Dependable-Rostrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$249

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

973

lifetime

Volume

$111.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 08-11 00:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$2

Politics

29% 50% $-251

Crypto

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	45	$12.1K	5,649	9,117	-3,468	open	—	07-27 04:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	72	$11.2K	6,719	7,351	-632	open	—	06-20 14:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	16	$6.8K	1,900	5,482	-3,582	open	—	06-15 08:40
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	62	$6.8K	4,326	3,967	+358	open	—	05-30 11:02
Fed rate hike in 2026?	45	$6.0K	5,473	6,402	-929	open	—	08-10 15:45
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	17	$5.5K	3,195	3,195	+0	open	—	07-15 09:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	19	$4.3K	2,319	2,319	+0	open	—	05-11 19:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	11	$3.9K	6,584	6,584	+0	open	—	04-07 22:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	24	$3.2K	3,041	3,040	+0	open	—	05-08 03:44
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	28	$2.9K	1,668	1,668	+0	open	—	06-08 04:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	17	$2.8K	1,736	1,736	+0	open	—	04-25 17:39
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	41	$2.2K	5,300	2,177	+3,123	open	—	07-27 00:29
bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	26	$1.9K	1,449	1,449	+0	open	—	06-28 15:42
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	9	$1.8K	1,068	1,068	+0	open	—	06-30 17:55
iran closes its airspace by june 15	20	$1.8K	1,331	1,331	+0	open	—	06-08 04:10
us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	11	$1.5K	1,357	1,500	-143	open	—	07-26 13:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	16	$1.4K	1,923	200	+1,723	open	—	06-13 11:20
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	4	$1.4K	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	08-05 16:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	7	$1.3K	684	684	+0	open	—	05-29 07:07
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	26	$1.2K	1,843	1,843	+0	open	—	07-26 12:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	17	$1.1K	991	991	+0	open	—	06-12 14:05
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	11	$1.0K	2,200	500	+1,700	open	—	08-09 12:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.0K	652	652	+0	open	—	05-18 16:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$944	500	500	+0	open	—	06-04 11:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$932	650	650	+0	open	—	05-23 16:30
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	4	$919	500	500	+0	open	—	07-30 11:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$836	600	600	+0	open	—	06-20 03:19
will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	7	$828	560	560	+0	open	—	08-08 10:16
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	7	$781	3,578	1,045	+2,534	open	—	07-15 13:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	16	$752	1,737	200	+1,537	open	—	06-15 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 00:33:25	will china have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	42	81¢	$34	0xb1b856…
08-10 21:58:01	will china have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x3098a2…
08-10 15:45:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x614b35…
08-10 12:08:06	will china have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0x8fcaf4…
08-09 12:42:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	203	18¢	$37	0x4d1cec…
08-09 12:42:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	297	18¢	$53	0xc30131…
08-09 12:42:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	1,200	19¢	$226	0x68d79e…
08-09 02:44:43	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x33165a…
08-09 02:44:42	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	282	40¢	$113	0xea11bb…
08-08 21:35:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xe743c6…
08-08 19:33:52	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x4db3fe…
08-08 17:16:03	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x860d16…
08-08 10:17:01	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	366	47¢	$172	0x28c4b4…
08-08 10:16:36	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	560	76¢	$426	0x9812b4…
08-07 16:06:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	45¢	$450	0x0e4974…
08-05 22:03:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	SELL	127	10¢	$13	0xa4de9b…
08-05 16:40:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0x1662d6…
08-05 16:03:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xe267d4…
08-05 03:38:02	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	150	71¢	$106	0xacd9f3…
08-05 03:34:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0x0442f4…
08-04 17:19:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	81¢	$324	0x7a9a10…
08-04 17:16:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0xb1379d…
08-02 21:52:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xa0280c…
08-02 12:08:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,000	78¢	$780	0x9cce57…
07-30 11:39:08	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	300	96¢	$290	0xd5a81f…
07-30 11:38:53	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0xe2032d…
07-27 04:37:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	350	91¢	$318	0xf1febf…
07-27 04:37:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	SELL	500	78¢	$390	0x105e02…
07-27 04:37:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	9,117	85¢	$7,749	0xe4ad0e…
07-27 00:29:54	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x21ecfb…
