Realized P&L
-$355
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
1,803
Trades
2,442
lifetime
Volume
$15.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$15
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-31 12:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 70% -$92
Other
44% 47% -$186
Sports
2% 50% -$20
Tech
2% 0% -$57
Politics
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $3 42¢ $2 -$1 10-24 19:49
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 48¢ $2 $0 10-30 00:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-30 02:25
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +4 $1 27¢ $1 +$0 10-29 12:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-30 02:42
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-30 12:18
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-31 07:10
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-29 12:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +3 $1 28¢ $1 $0 10-31 12:10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-30 00:03
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +3 $1 24¢ $1 $0 10-24 19:12
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 32¢ $1 $0 10-29 12:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +7 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 10-26 20:14
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +121 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-29 12:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? Yes +7 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-30 16:06
Will Solana dip to $80 in October? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-24 20:06