Jubilant-Park 0xcbdff2…4e6a49
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.74K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.64K
Hit rate
69.0%
Resolved
14
Trades
216
lifetime
Volume
$46.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$215
Open exposure
$17.0K
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 10-28 20:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
83% 40% -$1,438
Other
17% 56% -$307
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -7,203 -$5,701 97¢ $-7019 -$1,318 06-09 05:37
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -123,842 -$3,150 4¢ $-4334 -$1,184 10-19 21:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,948 $1,948 29¢ $1.4K -$538 10-09 02:26
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +10,443 $679 6¢ $632 -$47 10-22 19:09
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,015 $896 30¢ $615 -$282 08-28 04:29
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +21,517 $698 2¢ $441 -$257 07-29 07:00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +5,833 $978 8¢ $437 -$540 09-20 06:52
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -39,014 $614 1¢ $-371 -$985 10-24 04:17
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -416 -$129 82¢ $-339 -$210 05-02 05:35
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -12,394 -$521 2¢ $-310 +$211 10-09 02:25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +1,112 $308 22¢ $250 -$57 10-22 19:12
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +5,735 $192 4¢ $232 +$40 06-22 03:57
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +567 $227 30¢ $167 -$59 09-30 17:15
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,213 $31 2¢ $99 +$68 09-20 06:53
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,015 $300 2¢ $75 -$225 09-14 16:51
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,634 $104 1¢ $58 -$45 09-21 17:43
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -2,220 -$74 2¢ $-54 +$20 06-09 05:36
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +5,661 $101 1¢ $48 -$53 10-25 23:23
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +489 $64 10¢ $46 -$17 09-14 16:54
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +24 $15 50¢ $12 -$3 10-07 03:06
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +519 $163 1¢ $6 -$157 09-04 03:54