Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
177
lifetime
Volume
$2.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.14K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
78%
Politics
22% 100% +$1
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No -603 $-602 100¢ $-603 $-1 06-25 01:03
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? No +100 $93 90¢ $90 $-2 06-19 08:41
Obama arrested before 2027? No +94 $88 96¢ $90 +$2 06-19 08:33
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +91 $88 96¢ $87 $-0 06-25 02:34
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +100 $76 66¢ $66 $-10 06-25 03:42
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +66 $62 96¢ $63 +$1 06-06 04:17
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 +$0 06-25 15:26
EU dissolves before 2027? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 06-29 08:52
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +17 $16 94¢ $16 $-0 06-25 04:40
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +18 $16 89¢ $16 $-0 06-28 17:01
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +18 $14 86¢ $15 +$1 06-26 08:36
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +14 $13 96¢ $13 +$0 06-25 09:55
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? No +16 $14 72¢ $11 $-3 06-05 06:21
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +12 $11 89¢ $11 +$0 06-03 05:14
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? No +9 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 06-27 03:38
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-21 02:37
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-21 03:28
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-19 07:24
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-22 20:36
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-22 19:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 06-19 07:33