07-26 19:18:16	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	160	15¢	$24	0x6f5d3f…
07-26 13:41:16	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	1,089	64¢	$699	0xf259c1…
07-26 13:38:06	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	139	66¢	$92	0xf37206…
07-26 13:34:55	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x358a32…
07-26 13:32:22	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xea3193…
07-26 13:12:21	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x54e43f…
07-26 13:07:58	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	70	66¢	$46	0x369450…
07-26 12:45:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	500	42¢	$211	0x0f8c77…
07-26 10:59:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	153	53¢	$81	0xad8ece…
07-26 10:58:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xfdd627…
07-26 10:53:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0xfc323d…
07-26 10:53:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x4b765d…
07-26 10:53:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xad8314…
07-26 10:53:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x28ba8d…
07-26 10:53:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x182abc…
07-26 10:53:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xccaea3…
07-26 10:53:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x29dfae…
07-26 10:53:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x10233b…
07-26 10:41:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x5194fe…
07-26 10:41:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	250	53¢	$132	0xf5b989…
07-26 10:40:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xd24083…
07-26 09:14:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x2e6a78…
07-26 07:22:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x851061…
07-26 06:45:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	65	42¢	$27	0x137655…
07-26 06:43:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xfb4476…
07-26 06:43:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xceb76e…
07-26 06:43:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	116	42¢	$49	0xb43567…
07-26 06:43:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x8891ab…
07-26 05:23:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	220	37¢	$81	0x9831b3…
07-26 03:52:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	500	40¢	$199	0xeab9b0…
07-26 03:52:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	500	30¢	$149	0x4bf0b2…
07-24 17:37:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0x832074…
07-24 17:37:10	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0xf50aa1…
07-24 08:37:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0xe65f97…
07-24 06:01:58	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xf578e1…
07-23 19:55:33	will ethereum reach 2250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x582671…
07-23 19:55:18	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x9a4150…
07-23 09:13:52	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xb6e735…
07-23 07:03:18	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	317	38¢	$120	0xadbb13…
07-23 05:47:43	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	97	38¢	$37	0xb42cf4…
07-23 05:32:00	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	435	38¢	$165	0x33126d…
07-23 01:10:57	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	112	15¢	$17	0xd2fca4…
07-22 18:37:57	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	167	15¢	$25	0x0f5a71…
07-22 15:44:40	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x5236d6…
07-22 15:07:21	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x23a247…
07-22 15:05:13	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	157	15¢	$23	0xd1a82a…
07-21 06:35:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x5edfff…
07-21 06:35:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x028849…
07-20 16:00:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xf58de7…
07-20 12:53:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	250	47¢	$117	0xa29824…
07-20 12:52:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	343	48¢	$165	0x8b5ab0…
07-20 12:52:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	700	35¢	$246	0x2260be…
07-18 21:34:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	250	78¢	$195	0x74e6b4…
07-18 19:10:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	250	43¢	$108	0x242f46…
07-18 18:08:43	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x9e5aa9…
07-18 18:07:43	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	43	39¢	$17	0xcb2e48…
07-18 18:07:19	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	502	39¢	$196	0xda0b7a…
07-18 18:07:19	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x699f1c…
07-18 18:04:55	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xffb9ef…
07-18 18:04:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	415	39¢	$162	0x80606f…
07-18 16:40:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0xbe0342…
07-18 16:07:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	400	18¢	$72	0xcb2f6b…
07-18 16:06:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	343	26¢	$89	0xc2c64d…
07-18 07:32:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,326	10¢	$133	0xd33f7e…
07-18 07:32:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	674	10¢	$67	0x9e95fd…
07-17 19:03:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x970e08…
07-17 17:12:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xd3d7a4…
07-17 17:12:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xb71da1…
07-17 12:43:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x2d49dc…
07-17 09:05:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x7c7e17…