Queasy-Cougar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$130

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

8,688

lifetime

Volume

$2.70M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$311

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% 100% +$127

Other

32% 100% +$2

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$226.1K	159,900	66,666	+93,234	open	—	04-30 22:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	12	$211.4K	178,327	33,338	+144,989	open	—	06-17 21:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$180.7K	181,220	0	+181,220	open	—	06-04 00:25
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	33	$157.0K	159,776	3,392	+156,384	open	—	04-20 20:52
Will Trump dance today?	45	$156.9K	157,010	0	+157,010	open	—	04-28 16:20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$151.4K	151,555	0	+151,555	open	—	04-08 20:38
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	12	$135.8K	66,320	69,779	-3,459	open	—	02-03 23:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$133.2K	133,333	11,111	+122,222	open	—	03-04 18:47
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	91	$119.5K	119,628	0	+119,628	open	—	01-06 14:56
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 130 139	68	$80.8K	92,063	34,707	+57,357	open	—	01-07 18:40
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	15	$76.3K	76,336	0	+76,336	open	—	04-24 20:46
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 100 109	40	$70.6K	70,677	0	+70,677	open	—	01-07 15:57
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	7	$67.5K	67,682	0	+67,682	open	—	04-30 23:30
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	10	$59.9K	60,000	0	+60,000	open	—	01-04 20:43
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 120 129	39	$59.9K	60,380	10	+60,370	open	—	01-07 17:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$49.4K	49,444	0	+49,444	open	—	03-04 00:02
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 440 459	62	$38.7K	38,716	0	+38,716	open	—	01-05 19:27
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	16	$27.5K	27,169	567	+26,601	open	—	03-07 23:25
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	59	$25.9K	69,936	22,154	+47,781	open	—	01-07 18:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$25.6K	25,586	0	+25,586	open	—	06-17 15:10
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 540 559	3	$22.2K	22,221	0	+22,221	open	—	01-09 09:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-03 23:40
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	10	$20.0K	18,889	1,739	+17,150	open	—	01-08 20:57
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 40 64	62	$19.4K	25,756	7,080	+18,677	open	—	01-09 11:43
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	19	$15.3K	10,777	5,100	+5,677	open	—	01-31 21:14
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	28	$15.0K	17,222	12,010	+5,212	open	—	03-09 00:52
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	4	$11.8K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	02-03 19:05
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 110 119	3	$11.5K	10,806	806	+10,000	open	—	01-07 13:35
israel closes its airspace by june 10	22	$11.4K	8,883	5,083	+3,800	open	—	06-10 23:21
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$11.1K	22,222	0	+22,222	open	—	03-04 18:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 23:58:48	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	6¢	$36	0x333252…
08-07 12:53:22	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	640	6¢	$39	0x7fcbaf…
08-06 09:24:15	will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	No	BUY	150	96¢	$145	0xf80c7f…
08-05 17:02:11	what will be the next fed rate change 20260713235358796	Hike	SELL	96	65¢	$62	0xeecd08…
08-05 17:01:59	what will be the next fed rate change 20260713235358796	Hike	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x49215f…
08-05 17:01:20	what will be the next fed rate change 20260713235358796	Hike	BUY	580	59¢	$343	0x6b089c…
08-05 16:43:30	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	147	58¢	$85	0xfa4e36…
08-05 16:39:02	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,128	58¢	$654	0x07a55d…
08-05 16:15:38	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x619d3d…
08-05 15:40:53	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4c8fd4…
08-05 15:40:24	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9dce69…
08-04 17:00:42	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0x1ce7af…
08-04 15:20:36	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	814	50¢	$407	0x69dd5b…
08-04 15:18:39	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x92d96a…
08-04 15:18:30	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x508b71…
08-04 15:18:23	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7ce748…
08-04 15:11:45	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	50¢	$90	0x2f2436…
08-04 14:53:44	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	59¢	$354	0x7fb20e…
08-04 14:45:47	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,146	62¢	$711	0xca895f…
08-04 14:33:06	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	205	62¢	$127	0x2e8f9a…
08-04 14:24:50	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x4bdd18…
08-04 14:24:42	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x0f9a6f…
08-04 14:16:06	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xf69317…
08-04 14:16:02	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xf0a6f7…
08-04 14:15:59	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x77d592…
08-04 14:15:51	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1356de…
08-04 14:13:18	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x6138ec…
08-04 14:13:17	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x434834…
