Realized P&L
-$30.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.4K
Hit rate
90.6%
Resolved
527
Trades
5,659
lifetime
Volume
$3.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$535
Open exposure
$217.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-15 20:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Other
40% 91% +$65,757
Politics
35% 81% -$105,368
Crypto
24% 91% +$10,302
Sports
1% 78% -$888
Tech
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +40,222 $29,799 82¢ $33.2K +$3,384 09-10 16:21
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +27,755 $21,617 96¢ $26.7K +$5,125 08-19 14:49
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +14,166 $11,841 88¢ $12.5K +$696 08-21 08:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +12,500 $10,650 94¢ $11.8K +$1,162 07-21 13:47
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12,500 $11,325 94¢ $11.7K +$362 08-21 07:16
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $9,560 97¢ $9.7K +$135 08-21 08:46
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $9,400 96¢ $9.6K +$150 08-20 16:53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $8,500 94¢ $9.3K +$850 06-08 10:54
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5,000 -$4,700 98¢ $-4922 -$222 05-12 22:10
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +5,000 $4,770 98¢ $4.9K +$152 07-02 15:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,100 97¢ $4.9K +$767 07-26 08:39
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,820 97¢ $4.9K +$47 08-21 05:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5,000 $4,250 97¢ $4.8K +$587 05-20 10:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +5,000 $3,650 96¢ $4.8K +$1,172 05-14 06:26
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,450 96¢ $4.8K +$362 08-15 03:18
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +5,000 $4,655 96¢ $4.8K +$142 08-20 11:44
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,600 96¢ $4.8K +$192 08-21 08:40
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,450 95¢ $4.8K +$300 08-20 16:42
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 No +5,000 $4,455 95¢ $4.7K +$277 08-20 11:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +5,000 $4,150 94¢ $4.7K +$575 09-07 01:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $3,250 92¢ $4.6K +$1,375 07-26 08:37
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $3,900 92¢ $4.6K +$675 08-21 06:35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +5,000 $4,300 90¢ $4.5K +$225 07-02 08:42
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,000 84¢ $4.2K +$175 08-04 11:46
will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +5,000 $2,950 82¢ $4.1K +$1,125 08-20 16:43
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +5,000 $3,600 78¢ $3.9K +$325 08-20 11:45
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No +2,648 $2,536 98¢ $2.6K +$62 08-21 08:51
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,328 95¢ $2.4K +$42 08-20 23:15
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +2,500 $2,200 94¢ $2.3K +$138 09-12 09:47
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,225 92¢ $2.3K +$62 08-20 17:52