Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 0%-10%?
open
Total volume
$1,008
Trades
176
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$2,206
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-09-05
last 11-01 13:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.6¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $627
vs crowd: 5% YES on $954)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 24 | $20 | $727 | $706 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $19 | $43 | $24 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $2 | $130 | $128 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $8 | $5 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 20 | $4 | $623 | $619 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $1 | $102 | $101 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $28 | $28 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $16 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $8 | $1 | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | $59 | $57 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 13 | $35 | $76 | $41 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +271 | $15 | $15 | 9 | 10-29 12:41 |
| Remarkable-Cosset 0x777f…a1bb | No | +226 | $208 | $208 | 1 | 10-31 19:06 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +175 | $1 | $1 | 23 | 09-24 02:45 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +156 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-04 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3807…ec06 | Yes | +146 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 11-01 13:27 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +141 | $140 | $140 | 10 | 09-29 21:02 |
| Jubilant-Park 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | +61 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | +60 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-31 19:07 |
| Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | +60 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 10-31 19:06 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +58 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 10-01 05:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +41 | $41 | $41 | 3 | 09-29 21:02 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-01 05:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x7df0…0dfe | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 10-20 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cc4…cf8d | No | +39 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 09-24 02:45 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 09-22 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xcdbf…af8b | No | +37 | $37 | $37 | 4 | 09-24 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +29 | -$1 | $2 | 4 | 10-20 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-20 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +24 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-31 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-31 19:07 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-26 04:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-01 01:02 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-26 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-31 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-31 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 10-31 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6325…84d0 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 09-05 03:48 |
| Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 09-24 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x41c7…bd4d | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 09-09 01:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x51ca…364a | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 09-29 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-01 05:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0dc…94db | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-01 13:27 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 09-24 03:58 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-29 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-20 17:21 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-21 20:27 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 09-24 02:43 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-22 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2370…31ae | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 09-05 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd487…a674 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-09 01:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xc34f…a984 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-24 02:45 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 09-24 03:57 |
| Shy-Note 0xe432…934a | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-05 04:18 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-24 03:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-01 13:27 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-09 01:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a23…0e0c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-01 07:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:27:18 | (anonymous) 0xe0dc…94db | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x852ee8… |
| 11-01 13:27:18 | (anonymous) 0x3807…ec06 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x852ee8… |
| 11-01 13:27:18 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x852ee8… |
| 11-01 07:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x3807…ec06 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xad2c6b… |
| 11-01 07:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x9a23…0e0c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xad2c6b… |
| 11-01 01:02:19 | (anonymous) 0x3807…ec06 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xc7202f… |
| 11-01 01:02:19 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc7202f… |
| 11-01 01:02:19 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc7202f… |
| 11-01 01:02:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xc7202f… |
| 10-31 19:25:12 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda2daa… |
| 10-31 19:25:12 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda2daa… |
| 10-31 19:25:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f2fa6… |
| 10-31 19:25:06 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x2f2fa6… |
| 10-31 19:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x098778… |
| 10-31 19:07:16 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x098778… |
| 10-31 19:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4f24ef… |
| 10-31 19:07:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4f24ef… |
| 10-31 19:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4f24ef… |
| 10-31 19:06:03 | Remarkable-Cosset 0x777f…a1bb | No | BUY | 226 | 92¢ | $208 | 0x84b519… |
