Realized P&L
+$568
Unrealized P&L
-$154
Hit rate
94.7%
Resolved
718
Trades
1,883
lifetime
Volume
$31.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$927
25 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
58% 63% +$342
Sports
20% 93% +$57
Politics
19% 82% +$164
Tech
2% 89% +$5
Pop-Culture
1% 91% +$0
Crypto
0% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +168 $167 99¢ $166 -$1 09-27 00:11
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +114 $109 100¢ $114 +$5 09-27 00:33
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +85 $72 92¢ $78 +$6 09-24 15:38
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +78 $78 100¢ $78 +$0 10-03 05:45
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $61 97¢ $61 $0 09-27 00:14
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +66 $48 84¢ $56 +$8 09-24 16:03
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +49 $47 100¢ $48 +$1 09-23 15:15
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +48 $48 100¢ $47 $0 10-02 09:41
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +43 $41 99¢ $42 +$1 09-26 19:12
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +39 $38 88¢ $34 -$4 09-22 22:29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 $0 09-30 20:09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 09-25 13:20
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +270 $27 8¢ $23 -$4 10-04 20:24
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +18 $17 100¢ $18 +$1 09-24 10:09
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +18 $18 92¢ $17 -$1 09-23 04:28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +45 $16 34¢ $15 -$1 09-24 11:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +14 $6 98¢ $14 +$9 09-30 20:24
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +14 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 09-29 02:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +509 $184 3¢ $13 -$171 10-01 16:53
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 10-04 12:46
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 09-30 20:08
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 09-25 05:42
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +6 $6 81¢ $5 -$1 10-03 09:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +18 $1 8¢ $1 +$0 10-03 00:59
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No +9 $2 6¢ $1 -$2 09-24 06:19