Realized P&L
-$413
Unrealized P&L
-$102
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
1,229
Trades
18,714
lifetime
Volume
$100.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$701
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-16 16:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Politics
50% 65% -$728
Other
37% 57% +$45
Crypto
12% 42% +$241
Tech
1% 73% +$25
Sports
1% 60% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -250 -$105 88¢ $-221 -$116 08-15 13:43
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -100 -$100 100¢ $-100 $0 08-16 16:40
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -96 -$83 97¢ $-93 -$10 08-15 13:44
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No -88 -$83 98¢ $-86 -$3 08-16 16:40
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,337 -$92 4¢ $-54 +$38 05-19 12:33
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -122 -$19 40¢ $-49 -$30 08-15 13:43
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -23 -$22 97¢ $-22 $0 08-16 16:40
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -18 -$17 98¢ $-18 $0 08-16 16:40
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -15 -$15 100¢ $-15 $0 08-16 16:40
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -10 -$10 97¢ $-10 -$1 08-16 16:40
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -128 -$2 5¢ $-6 -$4 04-30 08:06
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -26 -$9 18¢ $-5 +$4 08-16 16:40
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -78 -$6 6¢ $-5 +$2 08-15 13:44
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes -60 -$10 6¢ $-4 +$6 08-15 13:44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -31 -$7 12¢ $-4 +$3 05-26 05:28
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -3 -$2 92¢ $-3 $0 08-16 16:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 08-16 16:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -43 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$0 08-16 16:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -44 -$9 3¢ $-1 +$7 08-16 16:40
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -41 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 08-16 16:40
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes -28 $0 2¢ $-1 $0 08-16 16:40
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes -50 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 08-16 16:40
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -5 -$3 5¢ $-0 +$2 08-16 16:40
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -100 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-16 16:40