Realized P&L
-$103
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
93.7%
Resolved
1,087
Trades
2,099
lifetime
Volume
$26.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.69K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 09-21 00:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
62% 83% -$107
Politics
21% 88% -$25
Sports
14% 92% +$15
Tech
1% 72% +$13
Crypto
1% 71% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +200 $200 96¢ $192 -$8 09-13 19:43
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +112 $106 97¢ $109 +$2 09-13 21:14
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +95 $94 100¢ $95 +$0 09-18 01:02
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +89 $88 100¢ $89 +$1 09-13 00:54
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +88 $84 100¢ $87 +$4 09-14 21:13
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +88 $80 96¢ $84 +$4 09-07 23:28
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +81 $80 99¢ $80 +$0 09-13 21:14
Will Schalke 04 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +72 $71 100¢ $72 +$0 09-08 12:47
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +73 $70 95¢ $69 -$1 09-18 01:03
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +64 $62 94¢ $60 -$2 09-13 17:36
Will SC Freiburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $58 98¢ $58 $0 09-08 12:32
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +64 $61 85¢ $54 -$6 09-14 03:23
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +53 $51 96¢ $51 +$0 09-13 21:15
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +56 $53 90¢ $51 -$2 09-07 23:18
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +56 $52 88¢ $50 -$2 09-13 17:36
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $47 94¢ $45 -$2 09-13 17:36
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 09-18 01:03
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $39 98¢ $40 +$1 09-14 02:57
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +39 $38 100¢ $39 +$0 09-09 13:16
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +39 $38 100¢ $38 +$0 09-13 17:35
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +33 $33 99¢ $33 $0 09-13 03:26
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 100¢ $32 +$1 08-30 20:41
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 09-14 03:23
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 99¢ $31 $0 09-13 21:16
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $30 95¢ $31 +$1 09-14 02:57
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +28 $27 100¢ $28 +$0 08-28 16:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +28 $3 99¢ $28 +$24 09-20 05:31
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +28 $26 95¢ $26 +$1 08-14 17:41
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 09-09 22:59
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 08-30 21:17