Queasy-Cougar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$130

Unrealized P&L

+$32

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

8,084

lifetime

Volume

$2.41M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

$434

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$127

Other

35% 100% +$2

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 888 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	+337	$260	86¢	$290	+$30	05-31 05:25
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	+92	$70	76¢	$69	$-1	06-08 09:21
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	No	+64	$60	96¢	$62	+$3	06-05 15:33
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	-29	$-7	23¢	$-7	+$0	06-06 18:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-29 00:31
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	-3	$-1	14¢	$-0	+$0	06-06 18:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$226.1K	159,900	66,666	+93,234	open	—	04-30 22:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$180.7K	181,220	0	+181,220	open	—	06-04 00:25
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	33	$157.0K	159,776	3,392	+156,384	open	—	04-20 20:52
Will Trump dance today?	45	$156.9K	157,010	0	+157,010	open	—	04-28 16:20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$151.4K	151,555	0	+151,555	open	—	04-08 20:38
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	12	$135.8K	66,320	69,779	-3,459	open	—	02-03 23:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$133.2K	133,333	11,111	+122,222	open	—	03-04 18:47
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	91	$119.5K	119,628	0	+119,628	open	—	01-06 14:56
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 130 139	68	$80.8K	92,063	34,707	+57,357	open	—	01-07 18:40
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	15	$76.3K	76,336	0	+76,336	open	—	04-24 20:46
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 100 109	40	$70.6K	70,677	0	+70,677	open	—	01-07 15:57
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	7	$67.5K	67,682	0	+67,682	open	—	04-30 23:30
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	10	$59.9K	60,000	0	+60,000	open	—	01-04 20:43
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 120 129	39	$59.9K	60,380	10	+60,370	open	—	01-07 17:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$49.4K	49,444	0	+49,444	open	—	03-04 00:02
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 440 459	62	$38.7K	38,716	0	+38,716	open	—	01-05 19:27
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	16	$27.5K	27,169	567	+26,601	open	—	03-07 23:25
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	59	$25.9K	69,936	22,154	+47,781	open	—	01-07 18:44
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 540 559	3	$22.2K	22,221	0	+22,221	open	—	01-09 09:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-03 23:40
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	10	$20.0K	18,889	1,739	+17,150	open	—	01-08 20:57
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 40 64	62	$19.4K	25,756	7,080	+18,677	open	—	01-09 11:43
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	19	$15.3K	10,777	5,100	+5,677	open	—	01-31 21:14
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	28	$15.0K	17,222	12,010	+5,212	open	—	03-09 00:52
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	4	$11.8K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	02-03 19:05
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 110 119	3	$11.5K	10,806	806	+10,000	open	—	01-07 13:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$11.1K	22,222	0	+22,222	open	—	03-04 18:35
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$10.1K	5,200	5,100	+100	open	—	02-01 00:39
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 420 439	18	$10.1K	10,016	55	+9,961	open	—	01-05 15:50
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	10	$8.9K	7,198	2,500	+4,698	open	—	01-15 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:51:03	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8683e0…
06-09 23:50:58	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x371bd2…
06-09 23:41:07	israel closes its airspace by june 13	Yes	SELL	38	15¢	$6	0x4a7276…
06-09 23:33:45	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x1761d8…
06-09 23:32:49	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x3de199…
06-09 23:32:16	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	56	37¢	$21	0x67e9e8…
06-09 23:23:37	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	Yes	SELL	308	10¢	$31	0x0363b0…
06-09 23:22:10	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	Yes	SELL	352	14¢	$49	0xfcc5a8…
06-09 23:19:22	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x27605a…
06-09 23:15:57	israel closes its airspace by june 13	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x05b3bd…
06-09 23:15:01	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	Yes	BUY	700	8¢	$56	0x406ba1…
06-09 23:12:40	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x52bac3…
06-09 23:12:40	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x3cff70…
06-09 23:12:31	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x3cd18b…
06-09 23:12:31	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x2ed367…
06-09 23:12:12	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x279ee2…
06-09 23:11:21	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd1fc98…
06-09 23:11:16	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xce009a…
06-09 23:10:27	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	137	31¢	$43	0xb8d27e…
06-09 23:10:13	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	67	31¢	$21	0x604775…
06-09 23:10:09	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	67	71¢	$48	0x3c014d…
06-09 22:31:54	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc6b2ab…
06-09 22:28:54	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xaa1ec8…
06-09 22:28:54	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x80689e…
06-09 22:28:45	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x81ea96…
06-09 22:28:25	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb5761d…
06-09 22:28:22	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x75a3dc…
06-09 22:27:39	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x7461d9…
06-09 21:43:15	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x46a277…
