Evil-Bronchitis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$55

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

Trades

382

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$430

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-09 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

87% 67% +$17

Politics

10% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	+388	$268	78¢	$304	+$36	06-09 15:03
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	+102	$72	80¢	$82	+$9	05-28 16:38
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+112	$32	36¢	$40	+$8	05-31 05:51
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?	No	+5	$3	82¢	$4	+$1	05-29 15:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?	15	$2.6K	1,546	1,529	+17	open	—	04-22 03:43
will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9 12	8	$1.2K	707	701	+6	open	—	04-22 03:43
highest temperature in chicago on march 20 2026 70 71f	9	$968	840	840	+0	open	—	03-21 05:55
will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 15	3	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	04-22 03:43
highest temperature in atlanta on march 23 2026 78 79f	4	$315	402	0	+402	open	—	03-23 17:43
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	4	$268	388	0	+388	open	—	06-09 15:03
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	5	$232	2,507	100	+2,407	open	—	04-17 10:28
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 70 71f	3	$227	200	200	+0	open	—	03-17 14:02
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	13	$215	400	390	+10	open	—	04-25 17:09
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	5	$215	215	200	+15	open	—	04-23 09:41
highest temperature in chicago on march 20 2026 66 67f	3	$210	125	125	+0	open	—	03-20 18:17
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?	5	$207	156	156	+0	No	+$18	04-30 16:05
highest temperature in chicago on march 24 2026 50 51f	3	$205	302	0	+302	open	—	03-24 15:59
will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 12 15	4	$204	204	200	+4	open	—	04-22 03:43
highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 86 87f	4	$199	165	165	+0	open	—	03-17 03:38
will trumps remarks not air 493	2	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	04-15 17:55
highest temperature in atlanta on march 21 2026 84 85f	4	$183	155	100	+55	open	—	03-22 06:12
highest temperature in miami on march 20 2026 72 73f	2	$176	99	99	+0	open	—	03-19 16:26
highest temperature in miami on march 20 2026 74 75f	2	$165	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 19:10
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	3	$162	209	209	+0	open	—	03-14 07:40
will trump meet with sam altman in march 2026 716	5	$158	422	422	+0	open	—	03-24 18:44
highest temperature in atlanta on march 24 2026 64 65f	2	$154	200	0	+200	open	—	03-24 09:28
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	7	$137	725	700	+25	open	—	04-25 06:39
Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	6	$126	151	0	+151	open	—	04-25 13:19
Will Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?	3	$114	121	0	+121	open	—	04-30 13:52
Will "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	3	$109	61	60	+1	open	—	04-28 01:32
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	27	$104	324	197	+127	open	—	04-26 05:50
highest temperature in atlanta on march 24 2026 68 69f	2	$99	302	0	+302	open	—	03-24 10:41
highest temperature in atlanta on march 22 2026 82 83f	2	$85	110	0	+110	open	—	03-22 07:42
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	2	$83	48	48	+0	open	—	04-28 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:03:16	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	119	64¢	$76	0xa43c04…
06-09 15:02:33	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3ba936…
06-02 05:58:19	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	SELL	34	9¢	$3	0xe864c3…
06-01 15:19:29	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x1ca101…
06-01 15:17:30	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	SELL	75	10¢	$8	0xe458a3…
06-01 14:51:40	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0xd55ca1…
06-01 14:49:18	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0x4fc4a4…
06-01 14:48:50	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xbb0ecb…
06-01 14:13:10	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	249	73¢	$181	0xb3ac5b…
06-01 14:11:35	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x46e506…
05-31 05:51:45	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	28¢	$32	0xad714f…
05-29 15:23:09	Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe0ba45…
05-28 16:38:03	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	102	71¢	$72	0xa317d5…
05-07 15:39:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x18548d…
05-02 11:00:40	Will Billie Eilish attend the Met Gala?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x8d036f…
04-30 23:44:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x3659f5…
04-30 23:43:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x736931…
04-30 23:22:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x12d5dc…
04-30 16:05:30	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?	Yes	SELL	45	81¢	$37	0xede464…
04-30 13:52:06	Will Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0x52050b…
04-30 13:51:58	Will Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6f6c10…
04-30 13:36:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x47d4d6…
04-30 13:27:40	Will Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x041ad0…
04-29 14:57:54	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xe460d1…
04-29 09:24:08	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0xe71883…
04-29 09:24:08	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0x3a7143…
04-29 07:50:56	Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x361bbc…
04-28 22:30:56	Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0xaf346f…
