(anonymous) 0x5cc41e…f5cf8d Create alert
cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.27K
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved (30d)
226
Trades (30d)
4
2,523 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$10
$79.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$1.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
63% 90% -$205
Politics
22% 88% -$1,257
Sports
11% 96% +$115
Tech
2% 89% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% 82% -$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +139 $139 100¢ $139 $0 10-04 10:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? No +104 $89 98¢ $102 +$13 09-27 07:16
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +85 $84 98¢ $84 $0 09-24 15:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +73 $73 100¢ $73 +$0 09-24 16:03
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $62 99¢ $62 +$1 09-27 00:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +49 $48 100¢ $49 +$0 09-23 15:15
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 $0 10-02 09:41
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +44 $44 100¢ $44 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 $0 10-01 03:06
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? No +42 $33 76¢ $32 -$1 09-28 17:14
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +34 $33 89¢ $30 -$3 09-22 21:48
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 $0 10-01 00:25
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026? No +45 $41 64¢ $29 -$13 10-02 14:56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election? No — +29 $29 97¢ $28 -$1 10-03 03:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 09-25 13:20
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +30 $27 89¢ $26 -$1 09-24 21:52
Will Ferencvaros win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +26 $26 98¢ $26 -$1 09-21 14:40
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +31 $26 66¢ $21 -$5 09-23 05:35
Will Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? No +20 $19 99¢ $19 +$0 10-02 00:48
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +18 $18 99¢ $18 $0 09-30 16:55
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? No — +18 $18 95¢ $17 -$1 09-28 13:41
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +18 $18 93¢ $17 -$1 09-24 10:09
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? No +18 $16 91¢ $16 +$0 10-01 04:03
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +18 $18 90¢ $16 -$2 10-01 06:18
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C? No — +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 10-04 16:20
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +18 $14 76¢ $14 -$1 09-23 04:28
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%? No +18 $17 73¢ $13 -$3 09-26 06:09
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +18 $16 72¢ $13 -$3 10-01 03:54
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 0%-3%? No +14 $13 78¢ $11 -$2 09-24 13:57