Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
184
lifetime
Volume
$2.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$605
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 18:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
76%
Politics
24% 100% +$1
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? No +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 06-19 08:41
Obama arrested before 2027? No +94 $88 97¢ $91 +$3 06-19 08:33
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +91 $88 97¢ $89 +$1 06-25 02:34
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +100 $76 66¢ $66 $-10 06-25 03:42
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +66 $62 95¢ $63 +$1 06-06 04:17
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +38 $37 98¢ $37 +$1 07-02 09:51
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +27 $26 97¢ $26 +$1 07-03 05:12
EU dissolves before 2027? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 06-29 08:52
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +18 $16 91¢ $16 +$0 06-28 17:01
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +17 $16 94¢ $16 +$0 06-25 04:40
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +18 $14 88¢ $16 +$2 06-26 08:36
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? No +16 $14 91¢ $14 +$0 06-05 06:21
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +14 $13 98¢ $14 +$0 06-25 09:55
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +12 $11 89¢ $11 +$0 06-03 05:14
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? No +9 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 06-27 03:38
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +7 $7 84¢ $6 $-0 07-03 02:02
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +7 $6 86¢ $6 +$0 07-03 18:42
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-21 02:37
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-21 03:28
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-22 19:12
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-22 20:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 36¢ $1 $-0 06-19 07:33