Realized P&L
-$662
Unrealized P&L
+$536
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
10,968
lifetime
Volume
$93.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$4.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-15 06:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
82% 0% $-639
Crypto
12%
Other
6% 0% $-22
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 740 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,313 $1,429 29¢ $1.2K $-200 06-15 10:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,159 $720 98¢ $1.1K +$410 06-14 14:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +789 $405 95¢ $749 +$345 06-10 12:18
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +7,036 $289 $292 +$3 06-15 12:18
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -397 $-183 47¢ $-187 $-4 06-10 16:05
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,545 $197 $183 $-15 06-15 09:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +525 $103 26¢ $139 +$37 06-15 09:07
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -284 $-91 34¢ $-97 $-6 06-15 09:25
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,450 $60 $94 +$34 06-15 07:45
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? No -97 $-73 62¢ $-60 +$13 06-11 00:56
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +1,071 $64 $59 $-5 06-10 03:34
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,710 $58 $47 $-11 06-11 12:43
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -55 $37 78¢ $-43 $-80 06-11 17:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -47 $-38 85¢ $-40 $-2 06-01 09:50
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes -47 $-42 81¢ $-38 +$4 05-29 09:04
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -43 $-37 88¢ $-38 $-1 06-02 18:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +888 $190 $35 $-156 06-12 17:49
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -39 $-35 88¢ $-34 +$1 06-01 15:34
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,765 $22 $15 $-7 06-09 10:50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -185 $-190 $-12 +$178 06-11 20:00
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,988 $16 $7 $-9 06-10 23:29
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -35 $-3 $-3 +$1 06-05 16:40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes -8 $-4 32¢ $-3 +$1 05-29 09:01
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes -18 $-1 10¢ $-2 $-1 06-14 22:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes -203 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-10 16:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes -81 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-10 12:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -37 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-10 11:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -55 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-10 09:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -93 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-10 08:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -45 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-10 07:50