Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
18.3%
Resolved
58
Trades
5,724
lifetime
Volume
$46.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$68
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 09:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
43% 29% $-13
Other
34% 50% $-10
Sports
16% 11% $-17
Tech
6%
Crypto
2% 50% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 07-14 16:11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 88¢ $-9 $-2 06-07 13:05
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -11 $-9 78¢ $-8 +$0 07-14 16:10
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No -8 $-7 89¢ $-7 $-0 07-14 16:11
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -10 $-7 70¢ $-7 $-0 06-07 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +6 $4 82¢ $5 +$1 06-15 15:00
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -8 $-5 60¢ $-5 $-0 07-14 16:11
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +4 $4 91¢ $4 +$0 06-08 07:46
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -42 $-2 $-3 $-1 06-07 13:04
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -4 $-4 89¢ $-3 +$0 07-14 16:11
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -20 $-6 14¢ $-3 +$4 06-23 18:27
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 07-14 16:10
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-1 06-15 14:51
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -0 $-1 88¢ $-0 +$0 07-03 18:50