(anonymous) 0x5cc41e…f5cf8d
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.60K
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
94.9%
Resolved
1,039
Trades
2,523
lifetime
Volume
$79.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$2.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
63% 89% -$229
Politics
22% 88% -$1,453
Sports
11% 95% +$113
Tech
2% 89% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% 82% -$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,005 $935 92¢ $920 -$15 10-03 00:59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +501 $498 100¢ $500 +$1 10-01 16:53
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +270 $240 92¢ $247 +$7 10-04 20:24
Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +236 $235 100¢ $236 +$1 10-03 19:49
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +313 $219 74¢ $230 +$10 09-24 11:47
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 +$0 09-27 00:11
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +85 $84 98¢ $84 $0 09-24 15:38
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? No +78 $77 99¢ $77 $0 09-29 16:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +73 $73 100¢ $73 +$0 09-24 16:03
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $62 98¢ $62 +$0 09-27 00:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +49 $48 100¢ $48 +$0 09-23 15:15
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +44 $44 100¢ $44 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +32 $32 98¢ $32 -$1 10-01 03:06
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +34 $33 91¢ $31 -$2 09-22 21:48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 09-25 13:20
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +24 $22 99¢ $24 +$2 10-03 22:45
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 09-27 00:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +62 $22 34¢ $22 -$1 09-22 04:25
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +31 $26 62¢ $19 -$7 09-23 05:35
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +18 $18 96¢ $17 -$1 09-24 10:09
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +18 $14 88¢ $16 +$2 09-23 04:28
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +14 $12 100¢ $13 +$1 09-24 01:19
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 $0 09-30 20:12
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +18 $16 50¢ $9 -$7 10-01 03:54
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 10-03 00:36
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 09-25 05:42
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 09-26 00:18
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 $0 09-30 20:24
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 $0 09-27 09:53
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 09-29 02:20