Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
2,144
lifetime
Volume
$14.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$75
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 07-21 21:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
72% 100% +$1
Other
24% 100% +$0
Tech
3%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +61 $29 48¢ $29 +$0 07-21 19:38
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +140 $15 13¢ $18 +$4 07-20 14:02
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +13 $5 52¢ $7 +$2 07-21 15:10
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $7 $4 $-3 07-06 16:12
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +5 $4 85¢ $4 +$1 06-15 08:46
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 07-21 03:40
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? Yes +5 $4 83¢ $4 +$0 07-19 16:33
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +80 $4 $3 $-1 07-13 21:04
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-12 15:49
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No -0 $-0 91¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 10:48