(anonymous) 0x5cc41e…f5cf8d
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved (7d)
85
Trades (7d)
0
2,523 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$79.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$2.13K
26 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
63% 90% -$223
Politics
22% 88% -$1,452
Sports
11% 96% +$115
Tech
2% 89% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% 82% -$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,005 $935 94¢ $950 +$15 10-03 00:59
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +270 $240 94¢ $252 +$12 10-04 20:24
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +313 $219 78¢ $242 +$23 09-24 11:47
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 +$0 09-27 00:11
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +85 $84 98¢ $84 $0 09-24 15:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +73 $73 100¢ $73 +$0 09-24 16:03
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $62 98¢ $62 +$1 09-27 00:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +49 $48 100¢ $49 +$0 09-23 15:15
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +44 $44 100¢ $43 $0 09-27 00:03
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 $0 10-01 03:06
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +32 $32 98¢ $32 $0 10-01 09:18
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +34 $33 88¢ $30 -$3 09-22 21:48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 09-25 13:20
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +24 $22 100¢ $24 +$2 10-03 22:45
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +31 $26 62¢ $20 -$7 09-23 05:35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +62 $22 29¢ $18 -$5 09-22 04:25
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +18 $18 94¢ $17 -$1 09-24 10:09
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +18 $14 85¢ $15 +$1 09-23 04:28
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +18 $16 54¢ $10 -$6 10-01 03:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 09-25 05:42
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +6 $6 95¢ $6 $0 09-27 09:53
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 09-29 02:20
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +9 $5 48¢ $4 $0 09-28 16:21
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +29 $17 4¢ $1 -$16 10-04 23:02
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 09-25 04:45