| 10-31 19:06:03 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x84b519… |
| 10-31 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x84b519… |
| 10-31 19:06:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0xd07a03… |
| 10-31 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x84b519… |
| 10-31 19:06:03 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x84b519… |
| 10-31 19:06:03 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x84b519… |
| 10-31 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x84b519… |
| 10-31 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0xd07a03… |
| 10-31 19:06:03 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x84b519… |
| 10-29 12:41:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x2e4c59… |
| 10-29 12:41:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x2e4c59… |
| 10-28 06:29:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x3c2bfc… |
| 10-28 06:29:01 | Klutzy-Commitment 0x2998…b425 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x3c2bfc… |
| 10-26 15:06:39 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x09c37a… |
| 10-26 15:06:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x09c37a… |
| 10-26 04:57:24 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x114c18… |
| 10-26 04:57:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x114c18… |
| 10-22 03:47:30 | Klutzy-Commitment 0x2998…b425 | Yes | SELL | 82 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x34159f… |
| 10-22 03:47:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x34159f… |
| 10-20 20:57:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x9084eb… |
| 10-20 20:57:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x9084eb… |
| 10-20 17:21:26 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x42ee66… |
| 10-20 17:21:26 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x42ee66… |
| 10-20 17:21:24 | (anonymous) 0x7df0…0dfe | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x006fc7… |
| 10-20 17:21:24 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x006fc7… |
| 10-20 17:21:24 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x006fc7… |
| 10-20 17:21:24 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x006fc7… |
| 10-20 17:21:24 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x006fc7… |
| 10-20 17:21:24 | (anonymous) 0x3807…ec06 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x006fc7… |
| 10-19 07:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x86bb1f… |
| 10-19 07:54:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x86bb1f… |
| 10-19 06:50:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x08f933… |
| 10-19 06:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x08f933… |
| 10-05 16:40:38 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x433a39… |
| 10-05 16:40:38 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x433a39… |
| 10-05 16:40:38 | Jubilant-Park 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x433a39… |
| 10-05 16:40:38 | (anonymous) 0xd666…0027 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x433a39… |
| 10-04 00:15:16 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x356aa0… |
| 10-04 00:15:16 | (anonymous) 0xd666…0027 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x356aa0… |
| 10-04 00:15:16 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 156 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x356aa0… |
| 10-01 05:56:45 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x80fb4b… |
| 10-01 05:56:45 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x80fb4b… |
| 10-01 05:56:35 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd42562… |
| 10-01 05:56:35 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd42562… |
| 10-01 05:56:35 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xd42562… |
| 09-29 22:54:30 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x29f16d… |
| 09-29 22:54:30 | (anonymous) 0xd666…0027 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29f16d… |
| 09-29 21:02:47 | (anonymous) 0xd666…0027 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x292260… |
| 09-29 21:02:47 | (anonymous) 0x51ca…364a | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x292260… |
| 09-29 21:02:47 | (anonymous) 0xd666…0027 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac4bdf… |
| 09-29 21:02:47 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xac4bdf… |
| 09-29 21:02:45 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xf8f682… |
| 09-29 21:02:45 | (anonymous) 0xd666…0027 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8f682… |
| 09-29 20:16:29 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xe6f44f… |
| 09-29 20:16:29 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6f44f… |
| 09-29 18:14:33 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24ab3e… |
| 09-29 18:14:33 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x24ab3e… |
| 09-29 18:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x881e71… |
| 09-29 18:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x881e71… |
| 09-26 02:26:23 | Klutzy-Commitment 0x2998…b425 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae5798… |
| 09-26 02:26:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae5798… |
| 09-26 02:24:59 | Klutzy-Commitment 0x2998…b425 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a4a8a… |
| 09-26 02:24:59 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a4a8a… |
| 09-26 02:24:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a4a8a… |
| 09-26 02:24:59 | (anonymous) 0xd666…0027 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a4a8a… |
| 09-26 02:24:59 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a4a8a… |
| 09-24 03:58:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5357b… |
| 09-24 03:58:03 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5357b… |
| 09-24 03:58:03 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa5357b… |
| 09-24 03:57:51 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x7b01bf… |
| 09-24 03:57:51 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b01bf… |
| 09-24 03:57:51 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b01bf… |
| 09-24 02:48:59 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefb8e5… |
| 09-24 02:48:59 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefb8e5… |
| 09-24 02:45:58 | (anonymous) 0x5cc4…cf8d | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x24f7b8… |
| 09-24 02:45:58 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24f7b8… |
| 09-24 02:45:58 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x62b8d8… |
| 09-24 02:45:58 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62b8d8… |
| 09-24 02:45:58 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62b8d8… |
| 09-24 02:45:56 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee2735… |
| 09-24 02:45:56 | (anonymous) 0xc34f…a984 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xee2735… |