Evil-Bronchitis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$420

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

203

Trades

703

lifetime

Volume

$21.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-11 14:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

78% 35% +$1,126

Politics

19% 47% -$644

Tech

1% 67% +$35

Crypto

1% 0% -$98

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-05 09:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?	15	$2.6K	1,546	1,529	+17	No	+$341	04-22 03:43
will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9 12	8	$1.2K	707	701	+6	No	+$62	04-22 03:43
highest temperature in chicago on march 20 2026 70 71f	9	$968	840	840	+0	Yes	+$649	03-21 05:55
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	6	$727	489	489	+0	open	—	06-15 14:01
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	9	$582	708	526	+182	No	+$134	05-08 18:59
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?	2	$452	252	252	+0	open	—	10-11 14:58
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	6	$442	501	501	+0	No	+$20	05-02 20:47
cs2 bb3 fut 2026 06 15	3	$438	398	398	+0	BetBoom Team	+$88	06-15 14:56
will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 15	3	$392	200	200	+0	No	+$8	04-22 03:43
cs2 bb3 vit 2026 06 14	2	$391	3,144	0	+3,144	Vitality	-$391	06-14 16:16
Will Trump say "Antifa" in August?	3	$386	485	0	+485	No	-$386	08-30 06:40
highest temperature in atlanta on march 23 2026 78 79f	4	$315	402	0	+402	No	+$87	03-23 17:43
cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30	1	$286	1,146	0	+1,146	FaZe	-$286	07-31 13:49
cs2 mgc 3dmax 2026 07 24	3	$277	635	635	+0	3DMAX	+$117	07-24 10:53
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?	5	$272	357	150	+207	No	+$91	05-02 12:50
cs2 fal2 g2 2026 09 04 game1	3	$270	1,626	0	+1,626	Team Falcons	-$270	09-04 14:30
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	2	$255	400	400	+0	open	—	05-11 13:18
cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game1	2	$244	181	181	+0	G2	+$118	06-19 14:51
cs2 bb3 fut 2026 06 15 game1	5	$244	1,395	0	+1,395	BetBoom Team	-$244	06-15 14:54
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$242	161	161	+0	No	+$73	06-04 17:46
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	5	$232	2,507	100	+2,407	Yes	-$215	04-17 10:28
Will The MongolZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	3	$231	5,067	0	+5,067	No	-$231	07-25 05:31
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 70 71f	3	$227	200	200	+0	Yes	+$151	03-17 14:02
cs2 fal2 g2 2026 09 04	2	$218	1,108	0	+1,108	Team Falcons	-$218	09-04 14:57
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	13	$215	400	390	+10	Yes	-$97	04-25 17:09
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	5	$215	215	200	+15	Yes	+$1	04-23 09:41
highest temperature in chicago on march 20 2026 66 67f	3	$210	125	125	+0	No	+$40	03-20 18:17
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?	5	$207	156	156	+0	No	+$18	04-30 16:05
highest temperature in chicago on march 24 2026 50 51f	3	$205	302	0	+302	Yes	-$205	03-24 15:59
Will "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	4	$204	105	105	+0	No	+$5	05-23 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 14:58:04	Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	252	94¢	$236	0x28bd2d…
10-11 14:56:30	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	89	19¢	$17	0x5a243e…
10-11 14:55:24	Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	209	0¢	$0	0x74df29…
10-11 14:54:58	Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0x8e9dd5…
09-04 14:57:21	cs2 fal2 g2 2026 09 04	G2	BUY	692	17¢	$118	0xcce9b5…
09-04 14:30:15	cs2 fal2 g2 2026 09 04 game1	G2	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x8434c5…
09-04 14:27:54	cs2 fal2 g2 2026 09 04	G2	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x0a20a9…
09-04 14:24:13	cs2 fal2 g2 2026 09 04 game1	G2	BUY	324	15¢	$50	0x838381…
09-04 14:23:52	cs2 fal2 g2 2026 09 04 game1	G2	BUY	1,053	19¢	$200	0x5bf54a…
08-30 06:40:46	Will Trump say "Antifa" in August?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4fb022…
08-30 06:40:27	Will Trump say "Antifa" in August?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9b502a…
08-30 06:39:55	Will Trump say "Antifa" in August?	Yes	BUY	475	80¢	$378	0x4cd29a…
08-29 04:39:27	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xd2b26e…
08-29 04:39:27	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb0c4f3…
08-29 04:39:27	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x478587…
08-28 13:57:24	cs2 navi pain 2026 08 28	paiN	BUY	155	20¢	$31	0x0474e1…
08-28 13:25:39	Will Linke win at least 15% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	104	6¢	$6	0x368c6d…
08-28 06:40:31	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x25371d…
08-27 17:03:54	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 60 minutes long?	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x791f47…
08-26 14:55:13	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x0d1a74…
08-26 10:30:10	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x8f81ac…
08-26 02:32:10	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xd25832…
08-26 00:41:03	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	Yes	BUY	96	13¢	$12	0x202700…
08-25 21:06:25	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	250	30¢	$75	0x94515c…
08-25 11:18:46	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x8c813f…
08-25 11:18:46	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3a2bae…
08-25 11:18:45	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x8381eb…
