Realized P&L
-$662
Unrealized P&L
-$1.38K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
12,020
lifetime
Volume
$104.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$3.37K
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-05 16:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
82% 0% $-639
Crypto
11%
Other
7% 0% $-22
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 740 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,508 $2,307 16¢ $1.4K $-903 07-01 20:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +19,363 $684 $455 $-229 07-05 21:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,515 $328 22¢ $326 $-3 07-05 13:09
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -397 $-183 78¢ $-312 $-129 06-10 16:05
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,989 $156 $180 +$24 07-05 19:52
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,571 $204 $155 $-48 07-05 19:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? No -110 $-97 88¢ $-97 $-1 06-23 21:34
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +2,143 $118 $96 $-21 06-30 08:18
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? No -97 $-73 75¢ $-73 +$0 06-11 00:56
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -284 $-91 23¢ $-65 +$26 06-15 09:25
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -55 $37 100¢ $-55 $-92 06-11 17:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -47 $-38 84¢ $-39 $-2 06-01 09:50
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -43 $-37 87¢ $-37 $-0 06-02 18:50
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -39 $-35 93¢ $-36 $-1 06-01 15:34
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -30 $-29 98¢ $-29 +$0 06-24 21:43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes -34 $-4 $-3 +$2 06-30 10:32
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes -8 $-4 28¢ $-2 +$1 05-29 09:01
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-30 15:12