06-09 21:42:12	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0c1685…
06-09 20:33:16	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0xbc0576…
06-09 20:26:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xaaabf1…
06-09 20:26:46	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x83c974…
06-09 20:24:46	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x338029…
06-09 20:22:31	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xec1705…
06-09 20:20:55	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x2e9987…
06-09 20:20:30	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x991dc9…
06-09 20:09:16	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xa8243f…
06-09 20:08:31	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x289dc5…
06-09 20:06:55	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	980	55¢	$539	0x9c895a…
06-09 20:06:36	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	51¢	$510	0xe30af7…
06-09 19:58:27	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x2008cd…
06-08 09:21:51	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xf212ae…
06-08 09:18:34	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xca0659…
06-07 22:54:55	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x14c05f…
06-07 22:54:49	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xc54b3f…
06-07 21:19:52	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x77ded6…
06-07 21:19:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xf8a77b…
06-07 20:26:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	180	45¢	$81	0xc21c58…
06-07 20:26:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	28	45¢	$13	0x59645b…
06-07 20:25:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	357	51¢	$182	0xf4ef7f…
06-07 20:24:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	555	42¢	$233	0x02c543…
06-07 19:57:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	97	50¢	$48	0xcf5425…
06-07 19:57:37	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	SELL	59	60¢	$35	0xffa7ab…
06-07 19:57:37	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0x5cbceb…
06-07 18:50:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	97	59¢	$57	0x06d65d…
06-07 18:49:13	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	BUY	97	34¢	$33	0xba07a1…
06-07 18:48:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x3fca34…
06-07 18:41:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x1ed0e0…
06-06 19:53:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb25119…
06-06 18:04:37	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x153883…
06-06 18:04:25	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0x9267fe…
06-06 11:02:45	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xa70204…
06-05 16:01:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xc79ac7…
06-05 15:47:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x7358cb…
06-05 15:37:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa4f5ed…
06-05 15:35:51	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0xc500a4…
06-05 15:35:27	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xb99ca9…
06-05 15:33:48	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	No	BUY	64	92¢	$60	0x3c9ec5…
06-05 15:33:24	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0xe36cde…
06-04 00:25:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8ee788…
06-03 21:36:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$697	0xe7c92f…
06-03 21:26:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x840859…
06-03 21:26:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	180,000	100¢	$179,460	0x476a53…
05-31 21:50:22	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0x1d543a…
05-31 21:30:35	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x036d95…
05-31 05:25:05	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	308	77¢	$237	0xda75ac…
05-30 22:15:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	310	98¢	$304	0xfa90f0…
05-30 22:15:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	309	4¢	$11	0xe2ea81…
05-30 19:50:13	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x48654b…
05-29 09:13:54	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xd9cb68…
05-29 00:31:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4f4023…
05-29 00:16:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8d0e1a…
05-28 13:32:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	310	92¢	$285	0x11f17f…
05-28 13:32:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	309	7¢	$22	0xe5b008…
05-28 10:37:00	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x0b3ef7…
05-28 02:21:50	Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x94a226…
05-26 15:12:16	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb5698f…
05-26 15:12:16	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	58	60¢	$35	0x7c54b9…
05-26 15:12:16	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	487	60¢	$292	0x413360…
05-26 15:12:14	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x527c27…
05-26 15:11:42	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	555	45¢	$251	0x350055…
05-26 15:11:14	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	56	57¢	$32	0x630cde…
05-26 15:11:06	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	444	57¢	$251	0x895686…
05-26 15:09:01	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	500	24¢	$119	0x2aa130…
05-25 23:29:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	81	3¢	$2	0xaf003c…
05-25 23:29:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	81	98¢	$79	0xab5339…
05-25 23:19:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x49f070…
05-25 23:18:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xd29c31…
05-25 23:17:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	640	2¢	$14	0xb39b06…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	455	$2.33M	45,304	06-09 19:29
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	446	$59.3K	21,435	06-09 23:37
Sane-Pan 0x8092…b8a2	438	$34.7K	5,011	06-09 23:51
(anonymous) 0x5795…30fa	416	$32.4K	4,725	06-09 23:52
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	413	$123.4K	61,986	04-27 21:22
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	408	$97.0K	12,146	06-09 23:22
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	404	$1.15M	20,755	04-26 17:18
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	398	$1.55M	61,165	04-09 19:44