Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$83
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
4,247 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$5.56K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$123
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 11-02 14:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Politics
50% 49% +$66
Other
37% 49% +$297
Sports
7% 71% -$65
Crypto
5% 44% -$37
Tech
1% 86% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -37 -$24 98¢ $-37 -$13 05-31 04:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -34 -$26 92¢ $-31 -$5 05-31 06:03
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -97 -$22 15¢ $-15 +$7 08-30 11:58
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 11-02 14:51
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,469 $16 0¢ $7 -$9 08-04 22:46
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,664 $31 0¢ $7 -$24 08-05 14:52
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,873 $29 0¢ $5 -$25 06-24 10:14
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +4 $3 94¢ $4 +$1 06-19 15:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -36 -$6 9¢ $-3 +$2 07-02 01:00
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,851 $9 0¢ $3 -$6 08-05 13:41
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -17 -$10 5¢ $-1 +$9 06-01 23:10
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +437 $15 0¢ $0 -$15 07-13 11:37
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 05-04 05:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes -13 -$3 2¢ $-0 +$3 09-14 17:26
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -2 $0 10¢ $-0 +$0 10-03 15:53
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +79 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 07-19 16:46
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 07-16 18:53
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-15 11:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 07-29 06:01
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-10 20:44