Klutzy-Commitment 0x2998fb…aeb425 Create alert
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$44
Unrealized P&L
-$119
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved
172
Trades
540
lifetime
Volume
$5.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$759
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 21:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Other
44% 66% +$74
Politics
43% 81% -$18
Sports
12% 51% -$12
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -200 -$188 98¢ $-197 -$9 10-10 22:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -200 -$153 89¢ $-178 -$26 10-10 09:28
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -926 -$26 12¢ $-113 -$87 10-18 21:48
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -51 -$50 99¢ $-51 $0 10-10 03:19
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -26 -$27 99¢ $-26 +$1 10-18 19:58
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -21 -$21 100¢ $-21 +$0 09-13 00:33
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -21 -$21 99¢ $-21 $0 10-11 02:09
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No -20 -$20 99¢ $-20 $0 10-10 19:02
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -20 -$17 92¢ $-18 -$1 10-17 17:10
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +12 $11 98¢ $12 +$1 06-03 05:14
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-21 03:22
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 +$0 10-10 19:07
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 10-21 00:41
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -216 -$8 4¢ $-9 -$1 10-11 04:52
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +9 $8 97¢ $8 +$0 10-10 23:15
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -8 -$8 98¢ $-8 +$0 10-15 12:40
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -281 -$7 3¢ $-7 $0 10-10 19:10
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +7 $7 93¢ $7 +$0 07-03 02:02
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$6 100¢ $-6 $0 10-15 18:57
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$6 99¢ $-6 $0 10-10 19:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -6 -$5 88¢ $-5 +$0 10-12 03:20
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -5 -$6 98¢ $-5 +$1 10-12 21:31
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 10-15 17:39
EU dissolves before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 +$0 10-10 23:12
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-22 19:12
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 10-11 05:08
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 +$0 09-23 22:13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 +$0 10-11 15:29
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 09-08 02:51
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 +$0 10-11 05:05