Sniveling-Yogurt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

+$124

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

2,855

Trades

9,286

lifetime

Volume

$38.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.69K

30 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-26 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

69% 86% -$10

Politics

25% 84% +$15

Sports

3% 91% +$38

Tech

2% 85% -$4

Crypto

0% 76% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 1106 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+133	$133	100¢	$133	+$0	09-26 00:18
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+133	$133	100¢	$133	$0	09-26 00:18
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+133	$131	99¢	$133	+$1	09-26 00:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+133	$130	99¢	$133	+$2	09-26 00:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+133	$16	91¢	$122	+$106	09-26 00:18
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+52	$52	99¢	$51	$0	10-07 01:53
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+51	$50	100¢	$51	+$1	10-05 14:56
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+51	$38	100¢	$51	+$13	10-05 14:56
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+51	$49	100¢	$51	+$2	10-05 14:56
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+51	$51	100¢	$51	+$0	10-05 14:56
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+51	$51	100¢	$51	+$0	10-05 14:56
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+51	$49	100¢	$51	+$2	10-05 14:56
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+51	$51	100¢	$51	+$0	10-05 14:56
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+51	$50	100¢	$51	+$0	10-05 14:56
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+52	$52	98¢	$51	-$1	10-07 01:53
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	+60	$52	82¢	$49	-$3	10-06 23:49
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+46	$41	100¢	$46	+$5	10-05 14:56
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+43	$43	100¢	$43	+$0	10-18 05:39
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+43	$41	97¢	$42	+$1	10-18 05:39
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	+35	$33	100¢	$35	+$2	10-03 04:07
Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	+35	$35	100¢	$35	+$0	10-03 04:07
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	+35	$35	99¢	$35	$0	10-03 04:07
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	+35	$34	95¢	$34	-$1	10-03 04:07
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	+35	$30	94¢	$33	+$3	10-03 04:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+50	$34	62¢	$31	-$3	10-07 01:53
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	+35	$30	86¢	$30	+$0	10-03 04:07
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	+35	$31	86¢	$30	-$1	10-03 04:07
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	+30	$29	99¢	$30	+$1	10-03 03:45
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	+35	$31	84¢	$30	-$1	10-03 04:07
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	+48	$32	56¢	$27	-$5	10-07 01:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	61	$333	335	0	+335	No	+$2	09-20 18:43
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	61	$331	335	0	+335	No	+$4	09-20 18:43
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	61	$308	308	179	+129	No	+$1	09-20 17:22
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	62	$274	329	14	+316	No	+$61	09-20 18:43
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	34	$180	180	0	+180	No	+$0	09-18 23:51
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	12	$166	181	5	+176	No	+$14	10-04 22:06
Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?	10	$166	172	0	+172	No	+$6	10-07 00:05
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	09-26 00:18
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	09-26 00:18
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	09-26 00:18
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	09-26 00:18
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$131	133	0	+133	open	—	09-26 00:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$130	133	0	+133	open	—	09-26 00:18
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$125	125	8	+117	open	—	10-02 21:12
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	15	$124	125	0	+125	open	—	09-18 03:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$124	133	0	+133	open	—	09-26 00:18
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	09-24 08:52
Will Benin win on 2026-10-06?	6	$109	110	10	+100	No	+$2	10-07 00:02
Will Montserrat vs. Turks and Caicos Islands end in a draw?	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	10-06 21:41
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	2	$74	38	38	+0	No	+$0	10-04 22:14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	11	$73	71	5	+66	No	+$3	10-04 22:04
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	10-04 21:40
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	11	$68	68	10	+58	No	+$0	10-04 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18?	11	$67	68	0	+68	No	+$0	09-18 05:59
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	61	$66	335	0	+335	Yes	-$66	09-20 18:43
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	11	$64	75	5	+70	No	+$12	10-04 22:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	12	$63	60	5	+55	No	+$1	10-04 21:42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	2	$62	64	0	+64	No	+$2	10-03 13:18
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	12	$58	60	0	+60	No	+$2	10-06 23:49
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	12	$58	60	0	+60	No	+$3	10-06 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:02:47	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x782f93…
10-26 02:51:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5910ad…
10-25 22:59:44	Will Professor Roberio Paulino win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xf14c58…
10-25 22:59:44	Will Rodrigo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xc5a680…
10-25 22:59:44	Will Dário Barbosa win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x80ced7…
10-25 22:59:44	Will Henrique Lyra win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x552fe0…
10-25 22:59:44	Will Carlos Jararaca win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x16f1df…
10-25 22:59:42	Will Arinalda do MLB win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x7e3b7d…
10-24 18:27:24	Will Thinky be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc1c8e9…
10-24 12:02:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x204e22…
10-22 16:11:47	Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xd64c8a…
10-22 06:51:21	Will Angers win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	SELL	413	0¢	$0	0xfd5ee5…
10-21 13:29:48	Will The Democrats win 8-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc74510…
10-20 22:35:48	Will Salvadoran Democracy (DS) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb1a942…
10-20 22:04:42	Will A.J. Ewing win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4651e7…
10-20 17:03:23	Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x5dac92…
10-20 08:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc2a13b…
10-19 21:09:34	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8fe8d4…
