Realized P&L
+$30
Unrealized P&L
+$135
Hit rate
89.7%
Resolved
2,907
Trades
9,297
lifetime
Volume
$38.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 10-31 12:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
69% 86% +$3
Politics
25% 84% +$16
Sports
3% 89% +$10
Tech
2% 80% -$15
Crypto
0% 76% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 1106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +133 $133 100¢ $133 +$0 09-26 00:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +133 $16 100¢ $133 +$117 09-26 00:18
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +133 $131 100¢ $133 +$2 09-26 00:18
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +133 $133 100¢ $133 +$0 09-26 00:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +133 $130 100¢ $133 +$3 09-26 00:18
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? No +52 $52 99¢ $51 $0 10-07 01:53
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +52 $52 99¢ $51 $0 10-07 01:53
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +52 $52 99¢ $51 $0 10-07 01:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +50 $34 90¢ $45 +$11 10-07 01:53
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +43 $43 100¢ $43 +$0 10-18 05:39
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +43 $41 98¢ $42 +$1 10-18 05:39
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? No +42 $42 100¢ $42 +$0 10-07 01:53
Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 +$0 10-03 04:07
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 $0 10-03 04:07
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $33 99¢ $35 +$2 10-03 04:07
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $34 95¢ $34 -$1 10-03 04:07
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $30 93¢ $33 +$3 10-03 04:07
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $31 86¢ $30 -$1 10-03 04:07
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$1 10-03 03:45
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $31 83¢ $29 -$1 10-03 04:07
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +32 $30 91¢ $29 $0 10-07 01:53
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +35 $30 81¢ $29 -$1 10-03 04:07
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 09-18 21:28
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 09-21 04:09
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 09-21 04:09
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 09-21 04:09
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 09-21 04:09
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 09-21 04:09
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 09-21 04:09
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 09-21 04:09