Realized P&L
+$34.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.0K
Hit rate
94.4%
Resolved
1,030
Trades
36,753
lifetime
Volume
$3.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$112.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 07:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Politics
55% 88% +$14,277
Other
40% 83% +$19,075
Crypto
6% 57% +$521
Tech
0% 67% +$173
Sports
0% 75% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 699 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +15,927 $10,054 97¢ $15.5K +$5,443 10-08 14:10
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +20,724 $12,274 57¢ $11.8K -$461 10-26 21:01
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +17,316 $10,551 56¢ $9.7K -$819 10-26 14:11
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +18,609 $6,441 44¢ $8.2K +$1,710 10-27 08:51
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +7,963 $6,134 98¢ $7.8K +$1,670 09-28 13:47
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,524 $7,444 100¢ $7.5K +$68 08-18 11:50
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +16,329 $5,567 43¢ $7.0K +$1,455 10-26 22:04
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +8,623 $7,145 80¢ $6.9K -$290 10-08 21:15
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +8,477 $6,975 78¢ $6.6K -$405 10-05 15:10
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,503 $5,990 100¢ $6.5K +$503 09-29 19:12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +3,351 $3,088 96¢ $3.2K +$127 10-23 16:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,190 $1,903 94¢ $3.0K +$1,080 10-03 17:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,555 $2,168 100¢ $2.6K +$384 08-16 14:20
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,243 $2,082 100¢ $2.2K +$157 09-29 22:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,289 $1,374 94¢ $2.2K +$778 10-08 21:16
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +8,738 $3,464 24¢ $2.1K -$1,323 09-28 14:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,157 $1,946 24¢ $1.5K -$437 09-28 13:50
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No +1,219 $1,161 98¢ $1.2K +$34 10-26 21:06
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,194 $1,024 100¢ $1.2K +$166 10-25 12:19
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes -4,443 -$761 22¢ $-1000 -$238 09-23 14:47
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +865 $671 76¢ $662 -$10 10-02 12:33
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +552 $359 100¢ $550 +$191 05-31 05:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +540 $534 97¢ $526 -$8 09-16 20:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +945 $379 55¢ $519 +$140 06-24 21:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +477 $431 99¢ $474 +$43 09-04 10:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,082 $657 21¢ $437 -$220 09-18 14:35
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +1,828 $402 24¢ $430 +$27 10-05 15:10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +950 $562 45¢ $428 -$133 06-24 10:45
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +1,495 $793 26¢ $389 -$404 10-08 21:15
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +180,997 -$544 0¢ $271 +$816 10-27 08:58