04-28 16:15:38	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xe2c23f…
04-28 08:39:04	Will Danielle Bethell win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x6b800c…
04-28 08:25:54	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe0b302…
04-28 08:25:30	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xa90641…
04-28 08:21:50	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xca81a8…
04-28 08:06:06	Will Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xee1f02…
04-28 01:37:42	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	SELL	48	91¢	$44	0x81d5ff…
04-28 01:32:50	Will "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xf4270c…
04-27 17:03:54	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x472093…
04-27 17:03:52	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x90d930…
04-27 17:03:36	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb0386a…
04-27 17:03:34	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x59955a…
04-27 17:03:30	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xed56fb…
04-27 17:03:28	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9d8e7f…
04-27 17:03:14	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x80b772…
04-27 17:03:08	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1bb292…
04-27 17:03:02	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0xb41352…
04-27 15:47:40	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x474f32…
04-27 15:20:54	Will "Roommates" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0x843382…
04-27 09:12:44	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x8324a7…
04-27 09:12:44	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x6e45f6…
04-26 09:48:32	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xd4d4ee…
04-26 09:48:26	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x708124…
04-26 09:48:22	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xb0e267…
04-26 09:48:22	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x0fe212…
04-26 09:48:02	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x7d8a19…
04-26 09:48:02	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x38662c…
04-26 09:47:54	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xdf7b17…
04-26 09:47:54	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x7a3cd9…
04-26 09:47:50	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc7ee44…
04-26 09:47:50	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc396f1…
04-26 09:47:46	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xf9a48a…
04-26 09:43:00	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xdb70cd…
04-26 09:42:56	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe08b61…
04-26 09:42:26	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xec90ba…
04-26 05:50:10	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x856976…
04-26 05:43:16	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x1433d3…
04-25 17:56:00	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.4M in Q1?	No	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x207f39…
04-25 17:43:48	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x6c4a34…
04-25 17:40:16	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	BUY	102	4¢	$5	0xe5a47b…
04-25 17:39:54	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6c13f8…
04-25 17:39:20	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	SELL	132	4¢	$5	0x5bb90f…
04-25 17:38:42	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0xf93702…
04-25 17:37:18	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x49b728…
04-25 17:37:10	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$3	0x34e413…
04-25 17:37:00	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xb6aa61…
04-25 17:36:54	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	BUY	69	20¢	$13	0x98c7be…
04-25 17:33:04	Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x2bee5c…
04-25 17:09:04	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0xa849bf…
04-25 17:09:00	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	54	12¢	$6	0x59bc9e…
04-25 17:08:56	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	71	12¢	$8	0xc4d7ef…
04-25 17:08:54	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	52	12¢	$6	0x285c51…
04-25 17:08:52	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	62	12¢	$7	0x7e6927…
04-25 17:08:50	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	61	13¢	$8	0x286d5f…
04-25 17:08:44	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x902ddf…
04-25 17:08:42	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xef3eee…
04-25 17:08:40	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x90ce62…
04-25 17:08:40	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x494d32…
04-25 17:08:36	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x31e807…
04-25 17:08:32	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xb092a2…
04-25 17:08:30	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0x757c40…
04-25 17:08:30	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x2131e4…
04-25 16:40:00	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x01c357…
04-25 16:39:58	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x6db41a…
04-25 16:35:14	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xee0cc3…
04-25 16:35:10	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x568b23…
04-25 16:35:04	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xaea7f9…
04-25 16:35:04	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	SELL	36	13¢	$5	0xacbbda…
04-25 16:35:02	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0x690301…
04-25 16:35:00	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0xe7bb15…
04-25 16:35:00	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x6633b8…
04-25 16:35:00	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	SELL	36	13¢	$5	0x16881b…