Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
95.3%
Resolved (90d)
1,174
Trades (90d)
2,523
2,523 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$79.6K
$79.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$1.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
63% 91% -$202
Politics
22% 88% -$1,157
Sports
11% 96% +$115
Tech
2% 89% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% 82% -$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +139 $139 100¢ $139 $0 10-04 10:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? No +104 $89 100¢ $103 +$14 09-27 07:16
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +73 $73 100¢ $73 +$0 09-24 16:03
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +67 $66 99¢ $66 $0 09-23 21:47
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $62 98¢ $62 +$1 09-27 00:14
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by December 31? No +62 $61 99¢ $62 +$1 10-03 15:17
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +49 $48 100¢ $49 +$0 09-23 15:15
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 $0 10-02 09:41
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 $0 10-02 07:57
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +44 $44 100¢ $44 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? No +57 $36 73¢ $42 +$6 09-27 01:53
Will Valorant Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? No +45 $40 88¢ $40 -$1 10-02 22:07
Will zekken play for 100 Thieves in 2027? No +36 $36 97¢ $35 -$1 10-02 22:35
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? No +36 $35 96¢ $35 +$0 10-01 02:17
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026? No +45 $41 74¢ $33 -$8 10-02 14:56
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? No +42 $33 78¢ $33 $0 09-28 17:14
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 $0 10-01 03:06
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +34 $33 89¢ $30 -$3 09-22 21:48
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 $0 10-01 00:25
Will there be 0 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? No +29 $26 98¢ $28 +$2 10-03 21:15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election? No — +29 $29 97¢ $28 -$1 10-03 03:10
Will Diego Lopes be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 09-21 14:44
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +30 $27 92¢ $27 $0 09-24 21:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 09-25 13:20
Will Ferencvaros win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +26 $26 98¢ $26 -$1 09-21 14:40
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +31 $26 70¢ $22 -$4 09-23 05:35
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will Z.ai be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 09-24 07:29
Will Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? No +20 $19 99¢ $19 +$0 10-02 00:48
Will Saudi Arabia win Group A at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? No +19 $4 98¢ $19 +$15 09-22 08:35