Realized P&L
+$34.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.0K
Hit rate
94.4%
Resolved
1,030
Trades
36,753
lifetime
Volume
$3.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$112.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 07:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Politics
55%
88%
+$14,277
Other
40%
83%
+$19,075
Crypto
6%
57%
+$521
Tech
0%
67%
+$173
Sports
0%
75%
+$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 699 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 7 | $226.1K | 159,900 | 66,666 | +93,234 | No | +$215 | 04-30 22:57 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 12 | $211.4K | 178,327 | 33,338 | +144,989 | Yes | +$149 | 06-17 21:01 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 4 | $180.7K | 181,220 | 0 | +181,220 | No | +$545 | 06-04 00:25 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 33 | $157.0K | 159,776 | 3,392 | +156,384 | Yes | +$173 | 04-20 20:52 |
| Will Trump dance today? | 45 | $156.9K | 157,010 | 0 | +157,010 | Yes | +$158 | 04-28 16:20 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 3 | $151.4K | 151,555 | 0 | +151,555 | Yes | +$153 | 04-08 20:38 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31 | 12 | $135.8K | 66,320 | 69,779 | -3,459 | Yes | +$14 | 02-03 23:33 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 6 | $133.2K | 133,333 | 11,111 | +122,222 | No | +$211 | 03-04 18:47 |
| elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519 | 91 | $119.5K | 119,628 | 0 | +119,628 | No | +$120 | 01-06 14:56 |
| elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 130 139 | 68 | $80.8K | 92,063 | 34,707 | +57,357 | No | +$1,384 | 01-07 18:40 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 15 | $76.3K | 76,336 | 0 | +76,336 | Yes | +$76 | 04-24 20:46 |
| elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 100 109 | 40 | $70.6K | 70,677 | 0 | +70,677 | No | +$73 | 01-07 15:57 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 7 | $67.5K | 67,682 | 0 | +67,682 | Yes | +$203 | 04-30 23:30 |
| us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983 | 10 | $59.9K | 60,000 | 0 | +60,000 | No | +$60 | 01-04 20:43 |
| elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 120 129 | 39 | $59.9K | 60,380 | 10 | +60,370 | No | +$487 | 01-07 17:04 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 5 | $49.4K | 49,444 | 0 | +49,444 | Yes | +$49 | 03-04 00:02 |
| elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 440 459 | 62 | $38.7K | 38,716 | 0 | +38,716 | No | +$41 | 01-05 19:27 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | 304 | $31.7K | 36,416 | 21,807 | +14,609 | Yes | -$2,099 | 09-03 13:47 |
| Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 60 | $31.6K | 19,466 | 18,220 | +1,246 | open | — | 10-25 12:19 |
| will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026 | 16 | $27.5K | 27,169 | 567 | +26,601 | No | +$183 | 03-07 23:25 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 224 | $26.2K | 15,722 | 12,379 | +3,343 | open | — | 09-29 22:12 |
| elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus | 59 | $25.9K | 69,936 | 22,154 | +47,781 | Yes | -$454 | 01-07 18:44 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5 | $25.6K | 25,586 | 0 | +25,586 | Yes | +$26 | 06-17 15:10 |
| elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 540 559 | 3 | $22.2K | 22,221 | 0 | +22,221 | No | +$22 | 01-09 09:02 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | 201 | $21.5K | 31,105 | 7,725 | +23,380 | Yes | +$5,512 | 09-16 18:27 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 2 | $20.0K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | Yes | +$30 | 02-03 23:40 |
| will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264 | 10 | $20.0K | 18,889 | 1,739 | +17,150 | Yes | +$668 | 01-08 20:57 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 93 | $19.7K | 21,291 | 6,945 | +14,346 | No | +$2,079 | 07-29 14:52 |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? | 57 | $19.6K | 39,466 | 2,413 | +37,053 | open | — | 10-26 22:04 |
| elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 40 64 | 62 | $19.4K | 25,756 | 7,080 | +18,677 | No | +$62 | 01-09 11:43 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||