Decisive-Picnic 0x409e60…6ba1e0
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$51
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
35.9%
Resolved
50
Trades
2,781
lifetime
Volume
$18.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$74
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 06-30 08:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
52% 20% $-17
Other
32% 44% $-29
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
6% — —
Sports
4% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +20 $13 100¢ $20 +$7 06-18 04:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +8 $7 100¢ $8 +$1 06-29 22:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +10 $7 75¢ $8 +$1 06-15 15:00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 $-0 06-08 07:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 09:43
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 06-29 12:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-13 08:17
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-29 17:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 $-0 06-29 17:42
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -37 $-2 6¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 13:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 18¢ $2 +$0 06-23 16:28
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 10¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 13:53
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 06-29 17:42
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes -15 $-1 1¢ $-0 +$1 06-07 13:53