Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
18.3%
Resolved
58
Trades
5,571
lifetime
Volume
$46.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$62
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-08 12:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
43% 29% $-13
Other
34% 50% $-10
Sports
16% 11% $-17
Tech
6%
Crypto
2% 50% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 06-07 22:16
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-9 86¢ $-9 +$0 06-05 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -8 $-7 90¢ $-8 $-0 06-07 11:42
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 75¢ $-8 $-0 06-07 13:05
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -10 $-7 72¢ $-7 $-0 06-07 13:55
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-31 12:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 09:43
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +4 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 06-08 07:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 $-0 06-10 00:04
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 87¢ $3 +$0 06-05 10:51
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -42 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-07 13:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 06-05 06:29
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes -21 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-30 14:04