Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
83.6%
Resolved
4
Trades
12,451
lifetime
Volume
$84.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$173
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 19:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
53% 67% $-8
Other
31% 100% +$0
Crypto
14%
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 439 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +129 $37 36¢ $47 +$10 06-24 17:52
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +41 $31 85¢ $35 +$4 06-17 10:18
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No +26 $25 100¢ $26 +$1 06-24 13:28
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -22 $-16 100¢ $-22 $-6 06-14 00:21
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +20 $15 84¢ $17 +$1 06-19 15:40
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +49 $10 18¢ $9 $-1 06-27 13:21
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes -35 $-7 15¢ $-5 +$2 06-06 18:04
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +92 $5 $5 $-0 06-26 10:31
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +27 $5 18¢ $5 $-0 06-12 02:37
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +7 $10 44¢ $3 $-7 06-30 19:13