Realized P&L
+$130
Unrealized P&L
+$362
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
8,253
lifetime
Volume
$2.68M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$325
Open exposure
$3.78K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 08:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
61% 100% +$127
Other
32% 100% +$2
Crypto
7%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 888 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +5,302 $2,152 42¢ $2.3K +$101 06-30 08:38
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,218 $256 36¢ $432 +$176 06-24 17:52
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +337 $260 86¢ $289 +$29 05-31 05:25
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No +212 $205 100¢ $212 +$7 06-24 13:27
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +111 $110 100¢ $111 +$0 06-22 20:32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +110 $110 100¢ $110 +$0 06-23 02:31
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +114 $87 83¢ $94 +$7 06-19 15:40
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +463 $91 17¢ $78 $-13 06-26 10:11
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -66 $-101 99¢ $-66 +$35 06-14 00:21
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +1,159 $68 $63 $-5 06-26 10:39
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -60 $-59 98¢ $-59 +$0 06-22 22:12
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -29 $-7 18¢ $-5 +$1 06-06 18:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-29 00:31
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes -270 $-24 $-1 +$23 06-23 22:13
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes -3 $-1 14¢ $-0 +$0 06-06 18:04