Realized P&L
-$662
Unrealized P&L
+$540
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
10,968
lifetime
Volume
$93.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$4.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-15 06:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
82%
0%
$-639
Crypto
12%
—
—
Other
6%
0%
$-22
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk
• peak 740 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 369 | $13.3K | 9,286 | 8,935 | +351 | open | — | 06-14 14:47 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252 | 1,115 | $11.8K | 12,233 | 11,878 | +355 | open | — | 06-14 21:15 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 878 | $9.6K | 16,865 | 16,210 | +656 | open | — | 06-10 08:55 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | 244 | $9.5K | 14,093 | 11,076 | +3,017 | open | — | 06-15 10:57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 532 | $5.4K | 9,312 | 8,632 | +679 | open | — | 06-10 12:18 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 503 | $3.8K | 8,839 | 8,362 | +477 | open | — | 06-09 13:08 |
| israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026 | 385 | $3.5K | 10,903 | 9,077 | +1,826 | open | — | 06-15 11:26 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 807 | $3.5K | 6,116 | 4,724 | +1,392 | open | — | 05-10 13:30 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | 335 | $2.9K | 9,149 | 8,713 | +436 | open | — | 06-12 17:49 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 127 | $2.8K | 19,815 | 20,000 | -185 | open | — | 06-11 20:00 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | 331 | $2.8K | 5,042 | 4,517 | +525 | open | — | 06-15 09:07 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? | 126 | $1.6K | 44,075 | 44,126 | -51 | open | — | 06-11 12:43 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | 159 | $1.6K | 2,056 | 1,933 | +123 | open | — | 05-21 21:03 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | 171 | $1.5K | 3,600 | 3,028 | +572 | open | — | 05-10 21:04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | 115 | $1.3K | 1,696 | 1,611 | +85 | open | — | 05-28 03:53 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | 141 | $1.1K | 2,287 | 2,114 | +173 | open | — | 05-23 13:38 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | 118 | $1.1K | 2,160 | 1,734 | +425 | open | — | 05-19 12:29 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | 90 | $1.0K | 1,728 | 1,670 | +58 | open | — | 05-23 14:49 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 54 | $978 | 1,575 | 779 | +796 | Yes | $-225 | 05-09 05:16 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 214 | $897 | 1,092 | 1,060 | +31 | open | — | 05-27 16:43 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 189 | $828 | 12,685 | 7,520 | +5,165 | open | — | 06-15 12:18 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | 279 | $808 | 6,165 | 5,457 | +708 | open | — | 05-25 02:02 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | 156 | $722 | 4,384 | 3,026 | +1,358 | open | — | 05-20 15:38 |
| Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026? | 214 | $697 | 3,345 | 1,743 | +1,602 | open | — | 05-15 03:23 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | 30 | $618 | 4,717 | 3,933 | +784 | open | — | 06-15 07:45 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? | 70 | $584 | 1,191 | 1,191 | +0 | open | — | 05-23 16:48 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? | 302 | $582 | 5,800 | 4,757 | +1,043 | open | — | 05-23 20:16 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | 80 | $575 | 1,475 | 1,475 | +0 | open | — | 05-23 14:40 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 122 | $500 | 1,896 | 1,504 | +392 | open | — | 05-21 20:35 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 331 | $499 | 13,905 | 9,946 | +3,959 | open | — | 05-21 20:56 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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