Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$742

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

302

Trades

952

lifetime

Volume

$90.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

$253

6 positions

First seen

2026-06-22

last 10-31 11:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

97% 83% +$703

Politics

2% 92% +$29

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+99	$95	95¢	$94	-$1	10-09 08:46
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+80	$76	98¢	$78	+$2	09-30 07:23
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	+51	$50	100¢	$51	+$1	10-27 08:29
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	10-27 09:00
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+153	$5	4¢	$6	+$1	09-30 07:26
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	+103	$3	3¢	$3	+$1	10-09 08:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	5	$1.9K	1,954	0	+1,954	Vitality	+$54	10-11 15:43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	3	$1.6K	839	839	+0	Aurora Gaming	+$39	10-06 17:49
cs2 aur1 9z 2026 10 16 game1	6	$1.6K	1,659	0	+1,659	Aurora Gaming	+$59	10-16 15:00
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	7	$1.5K	1,607	90	+1,517	BetBoom Team	+$10	10-15 16:59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	4	$1.5K	1,533	0	+1,533	BetBoom Team	+$33	10-15 17:59
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	11	$1.5K	1,454	119	+1,335	BetBoom Team	+$25	10-17 20:08
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A	2	$1.3K	1,402	0	+1,402	Team Falcons	+$52	10-15 14:12
cs2 lgc bb3 2026 10 16 game2	8	$1.3K	1,403	0	+1,403	Legacy	+$53	10-16 19:08
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BIG - Map 1 Winner	2	$1.3K	1,346	0	+1,346	BIG	+$12	10-20 15:10
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP - Map 2 Winner	4	$1.3K	1,506	0	+1,506	Aurora Gaming	+$38	10-15 10:43
cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 10 11 game2	2	$1.3K	1,340	0	+1,340	Aurora Gaming	+$40	10-11 13:26
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	5	$1.3K	1,348	0	+1,348	Team Falcons	+$48	10-15 12:13
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	2	$1.3K	1,346	0	+1,346	Spirit	+$46	10-10 19:30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 4 Winner	1	$1.3K	1,323	0	+1,323	FURIA	+$23	10-18 20:04
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic - Map 2 Winner	1	$1.3K	1,305	0	+1,305	PARIVISION	+$5	10-19 18:44
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	6	$1.3K	1,396	0	+1,396	Vitality	+$136	10-11 16:36
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	3	$1.2K	1,257	0	+1,257	Team Falcons	+$26	10-17 17:39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	3	$1.2K	1,359	100	+1,259	Aurora Gaming	+$53	10-18 14:58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	7	$1.2K	2,240	0	+2,240	Vitality	+$39	10-10 16:39
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	4	$1.2K	1,252	0	+1,252	FURIA	+$52	10-24 17:57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	1	$1.2K	1,244	0	+1,244	FURIA	+$44	10-18 16:41
cs2 furia bb3 2026 10 14	3	$1.2K	1,254	0	+1,254	FURIA	+$54	10-14 20:50
cs2 fal2 nip 2026 10 14 game2	3	$1.1K	1,123	0	+1,123	Team Falcons	+$18	10-14 14:29
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	11	$1.1K	895	313	+582	TheMongolz	+$61	10-24 10:15
cs2 lgc prv 2026 10 14 game1	8	$1.1K	1,151	33	+1,117	Legacy	+$49	10-14 16:27
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	5	$1.1K	1,082	19	+1,063	MOUZ	+$13	10-09 16:07
cs2 9z aur1 2026 10 14 game2	2	$1000	1,096	0	+1,096	9z	+$96	10-14 11:05
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	2	$1000	1,038	0	+1,038	Vitality	+$38	10-09 12:36
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner	5	$1000	1,060	0	+1,060	TheMongolz	+$60	10-24 09:08
cs2 1win aur1 2026 10 09 game2	3	$1000	1,017	0	+1,017	Aurora Gaming	+$17	10-09 10:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 11:55:34	Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd0a15c…
10-31 11:53:12	Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by October 31?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc8df1e…
10-31 11:50:06	Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xc807a9…
10-31 11:45:00	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd05330…
10-31 11:43:39	Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x2e4c7a…
10-31 11:41:57	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x99a1c6…
10-30 13:27:34	RFK Jr. Out by October 31?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x13b791…
10-30 13:26:06	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc165e4…
10-30 13:22:52	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xff063b…
10-30 13:19:19	Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5fd6c2…
10-30 13:07:01	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa720f8…
10-30 13:03:22	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4525f…
10-30 13:01:15	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xecc577…
10-30 12:57:21	Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5fc4ab…
10-30 12:48:54	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe12449…
10-30 12:43:58	Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x90ebcf…
10-30 12:40:36	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x96b836…
10-30 12:34:07	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x3397a4…
10-30 08:55:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe36382…
10-30 08:51:42	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcb6f7c…
10-30 08:43:57	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x455784…
10-30 08:38:21	Will Trump say "Brazil" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf6e68a…
10-30 08:35:45	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 36.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb076eb…
10-30 08:31:54	Will Trump say "Grass" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x059e83…
10-30 08:24:01	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.2M?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9ca3bd…
10-30 08:23:33	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x43b37d…
10-29 17:52:55	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd71cd2…
10-28 07:28:41	Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x9d562a…
10-28 07:27:29	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x5e8c8b…
10-28 07:26:53	Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x4c0e20…
