-49

Politics

6% 80% +$90

Other

1% 50% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 608 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Solana dip to $90 on May 9?	561	$597	334	334	+0	No	$-40	05-10 01:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$135	380	380	+0	open	—	04-24 21:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	8	$101	86	51	+34	open	—	04-24 21:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$101	178	178	+0	open	—	05-26 10:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$89	74	74	+0	Yes	+$59	05-09 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	4	$50	126	0	+126	open	—	04-25 06:37
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	04-24 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	5	$50	158	0	+158	open	—	04-25 04:24
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	5	$50	133	0	+133	open	—	04-25 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	5	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	04-25 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$50	190	0	+190	open	—	04-25 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	5	$50	121	0	+121	open	—	04-25 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9PM ET	5	$50	185	0	+185	open	—	04-25 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	5	$50	110	0	+110	open	—	04-24 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	5	$50	106	0	+106	open	—	04-25 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12AM ET	5	$50	112	0	+112	open	—	04-25 04:21
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	5	$50	111	0	+111	open	—	04-25 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$50	126	0	+126	open	—	04-25 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	5	$50	101	0	+101	open	—	04-25 02:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	5	$50	98	0	+98	open	—	04-25 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	5	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	04-25 02:22
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$50	90	0	+90	open	—	04-25 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	5	$50	112	0	+112	open	—	04-25 03:38
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	5	$50	143	0	+143	open	—	04-25 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	5	$50	98	0	+98	open	—	04-25 02:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	5	$50	114	0	+114	open	—	04-25 03:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	5	$50	200	0	+200	open	—	04-25 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	5	$50	108	0	+108	open	—	04-25 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	5	$50	103	0	+103	open	—	04-25 04:36
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	5	$50	164	0	+164	open	—	04-25 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 22:06:00	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xf6d892…
06-10 22:04:00	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x470138…
06-10 12:54:48	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x0f1bf5…
06-10 11:59:42	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0d992c…
05-26 10:13:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	26¢	$11	0x41240b…
05-24 17:36:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xd0cdf3…
05-24 17:09:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x1aff1b…
05-24 17:09:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x0c24a8…
05-24 17:07:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb1f6e0…
05-23 21:59:23	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 23?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xf3c100…
05-23 21:19:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 23?	No	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x1e504f…
05-23 21:12:55	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 23?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe6bb7c…
05-23 21:11:29	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 23?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x220a75…
05-23 21:11:27	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 23?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xfb5409…
05-23 21:11:26	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 23?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x025339…
05-23 07:11:57	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$0	0x2ba021…
05-22 13:45:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xea928a…
05-21 15:37:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x588971…
05-21 04:56:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x467d93…
05-20 15:34:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	No	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x5cbabd…
05-20 15:34:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	No	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0x0f4441…
05-20 14:14:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xbb6582…
05-20 03:26:18	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$0	0xebad3d…
05-20 00:23:46	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x59f781…
05-20 00:23:06	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xd16db1…
05-19 18:29:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0x5a7489…
05-19 15:22:00	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xbffb2f…
05-19 11:18:50	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x5c1ea9…
05-18 15:16:30	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x816254…
05-18 10:02:31	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x571a3c…
05-12 01:56:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x88e323…
05-11 23:26:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xdcb077…
05-11 23:25:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x74dddb…
05-11 23:25:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x0c86e9…
05-11 23:25:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc524f4…
05-11 23:25:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x608122…
05-11 23:25:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x839732…
05-11 23:25:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x79c784…
05-11 23:25:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf3a2c5…
05-11 21:41:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x04fb92…
05-11 21:41:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x72e2e3…
05-11 21:41:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd76a6d…
05-11 21:41:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x89581e…
05-11 21:16:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xad5f4d…
05-11 21:12:43	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe33c9c…
05-11 18:58:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xad8457…
05-11 18:09:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd75282…
05-11 18:09:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x9cb934…
05-11 18:09:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x66114f…
05-11 18:09:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0aaaf4…
05-11 18:08:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x0aaa30…
05-11 18:08:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x28dab7…
05-11 18:08:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbcd403…
05-11 18:08:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x49c540…
05-11 18:08:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x91b087…
05-11 18:08:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x79ba04…
05-11 18:08:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x381e31…
05-11 18:08:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1cfa34…
05-11 18:08:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xcf1133…
05-11 18:08:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x9e699e…
05-11 18:08:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x90a036…
05-11 18:08:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x064bb9…
05-11 18:08:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x8f7a9e…
05-11 18:08:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x56d610…
05-11 18:07:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7dec94…
05-11 17:46:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xec92dc…
05-11 17:46:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x28ce7f…
05-11 17:45:57	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x5d74a2…
05-11 17:45:55	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe5277e…
05-11 17:45:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe615da…
05-11 17:45:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe16bce…
05-11 17:45:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xca064f…
05-11 17:45:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x371715…
05-11 17:45:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x31fe96…
05-11 17:45:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1fa298…
05-11 17:45:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xcc8d66…
05-11 17:45:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc52f51…
05-11 17:45:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x81fe88…
05-11 17:45:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf97a66…
05-11 17:45:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf6db1d…
05-11 17:45:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xedab87…
05-11 17:45:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd7c610…
05-11 17:45:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbd3b61…
05-11 17:45:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x970da5…
05-11 17:45:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x071e07…
05-11 17:45:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe29e38…
05-11 17:45:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6e6ffb…
05-11 17:45:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x380bd7…
05-11 17:45:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd3ec5d…
05-11 17:45:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x15cee3…
05-11 17:45:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x64a224…
05-11 17:45:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x53bbc6…
05-11 17:45:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x15f71c…
05-11 17:45:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x767580…
05-11 17:45:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7131ae…
05-11 17:45:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbaec5a…
05-11 17:45:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xabc537…
05-11 16:45:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x5e413b…
05-11 15:18:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4a3eb0…
05-11 15:18:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb39eb5…