Realized P&L (90d)
+$63
Unrealized P&L
+$116
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved (90d)
2,829
Trades (90d)
9,121
9,234 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$38.5K
$38.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 10-27 11:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Other
69% 86% -$9
Politics
25% 84% +$16
Sports
3% 91% +$39
Tech
2% 85% -$4
Crypto
0% 76% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 1106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +133 $133 100¢ $133 +$0 09-26 00:18
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +133 $133 100¢ $133 $0 09-26 00:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +133 $130 100¢ $133 +$3 09-26 00:18
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +133 $131 100¢ $133 +$2 09-26 00:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +133 $16 90¢ $120 +$104 09-26 00:18
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +60 $52 97¢ $58 +$6 10-06 23:49
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +52 $52 99¢ $51 $0 10-07 01:53
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +52 $52 98¢ $50 -$1 10-07 01:53
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +43 $43 100¢ $43 +$0 10-18 05:39
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +43 $41 97¢ $42 +$1 10-18 05:39
Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 +$0 10-03 04:07
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $33 100¢ $35 +$2 10-03 04:07
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $35 99¢ $35 $0 10-03 04:07
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $34 95¢ $34 -$1 10-03 04:07
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $30 94¢ $33 +$3 10-03 04:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +50 $34 66¢ $33 -$1 10-07 01:53
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +32 $30 96¢ $31 +$1 10-07 01:53
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $31 87¢ $31 $0 10-03 04:07
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $31 86¢ $30 -$1 10-03 04:07
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$1 10-03 03:45
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $30 85¢ $30 +$0 10-03 04:07
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +48 $32 56¢ $27 -$5 10-07 01:53
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +25 $23 99¢ $25 +$2 10-02 12:35
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 09-18 21:28
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 09-26 08:32
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 09-21 04:09
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 09-21 04:09
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 09-21 04:09
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 09-21 04:09
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 09-21 04:09