Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.1%

Resolved

Trades

3,172

lifetime

Volume

$4.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 08-04 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% 0% $-1

Other

39% 100% +$1

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	34	$365	240	192	+49	open	—	03-07 00:48
us strikes iraq by february 28	45	$328	673	672	+1	open	—	03-03 22:19
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	14	$199	186	186	+0	open	—	02-28 11:53
epl cry wol 2026 02 22 draw	2	$171	116	116	+0	open	—	02-22 11:44
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	86	$149	708	708	+0	open	—	03-10 20:39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	62	$114	2,176	2,108	+67	open	—	03-08 21:51
cs2 mglz mouz 2026 02 22	64	$83	176	176	+0	open	—	02-22 13:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	27	$78	44	34	+10	open	—	03-04 00:21
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	29	$72	39	39	+0	open	—	02-24 17:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	29	$67	262	48	+214	open	—	03-08 21:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	60	$66	257	12	+244	open	—	02-28 06:48
will solana dip to 80 in march 2026	18	$66	40	40	+0	open	—	03-29 22:45
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	65	$65	378	198	+179	open	—	03-07 12:56
cs2 mglz mouz 2026 02 22 game1	18	$65	56	47	+9	open	—	02-22 13:48
ere twe gro 2026 02 22 total 2pt5	34	$63	65	30	+35	open	—	02-22 13:49
will iran strike cyprus in march	27	$58	45	45	+0	open	—	03-18 16:40
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	33	$57	40	23	+17	open	—	02-27 07:40
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	39	$57	114	0	+114	open	—	02-26 18:37
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	47	$53	254	210	+44	open	—	03-08 22:28
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	25	$52	218	218	+0	open	—	03-10 20:44
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	59	$51	5,936	5,922	+14	open	—	03-06 16:40
sea gen tor 2026 02 22 tor	27	$49	66	23	+43	open	—	02-22 13:49
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	360	$49	1,826	1,883	-57	open	—	04-15 07:12
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	50	$48	166	39	+127	open	—	03-08 21:45
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	38	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	03-04 18:47
nhl nsh dal 2026 02 28	33	$46	80	0	+80	open	—	03-01 02:59
nhl det car 2026 02 28	34	$46	51	0	+51	open	—	03-01 02:07
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	23	$44	79	79	+0	open	—	03-10 20:46
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 6 2026	22	$44	41	41	+0	open	—	03-07 00:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	26	$43	71	64	+6	open	—	03-05 13:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 14:45:51	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x07866e…
08-01 18:19:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5acaeb…
08-01 18:17:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xb11139…
08-01 17:55:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdbd9e0…
07-19 16:54:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ee8aa…
07-16 08:41:58	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xd9c981…
07-13 21:21:40	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0xf67661…
07-08 16:35:26	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0xeac05e…
07-06 16:54:40	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x1cdf92…
07-06 14:23:07	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0x4f8e04…
07-02 13:26:02	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x6527ce…
06-23 19:01:46	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xe51b3e…
06-23 19:00:55	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x220006…
06-22 22:12:40	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa73107…
06-22 20:41:23	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$0	0x805057…
06-22 20:28:17	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x15aa08…
06-22 16:02:11	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x90517c…
06-22 16:02:08	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x198874…
06-22 16:00:19	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa169df…
06-22 15:57:32	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xecee38…
06-22 15:57:22	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x8f15c2…
06-21 21:03:26	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x914389…
06-19 15:41:11	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd419d2…
06-19 15:40:40	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xea3d68…
06-19 10:07:04	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3fb361…
06-17 21:01:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x0c0da8…
06-17 15:09:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b0627…
06-17 15:09:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x8bf124…
06-17 15:09:23	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd53b71…
06-17 15:09:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xf2f841…
06-17 15:08:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2055e0…
06-15 18:24:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa5b1c0…
06-15 18:24:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe70131…
06-15 18:24:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0f17c2…
06-15 18:24:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x66f9b7…
06-15 18:23:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x509505…
06-15 18:23:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x59684f…
06-14 23:32:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x699f4e…
06-14 23:32:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0xcd1866…
06-14 23:31:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x846f2a…
06-14 23:31:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x4ced15…
06-14 23:28:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x96e34a…
06-14 23:28:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xaef2fe…
06-13 18:55:34	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xf3c6bf…
06-12 10:36:45	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x56d59f…
06-10 23:21:03	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x73336b…
06-10 22:43:54	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf18b41…
06-10 22:32:36	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc97a2d…
06-10 22:31:55	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x522396…
06-10 22:14:52	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x1756d3…
06-10 22:14:21	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x3ffcc7…
06-10 22:12:43	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x78fa4e…
06-10 22:06:01	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x2ce502…
06-10 22:04:03	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6013ec…
06-10 21:37:12	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xccca93…
06-10 21:36:55	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xac9241…
06-10 21:36:52	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x93abea…
06-10 21:31:25	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x079435…
06-10 20:17:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x53746c…
06-10 20:17:03	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x013c84…
06-10 12:54:52	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe4693d…
06-10 11:59:48	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x78475a…
06-10 11:59:43	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2ac96e…
06-09 23:33:49	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x12197e…
06-09 23:22:13	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x5ecd84…
06-09 23:15:04	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xa5e781…
06-09 23:10:16	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdacb96…
06-09 22:28:57	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7ae321…
06-09 20:33:19	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xbb73be…
06-09 20:26:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc94008…
06-09 20:22:34	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb21eae…
06-09 20:20:58	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0ddb2a…
06-08 09:21:54	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7dfd92…
06-08 09:18:40	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb511e6…
06-07 22:54:58	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf36e39…
06-07 21:20:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6e4b19…
06-07 21:19:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x36f16e…
06-07 20:25:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xc4eb1d…
06-07 19:57:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x871a52…
06-07 18:49:16	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd200ac…
06-07 18:48:15	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x4a2b81…
06-07 18:41:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x65e7ba…
06-06 19:53:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x1bd724…
06-05 16:01:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xccb428…
06-05 15:37:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe54c30…
06-04 00:25:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5912f3…
06-03 21:36:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x101e62…
06-03 21:26:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9bd09b…
06-03 21:26:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x61b06e…
05-31 21:30:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3c7e54…
05-31 11:43:21	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x0498b4…
05-31 06:03:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x771ffa…
05-30 22:15:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3dce7e…
05-30 19:50:18	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa3023e…
05-28 13:32:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x3ce1f1…
05-28 13:32:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xf7a396…
05-28 10:37:04	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe06f54…
05-25 23:29:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x88dc44…
05-25 23:19:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6c8e1d…
05-25 23:17:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xc25aa9…