08-04 14:13:08	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x88505a…
08-04 14:13:08	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x522278…
08-04 14:13:00	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe85ddc…
08-04 14:13:00	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8c4349…
08-04 14:12:56	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	96	62¢	$60	0x1ed121…
08-04 14:12:54	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x73a12d…
08-04 14:05:35	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xa0e56e…
08-04 14:05:33	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x248d35…
08-04 14:05:32	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0xcb5bec…
08-04 14:04:42	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x8766bc…
08-04 14:04:35	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x1d6449…
08-03 12:28:38	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x1c252f…
08-03 11:39:24	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb67ac4…
08-03 11:39:11	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd21301…
08-03 11:38:56	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc1fb3e…
08-03 11:38:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x22cb83…
08-03 11:38:24	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4deac5…
08-03 11:38:09	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb32fdd…
08-03 11:37:54	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf223db…
08-03 11:37:50	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9f4037…
08-03 11:37:39	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdbe1ee…
08-03 11:37:38	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x15da40…
08-03 11:37:26	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x72918c…
08-03 11:37:12	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe4747d…
08-03 11:36:57	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb348a1…
08-03 11:36:45	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc2f940…
08-03 11:36:44	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x38ae75…
08-03 11:36:30	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdb354b…
08-03 11:36:15	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	163	62¢	$101	0xc56e5b…
08-03 09:11:54	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	524	63¢	$330	0x1ded99…
08-02 23:00:05	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	56¢	$42	0x3bbb62…
08-01 21:30:02	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x1db4ef…
08-01 18:19:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0xb0a32e…
08-01 18:17:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	210	58¢	$122	0xd51970…
08-01 18:16:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xcc0906…
08-01 18:07:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x34a0b1…
08-01 18:03:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	111	95¢	$105	0xc04d1a…
08-01 18:02:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	111	95¢	$105	0x196713…
08-01 17:55:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	210	59¢	$124	0xede4ba…
07-31 11:09:38	what will be the next fed rate change 20260713235358796	Hike	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xda7fc7…
07-31 10:38:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x19277e…
07-29 22:38:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x50d9d0…
07-29 22:01:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x8ad543…
07-29 22:00:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x04b283…
07-29 21:55:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0xd95924…
07-29 21:55:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xb8b9d4…
07-29 21:55:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd80646…
07-29 21:55:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x6dec6d…
07-29 21:54:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x28731c…
07-29 21:53:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0xb22236…
07-29 21:53:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	204	97¢	$197	0xf7d450…
07-29 21:53:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	106	97¢	$102	0xc2235c…
07-29 21:50:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x9c9527…
07-29 21:50:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	520	95¢	$492	0xb76dca…
07-29 18:24:11	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x8d42c7…
07-28 18:52:14	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xa827e4…
07-28 17:05:26	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	288	4¢	$12	0xefa231…
07-28 09:31:53	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	288	3¢	$8	0x9a4d42…
07-27 16:57:24	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	40¢	$800	0x59ac92…
07-27 14:45:16	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xdfdc83…
07-27 14:22:12	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	79	24¢	$19	0x9f65ef…
07-26 21:57:46	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,956	53¢	$1,566	0xd78702…
07-26 16:20:22	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0x276e0c…
07-26 16:01:39	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$27	0xdf301f…
07-26 14:49:39	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	16¢	$14	0xcd7538…
07-26 11:33:48	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x48f26b…
07-25 19:25:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	1,487	5¢	$71	0x273a3e…
07-25 19:13:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	232	5¢	$11	0x0757eb…
07-25 18:47:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	600	4¢	$24	0x402030…
07-25 18:45:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x53203e…
07-25 18:44:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	1,015	4¢	$41	0x4fc7fa…
07-25 18:22:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	752	6¢	$45	0x78da47…