10-28 07:25:49	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x1449c9…
10-28 07:25:01	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x5bf24c…
10-28 07:24:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x1def30…
10-28 07:22:11	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xcea86b…
10-28 05:52:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0xca0619…
10-28 05:52:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0x9e3062…
10-28 05:50:07	Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x4f24e0…
10-28 05:50:05	Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb4e1ee…
10-28 05:34:56	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x62267c…
10-27 10:46:33	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x6ba497…
10-27 10:35:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 27?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x7cd109…
10-27 10:33:11	Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x559b82…
10-27 10:31:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x2c168c…
10-27 09:00:17	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe87da7…
10-27 08:58:09	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by October 31?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb5fe7d…
10-27 08:54:14	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb1942e…
10-27 08:53:14	Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x9191c3…
10-27 08:52:00	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8b7090…
10-27 08:51:54	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xea2321…
10-27 08:50:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x715a0a…
10-27 08:29:14	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb656c2…
10-27 08:27:35	Will "Wicker" score at least 88 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xee7595…
10-27 08:26:09	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x25748a…
10-26 18:39:42	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	DENDELE CS	SELL	873	13¢	$117	0x98f6bc…
10-26 18:22:45	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	DENDELE CS	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0xbb19a7…
10-26 18:22:26	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	DENDELE CS	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x84037a…
10-26 18:21:57	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	DENDELE CS	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x3a4287…
10-26 18:13:00	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	DENDELE CS	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8245d2…
10-26 18:11:11	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	SELL	29	67¢	$20	0xe89414…
10-26 18:11:03	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	DENDELE CS	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x047e1d…
10-26 18:10:51	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x4b86d1…
10-26 17:55:56	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	22	72¢	$16	0x60cc8d…
10-26 17:53:23	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xac08c8…
10-26 17:53:03	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	SELL	33	43¢	$14	0x216c02…
10-26 17:52:48	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xf2fdd8…
10-26 16:37:50	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	SELL	130	79¢	$103	0xdeb832…
10-26 16:31:38	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x4ba651…
10-26 16:30:53	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	68	28¢	$19	0x7f2ce0…
10-26 16:17:57	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x44803e…
10-26 16:08:57	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xb938ad…
10-26 16:08:18	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	426	94¢	$400	0x0a26e6…
10-26 16:07:59	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x5d99a3…
10-26 16:07:50	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0x7cbee2…
10-26 16:06:23	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x14bbf7…
10-26 16:00:39	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd6096c…
10-26 15:37:42	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xaea758…
10-26 15:34:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xf796f2…
10-26 15:24:03	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd7380f…
10-26 15:23:11	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x59f1d7…
10-26 15:22:30	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4f7792…
10-26 15:21:32	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	SELL	59	28¢	$16	0xba13bf…
10-26 15:17:39	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6f9b48…
10-26 15:07:17	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9be3d2…
10-26 15:03:15	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x79507a…
10-26 14:53:27	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Liquid	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x7b2e1a…
10-26 14:50:14	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Liquid	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xb67ecb…
10-26 14:46:20	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Liquid	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xbd67eb…
10-26 14:46:14	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Liquid	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xfdc268…
10-26 14:45:41	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Legacy	SELL	55	8¢	$4	0xd327e8…
10-26 14:42:50	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Legacy	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf929ee…
10-26 14:36:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x29a8eb…
10-26 14:35:11	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x6cea8e…
10-26 14:26:44	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Legacy	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe842f9…
10-26 14:17:44	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Legacy	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x50c16f…
10-26 14:13:45	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2b3fd7…
10-26 14:10:24	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x9328ee…
10-26 13:35:11	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x1e0af1…
10-26 13:33:59	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xef92da…
10-26 13:22:50	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	SELL	35	51¢	$18	0xde1562…
10-26 13:21:54	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x9f596e…