Decisive-Picnic 0x409e60…6ba1e0
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Realized P&L
-$51
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
35.9%
Resolved
50
Trades
2,805
lifetime
Volume
$19.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$48
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 07-05 15:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
52% 20% $-17
Other
32% 44% $-29
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
6% — —
Sports
4% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$2 06-15 15:00
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +19 $8 40¢ $8 $-0 07-01 13:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $1 59¢ $6 +$5 06-29 17:42
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +6 $5 89¢ $6 +$0 06-08 07:46
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 46¢ $5 +$3 06-23 16:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-29 17:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-29 17:42
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -37 $-2 8¢ $-3 $-1 06-07 13:03
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 7¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 13:53