(anonymous) 0x149bcb…c8d435
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Realized P&L
+$259
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
402
Trades
4,244
lifetime
Volume
$5.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$119
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-03 15:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Politics
50% 49% +$66
Other
37% 49% +$297
Sports
7% 71% -$65
Crypto
5% 44% -$37
Tech
1% 86% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -37 -$24 97¢ $-36 -$12 05-31 04:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -34 -$26 82¢ $-28 -$2 05-31 06:03
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -97 -$22 18¢ $-18 +$4 08-30 11:58
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,873 $29 1¢ $12 -$17 06-24 10:14
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,469 $16 0¢ $7 -$9 08-04 22:46
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,664 $31 0¢ $7 -$24 08-05 14:52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -36 -$6 10¢ $-3 +$2 07-02 01:00
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,851 $9 0¢ $3 -$6 08-05 13:41
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 06-20 18:05
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -17 -$10 8¢ $-1 +$9 06-01 23:10
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +437 $15 0¢ $1 -$14 07-13 11:37
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes -13 -$3 3¢ $-0 +$3 09-14 17:26
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 05-04 05:27
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -2 $0 13¢ $-0 +$0 10-03 15:53
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +79 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 07-19 16:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 07-29 06:01
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-15 11:43
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 07-16 18:53
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-10 20:44