10-19 18:48:11	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x0bf4f9…
10-19 17:40:38	Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	SELL	413	0¢	$0	0xe9e837…
10-19 04:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf565ea…
10-18 23:10:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x0444e1…
10-18 22:16:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xccd28e…
10-18 20:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x955d95…
10-18 20:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x59ee28…
10-18 20:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x483c44…
10-18 20:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2efd25…
10-18 20:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 18?	No	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xe52b1d…
10-18 20:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 18?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xcaffdf…
10-18 20:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 18?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x96414a…
10-18 20:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 18?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5ed696…
10-18 20:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 18?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x53d35c…
10-18 20:37:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 18?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0b9eea…
10-18 20:37:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xac1de9…
10-18 20:37:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 18?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x60138f…
10-18 20:37:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 18?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x39e82f…
10-18 20:37:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 18?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x34eb58…
10-18 20:06:09	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe10523…
10-18 20:06:09	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 0.5% to 1.5%?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc4655c…
10-18 20:06:09	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 1.5% to 2.5%?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7e1b99…
10-18 20:06:09	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 2.5%+?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x67a7c8…
10-18 20:06:09	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth <-0.5%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x070069…
10-18 19:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 18?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xb26402…
10-18 19:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 18?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb45ebf…
10-18 19:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 18?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x99086b…
10-18 19:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 18?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x37dcab…
10-18 18:32:59	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3d03d…
10-18 18:18:36	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 170m and 180m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x7dfd0d…
10-18 17:10:00	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf0edd6…
10-18 10:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5ddead…
10-18 10:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6c0f36…
10-18 10:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x643510…
10-18 10:22:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9150ec…
10-18 10:22:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a5d91…
10-18 10:22:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7d378…
10-18 10:22:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0e947…
10-18 10:22:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xae07a0…
10-18 10:22:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c41d0…
10-18 10:22:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9bd591…
10-18 10:22:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b7133…
10-18 10:22:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cf677…
10-18 09:53:41	Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2e6fb8…
10-18 09:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xce8e16…
10-18 06:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa3ea0d…
10-18 06:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x65d76d…
10-18 06:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25ac09…
10-18 06:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1dec7a…
10-18 06:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe62bf4…
10-18 06:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 69°F or below on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9475a0…
10-18 06:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a86a0…
10-18 06:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1096c2…
10-18 06:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0edf35…
10-18 06:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x098903…
10-18 05:39:21	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xac5e29…
10-18 05:39:21	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x80bbf7…
10-18 05:39:21	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2b4b65…
10-18 05:34:53	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xd7e854…
10-18 05:34:53	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xad5ff7…
10-18 05:34:53	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x540689…
10-18 05:16:57	Will Alexa Loo win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x289be4…
10-18 05:16:36	Will Dickens Cheung win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6fcec…
10-18 05:16:36	Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x421821…
10-18 05:16:36	Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x200635…
10-18 05:16:36	Will Henry Yao win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x046a67…
10-18 05:12:00	Will there be 0 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf4702a…
10-18 05:12:00	Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xdb96d0…
10-18 05:12:00	Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd18b26…
10-18 05:12:00	Will there be 1 US aircraft carrier in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x33578a…
10-18 05:12:00	Will there be 4 or more US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x29f015…
10-18 05:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc5dcdc…
10-18 05:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x7462e2…
10-18 05:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4ea5b0…
10-18 05:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4c5a44…
10-18 04:49:26	Will Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xace170…
10-18 04:49:26	Will Jay Lundgren win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x987af2…
10-18 04:46:20	Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd2d9dc…
10-18 04:39:03	Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1de1b0…
10-18 04:23:08	Kamala Harris 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x165dac…
10-18 04:23:06	JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd8c44e…
10-18 04:23:06	Marco Rubio 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5abcf…