(anonymous) 0xc34fc3…aea984
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Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
582
Trades
1,343
lifetime
Volume
$4.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$133
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-30
last 10-18 10:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
67% 77% +$32
Politics
29% 64% +$12
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$9
Crypto
0% 60% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 25% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 309 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +25 $21 92¢ $23 +$3 10-05 11:45
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $20 +$0 08-31 05:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$2 10-02 12:30
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +15 $9 62¢ $9 +$0 09-01 11:23
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 10-02 11:24
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +10 $7 79¢ $8 +$1 10-02 18:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +15 $6 43¢ $7 +$1 09-01 11:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 09-24 11:47
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-03 04:07
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 10-04 20:48
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-04 22:13
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +5 $3 97¢ $5 +$2 09-24 06:29
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$1 10-05 14:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +10 $3 26¢ $3 $0 09-28 23:24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 $2 50¢ $3 +$1 10-06 21:47
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +5 $4 48¢ $2 -$1 09-26 09:16
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +5 $1 36¢ $2 +$0 10-02 08:11
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +12 $1 13¢ $2 +$1 10-03 17:32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +17 $1 8¢ $1 +$0 10-03 00:59
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +5 $2 26¢ $1 -$1 10-02 16:22
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +5 $2 20¢ $1 $0 09-25 17:18
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5 $1 18¢ $1 -$1 10-05 16:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2 $0 36¢ $1 +$0 10-02 13:54
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 08-31 05:09
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +5 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 10-07 04:07
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +10 $8 5¢ $0 -$8 09-25 07:30
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +8 $5 6¢ $0 -$4 10-04 23:05
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? No +25 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-02 12:35
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +5 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-25 11:24
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +5 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 10-04 05:44