08-25 11:18:45	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x4061d8…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xfcdc5e…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xfcd44d…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in August?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xed8828…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0xeaa503…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd7a75b…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd6a910…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in August?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0xbdbc8f…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	68	8¢	$5	0xb5ab32…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xa21e3c…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x5aa708…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0x588fdf…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x57ed7f…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	160	16¢	$25	0x55cabe…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x548c28…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in August?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x1cc890…
08-25 11:18:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x1c2bfd…
08-25 11:18:33	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb17bdf…
08-25 11:18:33	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x8d3076…
08-25 11:18:33	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x88b2d3…
08-25 11:17:52	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	47	37¢	$17	0xcc16e9…
08-25 11:05:33	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x658502…
08-25 11:05:31	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xd4d034…
08-25 11:05:31	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xaeee24…
08-25 11:05:31	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x92565a…
08-25 11:05:31	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in August?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x6e9885…
08-25 11:05:31	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4812ce…
08-25 11:05:31	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2d2f04…
08-25 11:05:31	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x248f76…
08-25 11:05:09	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	160	7¢	$10	0x72a5e3…
08-25 11:04:33	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xf25214…
08-25 11:04:28	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in August?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x88adce…
08-25 11:04:12	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in August?	Yes	BUY	147	1¢	$1	0x9232aa…
08-25 09:56:55	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0x7d6662…
08-25 09:56:39	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0x903c94…
08-25 09:56:24	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0x00146c…
08-25 09:35:16	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xcc2660…
08-25 09:34:19	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xb83c8b…
08-25 09:34:19	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?	Yes	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0x7230ff…
08-25 09:33:45	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?	Yes	BUY	34	23¢	$8	0xd746e6…
08-25 09:33:10	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x35bed2…
08-24 16:21:58	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	Yes	BUY	104	19¢	$20	0x9c05cc…
08-24 16:21:31	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	Yes	BUY	104	19¢	$20	0x3bcf68…
08-23 15:56:07	Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	268	0¢	$0	0x70d3fa…
08-23 15:55:49	Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	408	0¢	$2	0x594990…
08-23 15:45:31	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	376	35¢	$130	0xf2e916…
08-23 03:47:00	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x1d675c…
08-23 03:46:45	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb5592f…
08-22 13:59:34	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 60 minutes long 20260807064756495	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x720bb4…
08-22 05:17:18	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	19¢	$28	0x398f64…
08-22 04:27:19	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0x830ae6…
08-21 18:25:16	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xc027de…
08-21 18:24:04	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	3¢	$2	0x7b6b9f…
08-21 18:20:48	Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	59	6¢	$3	0x77663d…
08-21 16:05:55	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week 20260825	Yes	BUY	95	8¢	$8	0x3f62a9…
08-21 14:36:01	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	No	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x05ba68…
08-21 13:50:36	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x797d16…
08-18 05:51:12	Will B8 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,434	2¢	$34	0xf2018d…
08-17 11:11:48	Will B8 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,266	2¢	$50	0x41cfec…
08-17 06:09:13	Will B8 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,246	4¢	$50	0xa65f2c…
08-16 06:43:18	Will The MongolZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	352	3¢	$10	0x146d2e…
08-16 06:42:40	Will B8 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,104	3¢	$35	0xaf5e29…
07-31 13:49:29	cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30	TheMongolz	BUY	1,146	25¢	$286	0x546c82…
07-30 13:27:41	cs2 tl1 ts7 2026 07 31	Liquid	BUY	165	17¢	$28	0xc43399…
07-30 13:16:24	cs2 tl1 ts7 2026 07 31	Liquid	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x2ee283…
07-30 10:43:57	cs2 tl1 ts7 2026 07 31	Liquid	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x718fca…
07-30 10:43:09	cs2 tl1 ts7 2026 07 31	Liquid	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x53791f…
07-25 05:31:33	Will The MongolZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	Yes	BUY	1,101	10¢	$108	0x96b0d4…
07-24 12:39:31	cs2 hero mglz 2026 07 24	TheMongolz	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0x7363b7…
07-24 10:53:06	cs2 mgc 3dmax 2026 07 24	3DMAX	SELL	635	31¢	$197	0xd86404…
07-24 10:24:09	cs2 mgc 3dmax 2026 07 24	3DMAX	BUY	168	6¢	$10	0x8e1324…
07-24 09:51:15	cs2 mgc 3dmax 2026 07 24	3DMAX	BUY	467	15¢	$70	0xf32dff…
07-23 15:40:48	Will The MongolZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	Yes	BUY	551	4¢	$23	0x14c5fe…