Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
18.3%
Resolved
58
Trades
5,673
lifetime
Volume
$46.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$81
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 15:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
43% 29% $-13
Other
34% 50% $-10
Sports
16% 11% $-17
Tech
6%
Crypto
2% 50% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -8 $-7 99¢ $-8 $-1 06-07 11:42
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -10 $-7 84¢ $-8 $-1 06-07 13:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 78¢ $-8 $-1 06-07 13:05
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -20 $-6 27¢ $-5 +$1 06-23 18:27
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 06-29 12:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $-0 06-17 13:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 09:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-13 08:17
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 11:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +6 $4 75¢ $5 +$1 06-15 15:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-29 22:56
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +4 $4 85¢ $3 $-0 06-08 07:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 06-30 03:40
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 +$0 06-05 10:51
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -42 $-2 $-3 $-0 06-07 13:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 18¢ $2 +$0 06-23 16:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-16 05:54
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-15 14:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -20 $-6 $-0 +$6 06-15 14:39
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes -21 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-30 14:04