Realized P&L
+$6.69K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.17K
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved
144
Trades
1,367
lifetime
Volume
$158.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$13.8K
25 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 11-05 15:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Other
65% 77% +$3,038
Politics
26% 61% +$3,662
Crypto
9% 57% -$27
Tech
0% 100% +$27
Sports
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +4,166 $3,347 90¢ $3.8K +$423 10-16 05:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,066 $1,500 88¢ $1.8K +$329 10-23 16:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +1,705 $1,500 100¢ $1.7K +$202 09-22 06:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,161 $1,583 78¢ $1.7K +$114 10-28 18:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +860 $480 97¢ $834 +$353 06-28 16:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +553 $500 98¢ $544 +$44 05-08 14:16
New pandemic before 2028? No +636 $500 86¢ $544 +$44 10-07 09:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +899 $500 52¢ $467 -$33 10-21 18:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,316 $500 36¢ $467 -$33 10-21 18:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +1,866 $500 24¢ $448 -$52 10-21 18:00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +560 $410 76¢ $428 +$19 06-21 09:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +255 $205 98¢ $249 +$44 05-08 14:25
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +1,814 $283 12¢ $224 -$59 11-05 15:29
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +8,816 $1,200 2¢ $181 -$1,019 08-21 11:07
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,109 $209 5¢ $104 -$105 05-09 18:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +2,429 $290 3¢ $66 -$224 07-18 07:32
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,676 $1,085 2¢ $59 -$1,026 07-27 00:29
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -48 -$116 98¢ $-48 +$68 06-06 11:21
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +2,275 $200 2¢ $36 -$164 08-19 15:56
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +417 $20 5¢ $21 +$1 05-09 18:36
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +417 $20 5¢ $19 -$1 05-09 18:36
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +124 $40 12¢ $15 -$25 05-04 19:03
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +314 $55 4¢ $12 -$43 05-04 06:28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +38 $10 11¢ $4 -$6 05-03 16:36
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? Yes +31 $19 3¢ $1 -$18 05-30 18:37