Lasting-Dessert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

Trades

4,707

lifetime

Volume

$2.48M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$527

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 10:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

38% 100% +$675

Politics

38% 0% $-25,020

Crypto

24% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	197	$98.2K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	02-02 23:46
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	251	$83.1K	88,021	0	+88,021	open	—	02-04 00:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	76	$61.8K	69,567	0	+69,567	open	—	05-26 04:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	9	$48.8K	25,000	25,000	+0	open	—	05-27 13:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	31	$45.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	05-22 23:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	22	$44.8K	0	50,000	-50,000	open	—	06-20 14:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	43	$33.7K	34,727	34,727	+0	open	—	05-26 02:17
will sza release a new song in 2025	12	$26.3K	26,413	0	+26,413	open	—	01-01 01:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	12	$26.0K	28,327	0	+28,327	open	—	05-03 17:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	11	$24.8K	25,285	0	+25,285	open	—	05-21 03:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	7	$24.7K	0	25,000	-25,000	open	—	06-15 18:41
netanyahu out by march 31 854	27	$23.9K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	03-17 23:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	26	$22.9K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	04-27 02:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	12	$22.8K	24,500	0	+24,500	open	—	03-18 16:54
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	44	$21.2K	10,991	11,108	-118	open	—	02-27 01:59
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	4	$19.7K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-02 23:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$18.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-11 22:37
Iran leadership change by May 31?	26	$18.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	05-22 10:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	29	$17.2K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	03-17 22:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	12	$17.1K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	08-04 10:39
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	5	$17.1K	17,126	0	+17,126	open	—	01-03 12:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	14	$16.4K	18,951	0	+18,951	open	—	04-24 03:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	29	$16.1K	20,889	0	+20,889	open	—	04-24 03:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	9	$15.5K	14,999	14,999	+0	open	—	05-26 02:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	15	$15.0K	14,999	14,999	+0	open	—	05-26 02:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	14	$14.8K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	05-15 11:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$14.5K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	05-22 08:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	22	$14.4K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-11 22:02
will iran strike israel on march 10	7	$14.3K	14,790	0	+14,790	open	—	03-12 23:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	4	$14.2K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	03-12 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 10:36:51	Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	92	96¢	$88	0x2acd17…
08-06 09:53:57	Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x954787…
08-05 14:08:39	Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xb49173…
08-05 13:53:30	Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x9b84a5…
08-05 09:32:33	Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x49a6d3…
08-04 11:46:57	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	88¢	$2,200	0x0afed5…
08-04 11:45:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x36cbc3…
08-04 11:39:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe2215a…
08-04 11:20:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	423	73¢	$309	0x1cd993…
08-04 10:39:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7,500	86¢	$6,450	0x610072…
08-04 08:23:48	Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x3a6417…
08-04 06:07:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	5,290	97¢	$5,132	0x75121d…
08-04 02:42:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	4,710	97¢	$4,568	0xe8448b…
08-04 02:32:09	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,930	0x55346d…
07-26 20:59:07	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	78	94¢	$73	0x1d252c…
07-26 19:15:54	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	202	94¢	$190	0xcb466b…
07-26 08:39:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,030	82¢	$2,484	0x9c009d…
07-26 08:39:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf209de…
07-26 08:38:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x6ed0c5…
07-26 08:37:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	65¢	$3,250	0x6afb94…
07-26 08:21:39	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb45934…
07-26 02:19:58	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	313	94¢	$294	0x001b6a…
07-25 13:27:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	665	82¢	$545	0x551699…
07-25 09:32:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,278	82¢	$1,048	0xf5d3ed…
07-25 05:42:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	2,741	91¢	$2,497	0xf73b56…
07-25 05:29:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc46b4e…
07-25 04:58:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,500	88¢	$2,200	0x57ddf1…
07-25 04:44:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	449	91¢	$409	0x7d5f8e…
07-25 03:33:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x5eb83f…
07-25 03:33:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	69	91¢	$63	0xf40d84…
07-25 03:33:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1,290	91¢	$1,175	0xc7d65e…
07-25 03:33:01	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,372	93¢	$2,206	0xf14682…
07-25 03:30:55	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xee929a…
07-25 03:29:52	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x35c7fd…
07-25 03:11:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	2,757	97¢	$2,677	0xdbcb89…
07-25 03:05:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	513	78¢	$400	0xbcaf81…
07-25 03:04:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x02d59f…
07-25 03:04:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,887	78¢	$1,472	0x8cea3c…
07-25 03:03:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	2,243	97¢	$2,178	0xa4ca55…
07-25 02:35:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	406	91¢	$370	0x2db8bc…
07-21 19:06:24	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	2,500	96¢	$2,390	0x7f51a8…
07-21 08:39:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3bafac…
07-21 08:37:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xfb2f8c…
07-21 08:36:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x1d7564…
07-21 08:32:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3ab5af…
07-21 08:32:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e2eff…
07-21 08:31:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd525d3…
07-21 08:27:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa9ff8…
07-21 07:58:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7241e0…
07-21 07:57:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6e61e2…
07-21 07:57:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x13ae43…
07-21 07:56:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x727e4c…
07-21 07:55:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x3c9bb3…
07-21 07:54:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x52cccb…
07-21 07:53:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf847fd…
07-21 07:51:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x63e8fe…
07-21 07:51:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3b5808…
07-21 07:50:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd131b5…
07-21 07:48:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2ef037…
07-21 07:45:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa7d4f1…
07-21 07:43:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	467	99¢	$461	0x6248de…
07-21 07:42:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0x0b452d…
07-21 07:36:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x849f35…
07-21 07:30:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x477bcc…
07-21 07:29:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31256f…
07-21 07:29:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfe32f8…
07-21 07:27:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x93214c…
07-21 07:25:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa6323b…
07-21 07:24:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xccddde…
07-21 07:23:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf13463…
07-21 07:22:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05f2f5…
07-21 07:22:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x59d7e6…
07-21 07:20:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe882f6…
07-21 06:36:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5,000	85¢	$4,250	0x63002a…
07-21 06:04:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x2e3db8…
07-21 05:48:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x07af58…
07-21 05:34:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f011a…
07-21 04:54:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x8ded88…
07-21 04:02:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0x3d8c37…
07-21 03:41:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x787235…
07-20 11:30:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,596	84¢	$2,180	0x77d121…
07-20 11:28:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x9cb5db…
07-20 11:22:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	488	84¢	$410	0x7fdee9…
07-20 10:20:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x505621…
07-20 10:20:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x061f56…
07-20 10:20:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xdd4148…
07-20 09:55:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9d7e93…
07-20 09:54:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd1a3fa…
07-20 09:49:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,874	84¢	$1,574	0x19872d…
07-13 23:15:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	802	97¢	$778	0x8e643e…
07-13 23:08:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0x5887a9…
07-13 23:07:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0xfce832…
07-13 23:07:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x7c179c…
07-13 22:49:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x31f1d0…
07-13 22:47:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x13f111…
07-13 22:38:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xb547b6…
07-13 22:32:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x2709b2…
07-13 22:23:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x659514…
07-13 22:17:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa508bc…
07-13 22:14:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	257	97¢	$249	0x2d63d4…