Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$44
Trades
36
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$4,460
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-07
last 07-14 04:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $1 | $1 | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $0 | $17 | $16 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $1 | $0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $1 | $0 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $9 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-12 11:38 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-28 12:50 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-14 04:44 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 09:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 04:44:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa8ee65… |
| 07-14 04:44:14 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa8ee65… |
| 07-12 11:38:49 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x353ffc… |
| 07-12 11:38:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x353ffc… |
| 07-12 11:25:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5ef7f1… |
| 07-12 11:25:29 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5ef7f1… |
| 07-12 11:21:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa74645… |
| 07-12 11:21:47 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa74645… |
| 07-11 09:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc69300… |
| 07-11 09:41:52 | Meager-Administration 0x6663…bb78 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xc69300… |
| 07-11 05:41:25 | Meager-Administration 0x6663…bb78 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xe6a2ba… |
| 07-11 05:41:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe6a2ba… |
| 06-29 03:32:08 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc0b5bc… |
| 06-29 03:32:08 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc0b5bc… |
| 06-29 03:32:01 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4471a0… |
| 06-29 03:32:01 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4471a0… |
| 06-29 03:19:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbe0efe… |
| 06-29 03:19:43 | (anonymous) 0x96c4…8014 | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xbe0efe… |
| 06-29 03:04:04 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x39da3e… |
| 06-29 03:04:04 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x39da3e… |
| 06-29 03:04:04 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x39da3e… |
| 06-29 03:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x39da3e… |
| 06-29 03:03:35 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0281b1… |
| 06-29 03:03:35 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0281b1… |
| 06-29 03:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x96c4…8014 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x880165… |
| 06-29 03:02:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x880165… |
| 06-28 12:50:47 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xc9db27… |
| 06-28 12:50:47 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc9db27… |
| 06-25 11:34:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xbcde2a… |
| 06-25 11:34:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xbcde2a… |
| 06-24 16:29:07 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x305886… |
| 06-24 16:29:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x305886… |
| 06-07 09:23:58 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x9c3725… |
| 06-07 09:23:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x9c3725… |
| 06-07 09:21:00 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xac3ee0… |
| 06-07 09:21:00 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xac3ee0… |