Steep-Treat 0xe6940b…ee7e7c Create alert
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$297
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
87.1%
Resolved (7d)
166
Trades (7d)
673
7,583 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$5.93K
$37.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$2.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 11-03 13:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Politics
53% 55% +$108
Other
45% 58% +$622
Tech
1% 55% +$3
Crypto
0% 17% -$1
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +699 $579 81¢ $569 -$10 10-30 19:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,431 $294 19¢ $267 -$27 11-02 03:22
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +306 $249 72¢ $222 -$27 10-09 11:10
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +277 $225 76¢ $209 -$16 10-09 09:40
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +135 $125 100¢ $135 +$10 09-29 19:12
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +132 $113 98¢ $130 +$17 10-29 14:22
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +155 $94 72¢ $111 +$16 10-06 06:37
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +108 $93 92¢ $99 +$6 07-22 16:15
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +96 $87 98¢ $93 +$6 11-03 04:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +347 $86 26¢ $88 +$2 10-06 06:37
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? No +74 $72 98¢ $73 +$1 11-01 17:50
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +8,053 $14 1¢ $72 +$59 10-28 08:37
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +126 $79 55¢ $69 -$11 10-25 08:51
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +209 $80 28¢ $57 -$22 09-25 09:25
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +109 $49 50¢ $55 +$7 10-30 12:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +146 $47 28¢ $40 -$7 09-30 01:09
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +77 $34 45¢ $35 +$1 11-03 00:23
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +70 $28 46¢ $32 +$5 10-29 07:09
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +32 $31 100¢ $32 +$1 09-29 22:12
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes -115 -$17 28¢ $-32 -$15 09-30 16:11
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +61 $40 48¢ $29 -$10 10-29 07:58
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +82 $19 28¢ $22 +$4 10-06 06:37
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 07-19 22:43
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 08-27 10:52
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +21 $17 72¢ $15 -$2 10-02 12:33
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +29 $13 46¢ $13 +$0 10-28 02:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +13 $13 98¢ $13 +$0 10-29 11:18
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +23 $15 54¢ $12 -$3 10-23 09:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +12 $11 99¢ $12 +$1 09-08 10:25
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? Yes +22 -$7 46¢ $10 +$18 11-03 05:27