Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
2,033
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$176
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-30 23:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
74% 100% +$1
Other
22% 100% +$0
Tech
3%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 292 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +274 $111 44¢ $119 +$8 06-30 19:13
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +36 $14 36¢ $13 $-0 06-24 17:52
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-22 20:32
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-24 13:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-22 20:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-29 02:10
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +5 $4 83¢ $4 +$1 06-15 08:46
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +15 $4 18¢ $3 $-1 06-22 20:41
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +42 $2 $2 $-0 06-26 10:32
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +2 $4 97¢ $2 $-1 06-30 23:26
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-12 15:49
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes -6 $-1 15¢ $-1 +$0 06-06 18:04
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No -0 $-0 85¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 10:48
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +5 $2 $0 $-2 06-23 22:13