Realized P&L
-$249
Unrealized P&L
+$1.75K
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
7
Trades
806
lifetime
Volume
$82.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$11.1K
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 06-30 17:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
54% 100% +$2
Politics
33% 50% $-251
Crypto
12%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -4,082 $-4,112 100¢ $-4072 +$41 06-15 08:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +4,157 $3,144 90¢ $3.7K +$576 06-28 08:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -772 $-2,015 100¢ $-769 +$1,247 06-20 14:38
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,512 $1,020 18¢ $650 $-370 06-24 17:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +860 $480 54¢ $464 $-16 06-28 16:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +560 $410 81¢ $454 +$44 06-21 09:55
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -553 $-392 82¢ $-451 $-59 06-06 11:21
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +3,378 $394 $184 $-210 06-24 17:51
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +146 $116 86¢ $125 +$9 06-05 23:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -111 $-107 100¢ $-111 $-4 06-01 16:43
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +123 $-271 55¢ $67 +$338 06-30 15:28
ECB rate cut in 2026? Yes +224 $36 17¢ $38 +$2 06-27 09:15
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? Yes +31 $19 34¢ $10 $-9 05-30 18:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -390 $-164 $-0 +$164 06-06 05:07